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Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp Result: KC Wins 2-1, Vitality Covers +1.5

Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp Result: KC Wins 2-1, Vitality Covers +1.5

Market called it correctly

Implied 100% at publication · Resolved YES · Brier score: 0.00

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SS Steve Silverman Sport Expert
Market Resolved
Embed this market
Resolution Verdict
YES — BOTH TEAMS SLAY A DRAGON Market Resolved

Market has ended. Final implied probability: 100%.

Resolved
Real Money Odds Book
Total
Over O 2.5
Under U 2.5
Volume
$2.1M
$2M in 24h
Liquidity
$118
Thin market
7-Day Move
+44.5%
Strong surge
Time Left
Ended
Resolves Jul 25
2.1M Vol. Ended
Team Vitality
Team Vitality $359K Vol.
0%
Karmine Corp
Karmine Corp $359K Vol.
0%
Largest Trade
$43,400
esportGG
voted with: KC · KARMINE CO
Jul 24, 2026 at 7:05pm
Most Recent
$25,503
5e46h voted KC · KARMINE CO 1 day ago
Trader Rank Amount Position Volume PnL ROI Time
5e46h #1,575,882 $25,503 KC KARMINE CO $3.6M -$1.0K 0.0% Jul 24, 2026
esportGG - $43,400 KC KARMINE CO $1.7M - - Jul 24, 2026
0xc1c7...f0a7 - $38,705 KC KARMINE CO $376.1K - - Jul 24, 2026
fkgggg2mouzfuria - $38,207 KC KARMINE CO $1.9M - - Jul 24, 2026

Karmine Corp defeated Team Vitality 2-1 in the LEC Versus 2026 Lower Bracket Quarterfinals, settling the Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp prediction market. The series went the full three games, with Vitality stealing Game 2 before Karmine Corp closed it out in Game 3. Karmine Corp now advances to the Lower Bracket Semifinal against GIANTX, keeping their First Stand 2026 qualification hopes alive.

The game handicap market — KC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) — closed at 100 percent in favor of the YES outcome. Vitality covered the +1.5 handicap by winning one game in the series. The market opened at roughly 52 percent and surged to full certainty as the result confirmed Vitality’s ability to take at least one map.

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What Happened: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp

Karmine Corp controlled the overall series narrative, winning Games 1 and 3 with authority. Game 1 set the tone — Karmine Corp dominated map objectives and found the decisive teamfights to close cleanly. Team Vitality responded in Game 2, stealing the series to 1-1 and forcing a deciding third game. Game 3 belonged to Karmine Corp from start to finish, with the squad locking down every major objective and leaving Team Vitality no path to a favorable fight.

Karmine Corp’s structural dominance across Games 1 and 3 made their advancement feel inevitable. Team Vitality played with urgency, especially in Game 2, but could not replicate that form when it mattered most. The Fearless Draft format added complexity to both rosters’ champion pools, and Karmine Corp navigated it more effectively across the series.

How the Market Called It

The game handicap market opened at 52 percent for the YES outcome — a near coin-flip on whether Vitality would win at least one game. Traders pushed that figure to 100 percent by resolution, reflecting the settled result. The market finished as a correctly read narrow call: the YES outcome resolved, with Vitality covering the +1.5 line by taking Game 2. The market started evenly priced and moved decisively only as the series concluded. Total volume reached $2,081,770, with $2,046,916 of that flowing in the final 24 hours — a sign that significant capital entered late as the result clarified.

The closing probability of 100 percent tells you the market resolved without ambiguity. Vitality won one game, which was all the +1.5 handicap required. Karmine Corp advanced, but the handicap market outcome belonged to the Vitality side of the line.

Where the Big Money Landed

Large traders were active on both sides heading into resolution. The biggest single position came from esportGG, who committed $43,400 buying the YES outcome at 70 cents — a high-conviction trade made well before the series ended. That position benefited as the price ran to 1.00, generating a substantial return on the handicap covering. A second significant position came from fkgggg2mouzfuria, who put in $38,207 on the YES side at 99.9 cents near resolution.

On the sell side, 0xc1c7…f0a7 exited a $38,705 position at 99.9 cents — a late liquidation rather than a directional fade. Trader 5e46h sold $25,503 at 99.9 cents and recorded a loss of approximately $1,000 on the position, suggesting an earlier entry that did not go their way before they cut exposure. Overall large-trade activity over seven days showed $81,607 in buys against $64,208 in sells — a bullish tilt that lined up with the YES resolution.

