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Marlins vs. Rockies Result: Rockies Win 6-3, Goodman HR Settles Prop

Marlins vs. Rockies Result: Rockies Win 6-3, Goodman HR Settles Prop

SS Steve Silverman Sport Expert
Market Resolved
Embed this market
Resolution Verdict
MAX MEYER OVER 5.5 STRIKEOUTS Marlins 3 6 Rockies

Market has ended. Final implied probability: 100%.

Resolved
Real Money Odds Book · Consensus
Moneyline
MIA -148
COL +123
Spread
MIA -1.5
COL +1.5
Total
Over O 11
Under U 11
Volume
$13.1K
$13.1K in 24h
Liquidity
$118
Thin market
Time Left
Ended
Resolves Jul 2
13K Vol. Ended
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies $882K Vol.
0%

The Colorado Rockies beat the Miami Marlins 6-3 on July 1, 2026, settling the Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies player prop prediction market with a decisive result. Hunter Goodman launched his 27th home run of the season — a two-run shot in the fifth inning — clearing the Hunter Goodman Home Runs O/U 0.5 prop and locking in the YES outcome.

The market closed at 100 percent on the YES side heading into first pitch, meaning traders had fully priced in Goodman connecting. Goodman delivered, and the market read proved exactly right on the primary prop. Colorado also snapped an eight-game losing streak against Miami in the process, making the result doubly significant for Rockies fans.

Game Stats
Batters AB HR RBI H
O.Lopez SS 400 9 46 132
X.Edwards 2B 380 6 37 111
J.Marsee CF 341 5 25 66
L.Hicks C 322 14 60 91
K.Stowers LF 297 12 43 68
J.Sanoja 3B 255 3 35 69
H.Hernández LF 232 14 38 58
O.Caissie RF 218 12 50 52
J.Mack C 177 10 30 43
L.Jiménez 3B 118 2 9 25
E.Ruiz RF 108 5 10 26
G.Conine LF 100 7 16 27
B.Navarreto C 12 0 0 2
Starting pitcher IP ER K BB
M.Meyer SP 111 33 121 41
Pitchers IP ER K BB
S.Alcantara SP 143 64 110 38
M.Meyer SP 111 33 121 41
E.Pérez SP 91 36 104 37
T.Phillips SP 79 31 58 36
L.Bachar RP 53 21 59 21
M.Petersen RP 44 14 51 18
C.Faucher RP 43 23 44 29
J.King RP 40 11 30 12
R.Gusto SP 34 17 31 11
P.Fairbanks RP 30 25 41 14
C.Gibson RP 26 15 24 12
T.Zuber RP 14 9 17 3
J.Sanoja 3B 3 2 1 1
Z.Brzykcy RP 3 1 2 2
E.Ruiz RF 0 0 0 0
L.Jiménez 3B 0 0 0 0
K.Stowers LF 0 0 0 0
B.Navarreto C 0 0 0 0
O.Lopez SS 0 0 0 0
O.Caissie RF 0 0 0 0
H.Hernández LF 0 0 0 0
L.Hicks C 0 0 0 0
J.Mack C 0 0 0 0
G.Conine LF 0 0 0 0
X.Edwards 2B 0 0 0 0
J.Marsee CF 0 0 0 0
full roster
Batters AB HR RBI H
H.Goodman C 359 31 58 93
T.Rumfield 1B 359 13 53 108
E.Tovar SS 332 8 32 65
W.Castro 2B 316 9 43 82
J.McCarthy CF 310 10 56 94
K.Karros 3B 297 9 36 78
T.Johnston RF 295 3 41 86
T.Freeman RF 233 3 23 59
M.Moniak LF 231 16 43 64
E.Julien 2B 223 3 20 48
B.Sullivan C 131 4 15 29
C.Carrigg CF 121 4 25 35
B.Fulford C 59 1 7 11
Starting pitcher IP ER K BB
K.Freeland SP 94 76 83 20
Pitchers IP ER K BB
M.Lorenzen SP 100 73 78 39
T.Sugano SP 96 50 56 24
K.Freeland SP 94 76 83 20
R.Feltner SP 65 40 50 28
Z.Agnos RP 61 44 39 24
T.Gordon SP 56 37 49 12
A.Senzatela RP 51 20 45 16
J.Mejia RP 45 27 46 23
B.Bernardino RP 42 13 33 12
V.Vodnik RP 33 19 24 19
J.Herget RP 27 17 28 12
G.Hughes SP 19 6 19 6
S.Halvorsen RP 19 10 17 15
B.Sullivan C 6 3 1 2
M.Moniak LF 0 0 0 0
W.Castro 2B 0 0 0 0
J.McCarthy CF 0 0 0 0
T.Freeman RF 0 0 0 0
E.Tovar SS 0 0 0 0
H.Goodman C 0 0 0 0
T.Johnston RF 0 0 0 0
T.Rumfield 1B 0 0 0 0
K.Karros 3B 0 0 0 0
C.Carrigg CF 0 0 0 0
E.Julien 2B 0 0 0 0
B.Fulford C 0 0 0 0

