Home / Prediction Markets / Sports / Algeria vs. Austria Result: 3-3 Draw, Both Advance Algeria vs. Austria Result: 3-3 Draw, Both Advance View on Polymarket → Share SS Steve Silverman Sport Expert Market Resolved Embed NEW Embed this market Full Compact Copy Updated July 16, 2026 5 min read Resolution Verdict ALGERIA (OR DRAW) Market Resolved Market has ended. Final implied probability: 100%. Resolved Overview Whale activity Volume $13.2M $12.6M in 24h Liquidity $2.1M Deep liquidity 7-Day Move +12% Sustained buying Time Left Ended Resolves Jun 28 13.2M Vol. Ended 1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL Select lines to display Draw $244K Vol. 100% Yes -- No 0¢ Draw $3K Vol. 100% Yes -- No 0¢ Largest Trade $348,563 0x4c6a...0f47 (+$0) voted with: Austria · YES Jun 28, 2026 at 1:58am Most Recent $25,260 crypto-ericwu voted Draw · YES Jun 28, 2026 Trader Rank Amount Position Volume PnL ROI Time crypto-ericwu - $25,260 Draw YES $108.6K - - Jun 28, 2026 0xccd8...f4de - $44,089 Draw YES $1.9M - - Jun 28, 2026 hbqasbanana02 - $89,284 Draw YES $418.0K - - Jun 28, 2026 crypto-ericwu - $50,520 Draw YES $108.6K - - Jun 28, 2026 0x7225...659a - $152,686 Draw YES $19.2M - - Jun 28, 2026 0x7225...659a - $89,271 Draw YES $19.2M - - Jun 28, 2026 0x7225...659a - $112,309 Draw YES $19.2M - - Jun 28, 2026 0x7225...659a - $121,074 Draw YES $19.2M - - Jun 28, 2026 0x7225...659a - $116,816 Draw YES $19.2M - - Jun 28, 2026 0x7225...659a - $141,440 Draw YES $19.2M - - Jun 28, 2026 Algeria and Austria played out a stunning 3-3 draw to settle the Algeria vs. Austria prediction market on June 27, 2026, with both sides advancing to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32. Riyad Mahrez delivered a 90’+3 captain’s goal that briefly threatened to eliminate Austria, only for Sasa Kalajdzic to head in a last-gasp equalizer seconds later and send both nations through. The draw market closed at 49.5 percent on Polymarket, making this one of the most evenly priced outcomes of the group stage. That near-coin-flip read proved accurate: the match went to the final whistle as one of the most chaotic draws the 2026 World Cup produced. Sponsored Partner What Happened in Algeria vs. Austria Austria struck first when Marko Arnautovic headed home in the 28th minute, giving Das Team an early lead. Algeria responded before halftime, with Rafik Belghali equalizing at the stroke of 45 minutes to make it 1-1 at the break. Marcel Sabitzer restored Austria’s advantage in the 55th minute with a composed finish, and the match looked to be heading Austria’s way. Algeria pushed hard and Riyad Mahrez leveled at 60 minutes, setting up a tense final stretch at 2-2. With Iran watching nervously, the game appeared set to end in a draw that suited both sides. Algeria then disrupted the arrangement. Mahrez scored his second goal in the third minute of stoppage time to make it 3-2, putting Austria on the brink of group-stage elimination. Sasa Kalajdzic had other ideas. The towering striker, introduced as a substitute, latched onto a Michael Gregoritsch cross from the right and nodded in to make it 3-3 in the dying seconds. Both teams celebrated. Iran was eliminated. The draw settled the YES outcome and resolved the Polymarket market. How the Market Called It The Draw market closed at 49.5 percent on Polymarket, meaning traders essentially split down the middle between a draw and either outright winner. That near-even split reflected real uncertainty: Group J’s final day featured Argentina already confirmed as group winners, leaving Algeria and Austria in a tense, three-way battle with Iran for the remaining spots. The market classified this as a narrow call — not a confident favorite, not a surprise upset, but a genuine toss-up that traders could not separate. The 3-3 result vindicated the market’s reluctance to commit. More than $13.1 million in total volume flowed through this market, making it one of the higher-liquidity group-stage draws on Polymarket and confirming that real capital stood behind the uncertain read. The 24-hour volume of $12.6 million — nearly the entire lifetime volume arriving in the final day — shows how late traders piled in as the match approached and the stakes became clearer. What Is Next Austria advanced from Group J as runners-up and faces Spain at Los Angeles Stadium on July 2. Austria’s Round of 32 match against Spain is the next live market to watch for traders tracking Das Team’s World Cup run. Algeria advanced as one of the eight best third-placed teams and faces Switzerland in Vancouver on July 2. Algeria’s Round of 32 market against Switzerland is the live market for traders following the Desert Foxes into the knockout stage. Both matches are live on Lines.com. Visit the FIFA World Cup 2026 hub to find outrights, round-by-round markets, and Golden Boot markets still in play. LINES RESOLUTION VERDICT DRAW (3-3) Algeria and Austria shared the points in one of the most dramatic group-stage finishes of the 2026 World Cup, with both nations advancing after a last-gasp Kalajdzic header. The result matched the market’s near-even read and settled the Draw outcome exactly as the coin-flip closing price suggested it might. Frequently Asked QuestionsWho won Algeria vs. Austria?Neither team won outright. Algeria and Austria drew 3-3 on June 27, 2026, in their FIFA World Cup 2026 Group J finale at Kansas City Stadium. Both teams advanced to the Round of 32, eliminating Iran.What was the final score of Algeria vs. Austria?The final score was Algeria 3-3 Austria. Scorers for Algeria were Rafik Belghali and Riyad Mahrez (twice). Austria's goals came from Marko Arnautovic, Marcel Sabitzer, and Sasa Kalajdzic.Did the favorite win, and what did the market price?There was no clear favorite. The Draw market closed at 49.5 percent on Polymarket, a near-even split. The draw outcome resolved the market correctly, matching the market's assessment that any result was possible.How did the Algeria vs. Austria match resolve?The match resolved in regulation time with a 3-3 draw. Riyad Mahrez scored in the 90th-plus-three-minute mark to make it 3-2, and Sasa Kalajdzic equalized in the final seconds to seal the draw.What is next for Algeria and Austria, and where can traders trade it?Austria faces Spain on July 2 at Los Angeles Stadium. Algeria meets Switzerland on July 2 in Vancouver. Both Round of 32 matches are live prediction markets on Polymarket and tracked on Lines.com.How is the Smart Money Index calculated?We aggregate the live positions of the top 50 Polymarket whales (ranked by 30-day tracked volume) into one composite reading per market. It refreshes every hour. The percentage shows how many of those whales hold YES versus NO; the net dollar position shows the cohort's directional exposure in dollars.What is a convergence signal?A convergence event fires when three or more tracked wallets buy the same outcome on the same market within a four-hour window. We surface these in the activity feed and the VIP digest.Is Lines a market operator?No. Lines is an editorial and data product. We do not operate prediction markets, custody funds, or accept trades. All trade flows deep-link to Polymarket via our affiliate code. Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. What the smart money is doing The top 50 Polymarket whales lean YES +100 points on this market. 100% of the cohort holds YES; 0% holds NO. Net dollar position favors YES. Market Resolved Outcome: UNCERTAIN Final Price 51% Settled Jun 28, 2026 Duration 82 days Resolution Analysis Austria Executes and Advances Austria organizes defensively, absorbs Algeria pressure, and strikes on the counter. European tactical discipline contains Mahrez and Amoura. Austria closes with a clean sheet and three points. The 42.5% market probability understated their quality. Algeria Controls and Converts Algeria's attacking trio finds space early and punishes Austria's high defensive line. Amoura and Mahrez combine for the opener inside thirty minutes. Austria chases the game and concedes again. The 57.5% market positioning pays off fully. Austria Fights Back From a Deficit Algeria scores first and appears in control. Austria's coaching staff responds with aggressive substitutions and a tactical shift. Austria equalizes and then finds a late winner. A result that the market called unlikely becomes a stunning Group J conclusion. A Draw Keeps Both Teams in Limbo Neither side can separate. Defensive solidity neutralizes both attacks across ninety minutes. The match ends level. Austria's World Cup hopes hinge on other group results, while Algeria banks a point and waits on the standings. Key macro factor: 2026 FIFA World Cup Group J final matchday stakes drive both teams toward bold tactics and high-intensity play. Market Timeline Apr 6, 2026, 10:21 PM Market Created Apr 6, 2026, 10:49 PM Market Opened Jun 28, 2026 Market Resolution Related Prediction Markets Moving Now The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Anna Frey vs Maria Aran Teixido Garcia GARCI 100% FREY 0% GARCI FREY Read Article Moving Now Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Remy Bertola ILAGAN 61% BERTOLA 40% ILAGAN BERTOLA Read Article Moving Now Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Edas Butvilas MCDONAL 64% BUTVILA 36% MCDONAL BUTVILA Read Article Moving Now Pesternikov Denys vs. Shcherbak Denys DENYS 100% DENY 0% DENYS DENY 🔒 1 whale wallet active on this market · real-time Create an Account → Read Article Moving Now Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers TEX 97% SEA 3% TEX SEA 🔒 2 whale wallets active on this market · real-time Create an Account → Read Article Moving Now KBO: KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagles 60% chance Yes No Read Article Moving Now LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend BLG 61% AL 40% BLG AL Read Article Moving Now Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC CHI 50% Draw 21% VWH 35% CHI DRAW VWH Read Article Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC SGR 43% Draw 18% BGU 43% SGR Draw BGU Read Article Loading... Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on Market Comments Loading comments… Whale activity on this market Last 30 days. Cohort is the top tracked wallets by 30-day volume. Whale volume (30d) $3.9M 29.3% of market Unique whales 14 traded in window Net positioning $3.9M cohort leans YES Largest single $349K 0x4c6a21 on YES Top whales holding this market # Wallet Cluster Side Size Entry 1 0x4c6a21 Sports sharp Austria · YES $349K $0.28 · 4 weeks ago 2 0x076daa Sports sharp Draw · YES $192K $0.54 · 4 weeks ago 3 mooseborzoi Sports sharp Draw · YES $183K $0.45 · 4 weeks ago 4 rabbitfoot1 Sports sharp Draw · YES $178K $0.47 · 4 weeks ago 5 0x82ba1b Sports sharp Austria · YES $174K $0.28 · 4 weeks ago 6 0x72254f Sports sharp Draw · YES $164K $0.66 · 4 weeks ago 7 0xba4563 Sports sharp Draw · YES $162K $0.59 · 4 weeks ago 8 0x924379 Sports sharp Draw · YES $132K $0.46 · 4 weeks ago 9 0xc67a7e Sports sharp Austria · YES $91K $0.30 · 4 weeks ago 10 hbqasbanana02 Sports sharp Draw · YES $89K $0.90 · 4 weeks ago Pre-news entries indicate the trade preceded the news event. They do not imply insider information. Probabilities are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations.