Home / Prediction Markets / Sports / Jordan vs. Argentina Result: Argentina Win 3-1 in Group J Jordan vs. Argentina Result: Argentina Win 3-1 in Group J View on Polymarket → Share SS Steve Silverman Sport Expert Market Resolved Embed NEW Embed this market Full Compact Copy Updated July 16, 2026 4 min read Resolution Verdict ARGENTINA Market Resolved Market has ended. Final implied probability: 100%. Resolved Overview Whale activity Volume $8.5M $7.3M in 24h Liquidity $745.3K Deep liquidity 7-Day Move +16.8% Sustained buying Time Left Ended Resolves Jun 28 8.5M Vol. Ended 1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL Select lines to display Argentina $5.4M Vol. 100% Yes -- No 0¢ Argentina $15K Vol. 100% Yes -- No 0¢ Argentina $447K Vol. 100% Yes -- No 0¢ Draw $134 Vol. 100% Yes -- No 0¢ Jordan $1.9M Vol. 0% Yes -- No 100¢ Jordan $6K Vol. 0% Yes -- No 100¢ Largest Trade $237,426 curie (+$1.3K) voted with: Argentina · YES Jun 28, 2026 at 3:16am Most Recent $100,286 0x5660...54bf voted Argentina · YES Jun 28, 2026 Trader Rank Amount Position Volume PnL ROI Time 0x5660...54bf - $100,286 Argentina YES $1.7M - - Jun 28, 2026 0x5660...54bf - $117,405 Argentina YES $1.7M - - Jun 28, 2026 0x5660...54bf - $35,010 Argentina YES $1.7M - - Jun 28, 2026 0x5451...616c - $83,936 Argentina YES $1.2M - - Jun 28, 2026 0x6880...cf03 - $98,875 Argentina YES $2.6M - - Jun 28, 2026 PredictionHallofFame #4,788 $55,076 Argentina YES $237.4K +$124 +0.1% Jun 28, 2026 winner877 - $40,845 Argentina YES $637.2K - - Jun 28, 2026 curie #132 $237,426 Argentina YES $1.9M +$1.3K +0.1% Jun 28, 2026 vkvkgjerkgk - $29,964 Argentina YES $20 - - Jun 28, 2026 vkvkgjerkgk - $30,007 Argentina YES $20 - - Jun 28, 2026 Argentina beat Jordan 3-1 on June 27, 2026, at Dallas Stadium to close out Group J with a perfect three-win record, settling the Jordan vs. Argentina prediction market in Argentina’s favor. Lionel Messi came off the bench and lashed home an 80th-minute free kick, his sixth goal of the tournament, setting a new record by scoring in seven successive World Cup games. Polymarket closed Argentina at 99 percent by match time, correctly favoring the defending champions. The result was never truly in doubt, though Jordan’s second-half reply briefly kept the scoreline interesting before Argentina pulled away. Sponsored Partner What Happened: Jordan vs. Argentina Giovani Lo Celso opened the scoring early, sweeping home a free kick from the edge of the box to give Argentina a 1-0 lead. Lautaro Martínez doubled the advantage from the penalty spot after a chaotic sequence in which Julián Álvarez struck the crossbar and Marcos Senesi forced a save before the referee pointed to the spot. Jordan pulled one back through Musa Abulaila to make it 2-1 and give the Dallas crowd a brief scare. Argentina head coach Lionel Scaloni had made nine changes from the side that beat Austria 2-0 earlier in the group stage, resting most starters with top spot already secured. Messi entered after the hour mark and, as he has done throughout the 2026 World Cup, immediately changed the game. His trademark free kick in the 80th minute made it 3-1 and ended any lingering doubt. Argentina finished Group J with three wins from three. How the Market Called It Polymarket traders closed Argentina at 99 percent, leaving Jordan just 1 percent. That reading reflected Argentina’s status as the reigning world champions entering a group-stage match against a debutant nation. The market correctly favored Argentina, and the final scoreline backed that read with room to spare. Total volume on this market reached $8.46 million, with $7.33 million flowing in the final 24 hours as the result became a near-certainty. That level of capital behind a 99-percent favorite tells you traders treated this as a settlement event rather than a live contest. Argentina’s perfect group stage made the closing price look well-earned. What Is Next for Argentina Argentina advance to the round of 32, where they face Cape Verde on July 3, 2026, in Miami. The defending champions carry a perfect group-stage record and Messi in historic scoring form into that match. Traders looking to follow Argentina deeper into the tournament can find the Argentina vs. Cape Verde market and the broader FIFA World Cup 2026 hub at Lines.com. LINES RESOLUTION VERDICT ARGENTINA Argentina beat Jordan 3-1 in Dallas to complete a flawless group stage, exactly as the market priced it. Messi scoring a record-setting free kick in the 80th minute was the defining moment of a result that matched the closing 99-percent probability almost perfectly. Frequently Asked QuestionsWho won Jordan vs. Argentina?Argentina won the match 3-1 on June 27, 2026, at Dallas Stadium. The defending champions topped Group J with a perfect three wins from three, and the Polymarket prediction market resolved in Argentina's favor on June 28, 2026.What was the final score of Jordan vs. Argentina?The final score was Jordan 1, Argentina 3. Giovani Lo Celso and Lautaro Martínez scored before Jordan pulled one back, and Lionel Messi sealed the win with an 80th-minute free kick.Did the favorite win, and what did the market price?Yes. Polymarket closed Argentina at 99 percent, making them a heavy favorite. Argentina won comfortably 3-1, and the market correctly favored the defending champions throughout the closing period.How did the Jordan vs. Argentina match resolve?The match resolved in regulation. Argentina led 2-0, Jordan