INJURY REPORT

NAME POS STATUS INJURY NOTES
Tomoyuki Sugano
POS
SP
STATUS
Questionable
INJURY
Finger
Notes
Sugano is dealing with a finger injury and is uncertain to make his next scheduled start for the Rockies.
full roster and injuries
0
At Bats
0
0
Runs
0
0
Hits
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0.326
On Base Percentage
0.325
0.407
Slugging Percentage
0.420
4.07
Earned Run Average
5.47
0
Earned Runs
0
0
Home Runs
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0
Strikeouts Per 9 Innings
0
1.25
Walks Plus Hits Per Inning Pitched
1.51
Sponsored Partner
ROLRROLR

What Happened: Marlins vs. Rockies, July 1, 2026

Mickey Moniak set the tone early for the Colorado Rockies, hitting the sixth pitch from Max Meyer for his 14th home run of the season to put Colorado up 1-0 in the first inning. Moniak then doubled in the third and tripled in the fifth, finishing a single shy of the cycle. Javier Sanoja answered for Miami with a two-run triple off Kyle Freeland in the fourth inning, giving the Marlins a brief 2-1 lead.

The Rockies reclaimed control in the fifth. Moniak’s triple plated two runs, and then Hunter Goodman stepped in and crushed his 27th home run of the year to push Colorado’s lead to 5-2. Max Meyer, who entered the game 9-0, absorbed the loss and fell to 9-1 on the season. Kyle Freeland picked up the win after a rocky start, supported by Colorado’s bullpen.

Joe Mack added a pinch-hit, inside-the-park home run — his sixth of the season — off Juan Mejia in the seventh inning to trim the deficit to 5-3. Colorado answered immediately in the bottom of the seventh when Kyle Karros crushed a 440-foot blast off Tyler Zuber for his sixth homer of the year. The Rockies held on from there, winning 6-3 in a game that lasted two hours and nine minutes in front of 18,798 fans at Coors Field.

How the Market Called It

The Hunter Goodman Home Runs O/U 0.5 market closed at 100 percent in favor of the YES outcome — the maximum possible market confidence. Traders had moved all available capital to the YES side, reflecting near-certainty that Goodman would go deep against Miami’s pitching at hitter-friendly Coors Field. Goodman’s 27th homer of the season validated that read completely.

The market correctly favored the YES outcome. A closing probability of 100 percent leaves no room for hedging, and the $13,150 in total volume — all of which flowed in during the final 24 hours — showed traders acting decisively on the conviction that Goodman would clear the 0.5 home run line. On the alternative props, Mickey Moniak cleared his own O/U 0.5 home run line with his first-inning shot, and Joe Mack cleared the Joe Mack Home Runs O/U 0.5 line with his seventh-inning inside-the-parker.

What Is Next

The Colorado Rockies continue their homestand at Coors Field, with Game 4 of the Marlins series scheduled for July 2, 2026. Traders looking to stay active in Rockies player prop markets and Marlins matchup markets can find live options at Lines.com. The MLB hub on Lines.com also carries active prop markets across the league’s full schedule, including pitcher strikeout lines and batter home run props for every game on the slate.

For traders who want to stay ahead of the next Rockies or Marlins player performance market, bookmark the MLB category hub on Lines.com. Live markets update in real time as lineups post and first pitches approach.

LINES RESOLUTION VERDICT

HUNTER GOODMAN

Goodman hit his 27th home run of the season in the fifth inning, clearing the O/U 0.5 prop and confirming the market’s unanimous verdict. The result matched the market perfectly — traders got this one exactly right.

Frequently Asked Questions

The Colorado Rockies beat the Miami Marlins 6-3 on July 1, 2026, at Coors Field in Denver. The win snapped Colorado's eight-game losing streak against Miami.

The final score was Colorado Rockies 6, Miami Marlins 3. The game was played at Coors Field and lasted two hours and nine minutes in front of 18,798 fans.

Yes. The Hunter Goodman Home Runs O/U 0.5 market closed at 100 percent in favor of YES. Goodman hit his 27th homer of the season in the fifth inning, and the market called it correctly.

Yes, Goodman hit a two-run home run in the fifth inning of a standard nine-inning game that ended in regulation. No extra innings were needed. Colorado led 5-2 after the fifth and held on for the 6-3 win.

The Rockies hosted Miami again in Game 4 on July 2, 2026, at Coors Field. Traders can find the next live Rockies player prop markets and game markets at Lines.com, a Polymarket-linked prediction market hub.

We aggregate the live positions of the top 50 Polymarket whales (ranked by 30-day tracked volume) into one composite reading per market. It refreshes every hour. The percentage shows how many of those whales hold YES versus NO; the net dollar position shows the cohort's directional exposure in dollars.

A convergence event fires when three or more tracked wallets buy the same outcome on the same market within a four-hour window. We surface these in the activity feed and the VIP digest.

No. Lines is an editorial and data product. We do not operate prediction markets, custody funds, or accept trades. All trade flows deep-link to Polymarket via our affiliate code. Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations.

Market Resolved Outcome: YES
Final Price 100%
Settled Jul 2, 2026
Duration Same day

Resolution Analysis

Meyer Dominates Colorado Lineup

Max Meyer takes the mound sharp and attacks Colorado's strikeout-prone hitters from the first inning. He records seven or more punchouts by the sixth and clears the 5.5 line with ease. His 2026 form and command of multiple pitches make this the most likely outcome at 78%.

Early Exit Sinks the Over

Miami's coaching staff pulls Meyer after four or five innings due to a pitch count ceiling or a minor physical issue. He exits with five or fewer strikeouts and the Under cashes at 22%. Colorado's contact-first approach limits deep-count at-bats and keeps Meyer off his rhythm.

Slow Start, Strong Finish

Meyer labors through the first two innings and sits at two strikeouts by the third. He adjusts his pitch mix and begins missing bats at a higher rate from the fourth inning onward. He reaches six strikeouts late and the Over survives a nerve-wracking night.

Rain Delay or Suspension Disrupts Everything

A rain delay at LoanDepot Park shortens the game or triggers a suspension into a separate date. Meyer's strikeout total freezes below the line mid-outing. The market resolves on official scoring rules and the Under wins despite Meyer's dominant 2026 form.

Key macro factor: Max Meyer's historic 2026 season is the defining factor. A 9-0 record with a 2.60 ERA signals a pitcher operating at the top of his craft. Colorado provides a favorable matchup environment for continued strikeout production.

Market Timeline

Jul 1, 2026, 6:45 AM
Market Created
Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 AM
Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 10:47 AM
Event Start
Jul 2, 2026
Market Resolution

Market Comments

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only.