What Is Next for Karmine Corp

Karmine Corp advances to face GIANTX in the LEC Versus 2026 Lower Bracket Semifinal. That matchup carries elimination stakes again, with the winner moving closer to a First Stand 2026 international qualification slot. Karmine Corp demonstrated strong map control and draft flexibility across this series, which sets them up as a credible threat in the next round. Traders looking for the next live market can find Karmine Corp’s Lower Bracket Semifinal matchup against GIANTX on Lines.com, along with the full LEC Versus 2026 Playoffs hub for every remaining series.

LINES RESOLUTION VERDICT

TEAM VITALITY (+1.5)

Karmine Corp won the series 2-1 and advanced, but Team Vitality covered the +1.5 game handicap by taking Game 2 — the YES outcome resolved exactly as the late market price suggested it would.

Frequently Asked Questions

Karmine Corp won the Best-of-3 series 2-1 on July 25, 2026, eliminating Team Vitality from the LEC Versus 2026 Lower Bracket Quarterfinals and advancing to the Lower Bracket Semifinal.

Karmine Corp won 2-1. KC took Game 1 and Game 3, while Team Vitality won Game 2 to extend the series before Karmine Corp closed it out in the deciding map.

The game handicap market (KC -1.5 vs Vitality +1.5) closed at 100% for the YES outcome. Team Vitality covered the +1.5 handicap by winning one game, resolving YES. The market opened near 52% — a near coin-flip.

The Best-of-3 series went the full three games. Karmine Corp won Games 1 and 3, while Team Vitality won Game 2. There is no overtime in League of Legends; the series resolved across three standard games.

Karmine Corp advances to face GIANTX in the LEC Versus 2026 Lower Bracket Semifinal. Traders can find that prediction market and related LEC Versus 2026 Playoffs markets on Lines.com, a regulated prediction market platform.

We aggregate the live positions of the top 50 Polymarket whales (ranked by 30-day tracked volume) into one composite reading per market. It refreshes every hour. The percentage shows how many of those whales hold YES versus NO; the net dollar position shows the cohort's directional exposure in dollars.

A convergence event fires when three or more tracked wallets buy the same outcome on the same market within a four-hour window. We surface these in the activity feed and the VIP digest.

No. Lines is an editorial and data product. We do not operate prediction markets, custody funds, or accept trades. All trade flows deep-link to Polymarket via our affiliate code. Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations.

Market Resolved Outcome: YES
Final Price 100%
Settled Jul 25, 2026
Duration 13 days

Resolution Analysis

Series Extends to Three Games

If the series goes three games, both Team Vitality and Karmine Corp gain maximum time to secure Dragon kills. Three games virtually ensures each team contests the Dragon pit at least once. A competitive three-game series is the clearest path to the YES outcome resolving, pushing the 69.5 percent price toward certainty.

Karmine Corp Dominant Sweep

A dominant 2-0 Karmine Corp sweep could deny Team Vitality any Dragon access. Karmine Corp's aggressive early-game tempo — demonstrated at EWC against T1 — can lock slower teams out of neutral objectives. Under those conditions, the NO outcome becomes live despite the current market pricing favoring YES.

Vitality Forces Dragon Trades

Team Vitality's Spring regular season showed a squad capable of winning macro-driven games through objective control. If Naak Nako and the Vitality roster recover their regular-season form and force Dragon trades even in losing games, the YES outcome is secured regardless of the match result. Vitality's proven objective identity supports this path.

Summer Split Patch Lockout

A heavy early-game meta on the Summer split patch could allow one team to reach Dragon Soul before the opponent secures any kills. If Karmine Corp's draft dictates full Dragon denial across two consecutive games, the NO outcome resolves. Patch-specific draft decisions on July 24 remain the biggest single wildcard for this prop.

Key macro factor: The LEC Summer Split determines the three European qualifying spots for Worlds 2026. Both teams carry high-stakes motivation, which typically increases competitive intensity and Dragon contest frequency rather than encouraging early objective surrenders.

Market Timeline

Jul 11, 2026, 4:11 PM
Market Created
Jul 11, 2026, 5:44 PM
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2026, 6:15 PM
Event Start
12:00 AM
Market Resolution

Market Comments

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only.