reduced the deficit to 2-1, and Lionel Messi came off the bench to score a free kick in the 80th minute and secure a 3-1 final scoreline.What is next for Argentina, and where can traders trade it?Argentina face Cape Verde in the round of 32 on July 3, 2026, in Miami. Traders can find the Argentina vs. Cape Verde prediction market and the full FIFA World Cup 2026 hub at Lines.com on Polymarket.How is the Smart Money Index calculated?We aggregate the live positions of the top 50 Polymarket whales (ranked by 30-day tracked volume) into one composite reading per market. It refreshes every hour. The percentage shows how many of those whales hold YES versus NO; the net dollar position shows the cohort's directional exposure in dollars.What is a convergence signal?A convergence event fires when three or more tracked wallets buy the same outcome on the same market within a four-hour window. We surface these in the activity feed and the VIP digest.Is Lines a market operator?No. Lines is an editorial and data product. We do not operate prediction markets, custody funds, or accept trades. All trade flows deep-link to Polymarket via our affiliate code. Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. What the smart money is doing The top 50 Polymarket whales lean YES +100 points on this market. 100% of the cohort holds YES; 0% holds NO. Net dollar position favors YES. Market Resolved Outcome: YES Final Price 99% Settled Jun 28, 2026 Duration 82 days Resolution Analysis Argentina Cruise in Dallas Lionel Scaloni fields a full-strength lineup with Messi, Martinez, and Alvarez. Argentina's attack dismantles Jordan's defense early in Group J. The Nashama struggle to create meaningful chances against Emiliano Martinez in goal. Argentina close out a comfortable World Cup finale and advance with full confidence heading into the knockout stage. Jordan Stuns the Champions Musa Al-Taamari exploits space on Argentina's flanks and Jordan absorb pressure effectively. Abulaila delivers a heroic performance in goal. Argentina's stars fail to convert clear chances and Jordan escape with a historic result. The prediction market's 18% Jordan probability destroys the favorite's case in stunning fashion on the world stage. Jordan Lead, Argentina Respond Jordan score first through a set piece or counterattack, forcing Argentina to chase the game. Scaloni makes tactical adjustments and Messi takes control as the match wears on. Argentina's depth and tournament experience prove decisive. The champions recover and secure the win in the second half, reasserting market logic at AT&T Stadium. Messi Fitness Cloud Shakes Market A late-breaking Messi fitness concern before kickoff sends market prices swinging. Argentina's depth is tested without their captain on the pitch. Jordan's preparation specifically targets a Messi-less system. The market's modest $1,677 total volume leaves the price vulnerable to sharp movement on any confirmed team news before the June 27 kickoff. Key macro factor: Jordan's historic first World Cup appearance introduces emotional and tactical unpredictability that statistical models may underweight against the reigning champions. Market Timeline Apr 6, 2026, 10:21 PM Market Created Apr 6, 2026, 10:32 PM Market Opened Apr 6, 2026, 10:32 PM Event Start Jun 28, 2026 Market Resolution Related Prediction Markets Moving Now Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC CHI 43% Draw 21% VWH 35% CHI DRAW VWH Read Article Moving Now KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins 19% chance Yes No Read Article Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC SGR 47% Draw 18% BGU 47% SGR Draw BGU Read Article KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles 71% chance Yes No Read Article Club Always Ready vs. Club Bolívar ALW 50% Draw 36% BOL 38% ALW Draw BOL Read Article LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage GEN 75% FOX1 26% GEN FOX1 Read Article Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees NYY 60% TB 41% NYY TB Read Article KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kia Tigers 20% chance Yes No Read Article Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox ATL 53% CWS 48% ATL CWS Read Article Loading... Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on Market Comments Loading comments… Whale activity on this market Last 30 days. Cohort is the top tracked wallets by 30-day volume. Whale volume (30d) $1.9M 22.1% of market Unique whales 16 traded in window Net positioning $1.9M cohort leans YES Largest single $237K curie on YES Top whales holding this market # Wallet Cluster Side Size Entry 1 curie Sports sharp Argentina · YES $237K $0.97 · 4 weeks ago 2 0x566049 Sports sharp Argentina · YES $136K $1.00 · 4 weeks ago 3 0x7c1ee8 Sports sharp Argentina · YES $100K $0.87 · 4 weeks ago 4 0x688051 Sports sharp Argentina · YES $99K $1.00 · 4 weeks ago 5 0x545129 Sports sharp Argentina · YES $84K $1.00 · 4 weeks ago 6 surfandturf Sports sharp Argentina · YES $75K $0.86 · 4 weeks ago 7 0x5016c4 Sports sharp Argentina · YES $68K $0.87 · 4 weeks ago 8 PredictionHallofFame Sports sharp Argentina · YES $55K $1.00 · 4 weeks ago 9 swisstony Sports sharp Argentina · YES $53K $0.95 · 4 weeks ago 10 0xf38757 Sports sharp Argentina · YES $52K $1.00 · 4 weeks ago Pre-news entries indicate the trade preceded the news event. They do not imply insider information. Probabilities are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations.