Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by…? $26k Volume ↓ 41% today View Market Watch June 30 39% Yes No May 15 0% Yes No May 31 0% Yes No 39% Leading June 30 39% May 15 0% May 31 0% Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by…? December 31 31% Yes No June 30 5% Yes No Insurrection Act invoked by…? December 31 17% Yes No June 30 2% Yes No Moving Now Israel military action against Yemen by…? June 30 10% Yes No March 31 0% Yes No FL-09 Republican Primary Winner Thomas Chalifoux 41% Yes No Howard Steven Rance 33% Yes No U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by…? March 31 100% Yes No June 30 100% Yes No Which cities will Russia enter by June 30? Dopropillia 5% Yes No Sloviansk 1% Yes No Iran coup attempt by June 30? 1% chance Yes No Will Trump visit Greenland by…? December 31 11% Yes No March 31 0% Yes No Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? 13% chance Yes No Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by…? December 31 17% Yes No September 30 9% Yes No Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner Amal Movement (Amal) 9% Yes No Lebanese Forces (LF) 3% Yes No NATO dissolves before 2027? 4% chance Yes No Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? 4% chance Yes No How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election? 325–339 32% Yes No 340–354 28% Yes No Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027? 0% chance Yes No NE-02 House Election Winner Democratic Party 78% Yes No Republican Party 16% Yes No Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time? 30+ Years 100% Yes No No Prison Time 0% Yes No NV-03 House Election Winner Democratic Party 85% Yes No Republican Party 35% Yes No Moving Now NV-04 House Election Winner Democratic Party 60% Yes No Republican Party 17% Yes No Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30? 13% chance Yes No Quebec General Election Winner PQ 63% Yes No CAQ 17% Yes No NH-02 House Election Winner Democratic Party 89% Yes No Republican Party 11% Yes No NJ-05 House Election Winner Democratic Party 76% Yes No Republican Party 23% Yes No Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? 16% chance Yes No NJ-09 House Election Winner Democratic Party 73% Yes No Republican Party 23% Yes No Berlin State Election Winner CDU 32% Yes No Grüne 28% Yes No NM-02 House Election Winner Democratic Party 76% Yes No Republican Party 23% Yes No NY-03 House Election Winner Democratic Party 57% Yes No Republican Party 27% Yes No Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? 100% chance Yes No Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas 90% Yes No Jim Priest 6% Yes No Moving Now NY-04 House Election Winner Democratic Party 65% Yes No Republican Party 38% Yes No NY-17 House Election Winner Democratic Party 71% Yes No Republican Party 36% Yes No Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner Michele Tafoya 91% Yes No Adam Schwarze 6% Yes No Previous 1 … 25 26 27 28 29 … 57 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on