Congress Market of the Day CA-14 Special Election Winner? $1.1k Volume ↑ 16% today View Market Aisha Wahab 94% Yes No Melissa Hernandez 4% Yes No Wendy Huang 3% Yes No +4 more 94% Leading Aisha Wahab 94% Melissa H… 4% Wendy Huang 3% +4 more Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Tony Gonzales charged by June 30? 11% chance Yes No 2026 Midterms: House Turnout 120-125m 35% Yes No 130m+ 27% Yes No H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? 11% chance Yes No Blue tsunami in 2026? 42% chance Yes No Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? 16% chance Yes No Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? 13% chance Yes No Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? 6% chance Yes No How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary? 2 80% Yes No 3 13% Yes No How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary? Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? 80% Yes No 2 42% Yes No Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? ≤47 28% Yes No 51 18% Yes No ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026? Not Extended & Democratic Party 81% Yes No Not Extended & Republican Party 19% Yes No Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026? Shutdown & Democratic Party 81% Yes No Shutdown & Republican Party 18% Yes No Previous 1 2 3 4 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on