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Midterms

Market of the Day

VA-07 House Election Winner

$0 Volume ↑ 31% today
87% Yes chance
Yes 87%
No 13%
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MD-08 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 93%
Republican Party 7%

ME-01 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 94%
Republican Party 6%

Blue tsunami in 2026?

42% chance

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

57% chance

CA-17 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 96%
Republican Party 2%

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

6% chance

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

Not Extended & Democratic Party 81%
Not Extended & Republican Party 19%

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Shutdown & Democratic Party 81%
Shutdown & Republican Party 18%

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 190 29%
195-199 21%

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

24–25 35%
22–23 26%

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47 26%
51 18%

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

36–39 68%
32–35 17%