Home / Prediction Markets / Sports / Croatia vs. Ghana Result: Croatia Won 2-1, Advance Croatia vs. Ghana Result: Croatia Won 2-1, Advance View on Polymarket → Share SS Steve Silverman Sport Expert Market Resolved Embed NEW Embed this market Full Compact Copy Updated July 16, 2026 4 min read Resolution Verdict CROATIA Market Resolved Market has ended. Final implied probability: 100%. Resolved Overview Whale activity Volume $25M $24.4M in 24h Liquidity $6.1M Deep liquidity 7-Day Move +40.5% Strong surge Time Left Ended Resolves Jun 27 25M Vol. Ended 1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL Select lines to display Draw $601 Vol. 100% Yes -- No 0¢ Draw $71K Vol. 0% Yes -- No 100¢ Largest Trade $1,099,932 0x640d...9a4c voted with: Croatia · YES Jun 27, 2026 at 5:20pm Most Recent $82,580 0x82ba...afea voted Croatia · YES Jun 27, 2026 Trader Rank Amount Position Volume PnL ROI Time 0x82ba...afea - $82,580 Croatia YES $1.4M - - Jun 27, 2026 0x3dfb...abaf #1,474,382 $66,666 Croatia YES $41.8M -$171 0.0% Jun 27, 2026 Million-Dollar-Rhino - $25,970 Croatia YES $0 - - Jun 27, 2026 swisstony #61 $58,950 Croatia YES $29.1M +$16.7K +0.1% Jun 27, 2026 swisstony #61 $43,981 Croatia YES $29.1M +$16.7K +0.1% Jun 27, 2026 Little-Birdie #1,657,027 $44,740 Draw YES $223.3K -$81.3K -36.4% Jun 27, 2026 0x2c33...0563 - $55,079 Croatia YES $89.6M - - Jun 27, 2026 swisstony #61 $35,511 Croatia YES $29.1M +$16.7K +0.1% Jun 27, 2026 0x640d...9a4c - $83,693 Croatia YES $15.9M - - Jun 27, 2026 0x7225...659a - $138,922 Croatia YES $19.2M - - Jun 27, 2026 Croatia beat Ghana 2-1 on June 27, 2026, at Philadelphia Stadium to advance from Group L, settling the Croatia vs. Ghana prediction market with a decisive late winner. Petar Sucic opened the scoring with a stunning long-range strike in the 31st minute, Derrick Luckassen levelled for Ghana in the 73rd, and Nikola Vlasic sealed the victory with a winner in the 83rd minute. Polymarket closed Croatia at roughly 54 percent entering the day, with the market correctly favouring the Chequered Ones. Croatia finished as Group L runners-up behind England, advancing to the Round of 32 as expected by the majority of traders who backed them heading into the decisive group finale. Sponsored Partner What Happened: Croatia vs. Ghana Croatia and Ghana played a tightly contested match at Philadelphia Stadium in Pennsylvania. Neither side found the opposition box in the opening 15 minutes, and the game took the shape of a careful tactical exercise. Petar Sucic changed the tone in the 31st minute, collecting the ball around 35 yards from goal, taking one touch, and driving a precise, powerful strike into the net to give Croatia the lead. Ghana responded and Derrick Luckassen equalised in the 73rd minute, briefly threatening to send Croatia out of the tournament. Croatia pushed forward and Nikola Vlasic delivered the decisive blow in the 83rd minute, restoring the lead and confirming Croatia’s place in the knockout round. Croatia finished second in Group L with six points, behind England and above Ghana and Panama. How the Market Called It Polymarket’s closing probability placed Croatia as the moderate favourite entering matchday. The market correctly favoured Croatia in a match that remained genuinely uncertain until the 83rd minute. Ghana’s equaliser in the 73rd minute showed that the market’s read was not a foregone conclusion. The total volume on this market reached $24,978,090, reflecting deep trader interest in the Group L finale. That capital base made this one of the higher-volume group-stage markets at the 2026 World Cup. The Croatia win settled the primary outcome and confirmed that the majority of traders read the match correctly, even if the final seven minutes felt anything but certain. What Is Next for Croatia Croatia advances to the Round of 32 as Group L runners-up and will face the runner-up from Group K. The bracket date falls in early July 2026 as the knockout stage opens. Croatia enter the Round of 32 with momentum and the knowledge that Petar Sucic and Nikola Vlasic can both deliver on the big stage. Traders looking to follow Croatia’s knockout run can find live markets on Lines.com. The World Cup hub on Lines.com also carries active markets on the Golden Boot race, the World Cup outright winner, and individual knockout round match-ups. The next Croatia match market is the place to start for anyone tracking the Chequered Ones’ progress through the bracket. LINES RESOLUTION VERDICT CROATIA Croatia won 2-1 over Ghana on June 27, 2026, with goals from Petar Sucic and Nikola Vlasic sealing a comeback victory that matched the market’s expectation, even if Ghana’s 73rd-minute equaliser made it a nervy finish. Frequently Asked QuestionsWho won Croatia vs. Ghana?Croatia won the match 2-1 on June 27, 2026, at Philadelphia Stadium in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The victory sent Croatia through to the Round of 32 as Group L runners-up, while Ghana were eliminated.What was the final score of Croatia vs. Ghana?The final score was Croatia 2-1 Ghana. Petar Sucic scored in the 31st minute, Derrick Luckassen equalised for Ghana in the 73rd, and Nikola Vlasic scored the winner for Croatia in the 83rd minute.Did the favourite win, and what did the market price?Yes, the favourite won. Polymarket closed Croatia as the favourite at approximately 54 percent. The market correctly favoured Croatia, though Ghana's equaliser in the 73rd minute made the outcome uncertain until late.How did the Croatia vs. Ghana match resolve?The match resolved in regulation time. Croatia led 1-0 at half-time through Petar Sucic, Ghana equalised via Derrick Luckassen in the 73rd minute, and Nikola Vlasic restored Croatia's lead in the 83rd minute for a 2-1 full-time result.What is next for Croatia, and where can traders trade it?Croatia advance to the Round of 32 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, where they face the Group K runner-up in early July. Traders can find the Croatia next-match prediction market and related World Cup markets on Lines.com, a live prediction market provider.How is the Smart Money Index calculated?We aggregate the live positions of the top 50 Polymarket whales (ranked by 30-day tracked volume) into one composite reading per market. It refreshes every hour. The percentage shows how many of those whales hold YES versus NO; the net dollar position shows the cohort's directional exposure in dollars.What is a convergence signal?A convergence event fires when three or more tracked wallets buy the same outcome on the same market within a four-hour window. We surface these in the activity feed and the VIP digest.Is Lines a market operator?No. Lines is an editorial and data product. We do not operate prediction markets, custody funds, or accept trades. All trade flows deep-link to Polymarket via our affiliate code. Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. What the smart money is doing The top 50 Polymarket whales lean YES +100 points on this market. 100% of the cohort holds YES; 0% holds NO. Net dollar position favors YES. Market Resolved Outcome: YES Final Price 100% Settled Jun 27, 2026 Duration 82 days Resolution Analysis Croatia Controls Midfield Modric and Kovacic dominate possession from the first whistle. Croatia's structure limits Ghana's counter-attack runs. Livakovic stays sharp if needed. The Vatreni win comfortably and move up the Group L table with three points. Ghana Disrupts Croatia's Rhythm Ghana's high press forces Croatia into mistakes. Semenyo exploits space behind the defensive line and converts. Croatia's aging legs struggle in summer heat. The Black Stars pull off another World Cup upset and the market reprices sharply. Croatia Rallies After Early Deficit Ghana scores first and the market jolts toward the underdog. Croatia responds through set pieces and second-half substitutions. Kramaric or Budimir provides the equalizer or winner. Croatia still covers the market probability despite a slow start. Draw Splits the Points Both teams manage each other into a tactical stalemate. Neither side converts their best chances. A draw serves Croatia's group standing but opens the door for Ghana to advance. Prediction market draw probability gains value late and catches late movers off guard. Key macro factor: 2026 FIFA World Cup Group L dynamics: both teams need points with England and Panama also in the group, raising the stakes of every result. Market Timeline Apr 6, 2026, 10:21 PM Market Created Apr 6, 2026, 10:37 PM Market Opened Jun 27, 2026 Market Resolution Related Prediction Markets Moving Now Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs largadosypelados (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs LDP 100% UNO 0% LDP UNO Read Article Moving Now Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A LYNX 100% KW1 0% LYNX KW1 Read Article Moving Now LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season SEN 100% DIG 0% SEN DIG 🔒 1 whale wallet active on this market · real-time Create an Account → Read Article Moving Now Pesternikov Denys vs. Shcherbak Denys DENYS 100% DENY 0% DENYS DENY 🔒 1 whale wallet active on this market · real-time Create an Account → Read Article Moving Now Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers TEX 97% SEA 3% TEX SEA 🔒 2 whale wallets active on this market · real-time Create an Account → Read Article Moving Now New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies NYY 100% PHI 0% NYY PHI 🔒 3 whale wallets active on this market · real-time Create an Account → Read Article Moving Now UFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card) AVAGAE 100% SAY1 0% AVAGAE SAY1 🔒 1 whale wallet active on this market · real-time Create an Account → Read Article Moving Now KBO: KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagles 60% chance Yes No Read Article Moving Now Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox HOU 96% CWS 5% HOU CWS 🔒 3 whale wallets active on this market · real-time Create an Account → Read Article Loading... Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on Market Comments Loading comments… Whale activity on this market Last 30 days. Cohort is the top tracked wallets by 30-day volume. Whale volume (30d) $9.3M 37.4% of market Unique whales 19 traded in window Net positioning $9.3M cohort leans YES Largest single $1.1M 0x640de3 on YES Top whales holding this market # Wallet Cluster Side Size Entry 1 0x640de3 Sports sharp Croatia · YES $1.1M $0.54 · 4 weeks ago 2 0x05a381 Sports sharp Croatia · YES $909K $0.55 · 4 weeks ago 3 0xc67a7e Sports sharp Croatia · YES $757K $0.55 · 4 weeks ago 4 0x72254f Sports sharp Croatia · YES $750K $0.54 · 4 weeks ago 5 0x924379 Sports sharp Croatia · YES $307K $0.52 · 4 weeks ago 6 0xcd30f4 Sports sharp Croatia · YES $300K $0.54 · 4 weeks ago 7 0xb4bad1 Sports sharp Croatia · YES $277K $0.54 · 4 weeks ago 8 bettguy Sports sharp Croatia · YES $251K $0.53 · 4 weeks ago 9 Badgeroff Sports sharp Croatia · YES $200K $0.55 · 4 weeks ago 10 surfandturf Sports sharp Ghana · YES $192K $0.55 · 4 weeks ago Pre-news entries indicate the trade preceded the news event. They do not imply insider information. Probabilities are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations.