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Team Yandex vs Team Spirit Result: Yandex Win 2-0

Team Yandex vs Team Spirit Result: Yandex Win 2-0

Market called it correctly

Implied 100% at publication · Resolved YES · Brier score: 0.00

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SS Steve Silverman Sport Expert
Market Resolved
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Resolution Verdict
TEAM YANDEX Market Resolved

Market has ended. Final implied probability: 100%.

Resolved
Real Money Odds Book
Total
Over O 2.5
Under U 2.5
Volume
$3.3M
$3.3M in 24h
Liquidity
$954.0K
Deep liquidity
Time Left
Ended
Resolves Jul 16
3.3M Vol. Ended
Team Yandex
Team Yandex $412K Vol.
0%
Team Spirit
Team Spirit $412K Vol.
0%
Largest Trade
$90,909
0xe16d...5e30 (-$2.8K)
voted with: TY · TEAM YANDE
Jul 16, 2026 at 11:23am
Most Recent
$25,254
0x4aec...4ce9 voted TY · TEAM YANDE 4 days ago
Trader Rank Amount Position Volume PnL ROI Time
0x4aec...4ce9 - $25,254 TY TEAM YANDE $411.8K - - Jul 16, 2026
superbeter007 - $49,407 TY TEAM YANDE $711.4K - - Jul 16, 2026
0x73b1...bd8b - $28,882 TY TEAM YANDE $130.9K - - Jul 16, 2026
0x4aec...4ce9 - $28,944 TY TEAM YANDE $411.8K - - Jul 16, 2026
0xe16d...5e30 #1,644,479 $90,909 TY TEAM YANDE $1.6M -$2.8K -0.2% Jul 16, 2026

Team Yandex beat Team Spirit 2-0 in the Esports World Cup 2026 Dota 2 quarterfinals, settling the Team Yandex vs Team Spirit prediction market with a commanding sweep. Alimzhan “Watson” Islambekov’s Ultra Kill on Nature’s Prophet in Game 1 set the tone for a dominant performance that ended defending champion Team Spirit’s title defence.

Polymarket closed Team Yandex as the clear favorite heading into the series, and the 2-0 sweep confirmed that read. Team Yandex advance to the EWC 2026 semifinals, while Team Spirit exit in 5th-8th place with $70,000 in prize money.

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What Happened: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit at EWC 2026

Game 1 began with Team Yandex seizing control early. Yandex invaded Team Spirit’s Wisdom Rune shrine at the seven-minute mark, triggering an Ultra Kill for Watson on Nature’s Prophet. That gold surge gave Yandex a strong foundation, though Team Spirit gradually fought back by finding pick-offs across the map. Team Spirit also secured an early Aegis for Illya “Yatoro” Mulyarchuk’s Kez, keeping the game competitive into the mid-stage.

Team Spirit’s comeback bid fell short as Team Yandex tightened their grip through superior teamfight coordination. Yandex closed out Game 1 in 44 minutes and 23 seconds, posting a 24-23 kill score in a hard-fought opener. Game 2 saw Team Yandex deliver an even cleaner display, removing any doubt about who was the stronger side in this Esports World Cup 2026 quarterfinal bracket.

How the Market Called It

Polymarket closed Team Yandex at 100 percent probability ahead of the series resolving. That final number reflects a market that moved decisively in Yandex’s favor as the match unfolded. The market correctly favored Team Yandex, and the 2-0 scoreline validated that conviction entirely.

The market drew $3.3 million in total volume on this matchup, reflecting deep trader engagement around a quarterfinal between two of Dota 2’s premier organizations. Team Yandex’s win settled the YES outcome at full value, rewarding traders who backed the favorite to advance from the bracket.

Where the Big Money Landed

Whale-level activity on this market produced a clear split in trade direction. The largest single position came from wallet 0xe16d…5e30, which placed a $90,909 buy backing Team Yandex when the market stood near 55 cents—well before the final price settled. That early entry proved profitable as Yandex swept Team Spirit in two games.

Several high-volume sell trades emerged near the close from traders locking in gains. superbeter007 sold $49,407 at 99.9 cents, while 0x4aec…4ce9 exited $28,944 and later $25,254 at the same price, capturing profit after the result became clear. Wallet 0x73b1…bd8b placed a $28,882 buy at 99.9 cents in the final stage, securing only marginal upside. The early buyer at 55 cents made the sharpest entry of the market, riding Yandex’s sweep to a roughly 45-cent gain per share.

What Is Next for Team Yandex

Team Yandex advance to the EWC 2026 Dota 2 semifinals, where they await the winner of PARIVISION versus Rune Eaters Esports. Yandex are now guaranteed at least a top-4 finish at the Esports World Cup 2026. Prediction markets for the EWC 2026 Dota 2 semifinal are live on Lines.com, and the EWC Dota 2 hub collects every active tournament market in one place for easy access.

LINES RESOLUTION VERDICT

TEAM YANDEX

Team Yandex swept Team Spirit 2-0 in a clinical quarterfinal performance that matched the market’s final read, advancing to the EWC 2026 Dota 2 semifinals as the tournament’s top remaining contender.

Frequently Asked Questions

Team Yandex won the match 2-0, eliminating defending champion Team Spirit from the Esports World Cup 2026 Dota 2 Playoffs on July 16, 2026.

Team Yandex defeated Team Spirit 2-0 in a best-of-three series, sweeping both games without dropping a map.

Yes. Polymarket closed Team Yandex at 100 percent probability at resolution. The market correctly favored Team Yandex across the full series.

The match resolved in regulation across two games. Team Yandex swept the best-of-three without needing a Game 3.

Team Yandex advance to the EWC 2026 Dota 2 semifinals to face the PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters winner. Traders can find the next prediction market on Lines.com.

We aggregate the live positions of the top 50 Polymarket whales (ranked by 30-day tracked volume) into one composite reading per market. It refreshes every hour. The percentage shows how many of those whales hold YES versus NO; the net dollar position shows the cohort's directional exposure in dollars.

A convergence event fires when three or more tracked wallets buy the same outcome on the same market within a four-hour window. We surface these in the activity feed and the VIP digest.

No. Lines is an editorial and data product. We do not operate prediction markets, custody funds, or accept trades. All trade flows deep-link to Polymarket via our affiliate code. Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations.

Market Resolved Outcome: YES
Final Price 100%
Settled Jul 16, 2026
Duration 1 day

Resolution Analysis

Team Yandex Sweeps in Two

Team Yandex carries their group stage momentum into the quarterfinal and closes the series two games to zero. TY's aggressive early-game drafting overwhelms Team Spirit before the defending champions settle, delivering the most market-expected outcome and the clean sweep traders have priced in at eighty-eight percent.

Team Spirit Forces Three Games

Team Spirit channels championship experience to steal Game 1 and drag the series to a deciding third game. A three-game scenario opens Team Yandex to draft adaptation pressure, giving the defending EWC champions a narrow window to pull off the tournament's biggest quarterfinal upset.

Spirit Repeats BLAST Slam VII Upset

Team Spirit replicate their two to one win over Team Yandex from BLAST SLAM VII, leaning on late-game teamfight composition to outlast TY across three grueling games. A contested Roshan fight in Game 3 becomes the decisive swing, and Spirit advance as the EWC's most stunning quarterfinal result.

Ultra Kill Chaos Flips the Narrative

An early Ultra Kill or Rampage — both active prop markets for this series — flips momentum in a critical game and rattles Team Yandex. High kill-count scenarios signal a chaotic tempo that could neutralize TY's structural advantage and compress the series into an unpredictable Game 3 decider.

Key macro factor: Team Spirit's status as defending Esports World Cup champions gives them tournament-specific experience that raw group stage records cannot fully capture, keeping the twelve percent Spirit price from collapsing even as TY's market position solidifies.

Market Timeline

Jul 15, 3:21 PM
Market Created
Jul 15, 3:25 PM
Market Opened
Jul 15, 3:26 PM
Event Start
Thursday, Jul 16
Market Resolution

Market Comments

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only.