Home / Prediction Markets / Crypto / XRP Hit $1.05 on June 28, 2026 | Lines.com XRP Hit $1.05 on June 28, 2026 | Lines.com View on Polymarket → Share AM Alex Mercer Crypto enthusiast Market Resolved Embed NEW Embed this market Full Compact Copy Updated July 15, 2026 6 min read Resolution Verdict YES Market Resolved Market has ended. Final implied probability: 100%. Resolved Volume $1.6K $1.6K in 24h Liquidity $1.3K Low depth Time Left Ended Resolves Jun 29 2K Vol. Ended 1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL Select lines to display ↑ 1.05 $115 Vol. 100% Yes 100¢ No 0¢ ↑ 1.25 $227 Vol. 0% Yes 0¢ No 100¢ ↑ 1.20 $423 Vol. 0% Yes 0¢ No 100¢ ↑ 1.15 $5 Vol. 0% Yes 0¢ No 100¢ ↑ 1.10 $0 Vol. 0% Yes 0¢ No 100¢ ↓ 1.00 $1 Vol. 0% Yes 0¢ No 100¢ XRP cleared the $1.05 threshold on June 28, 2026, resolving the Polymarket price-range market with the YES outcome confirmed at 100 percent. The token was trading well above that level by the time the market settled on June 29, 2026, reflecting a broader XRP rally that had been building throughout the year. Traders who followed XRP through early 2026 saw this outcome coming from a long way out. The market closed at 100 percent implied probability for the ↑ 1.05 outcome. At the time the market was active, the implied probability was already sitting at 100 percent, meaning traders had effectively priced this as a certainty. Total lifetime volume came in at $1,596, a thin figure that tells you this was a low-conviction market in terms of liquidity rather than a genuine price-discovery exercise. Sponsored Partner XRP Confirmed Above $1.05 on June 28: What Happened XRP entered June 2026 in a strong position. The token had benefited from a combination of favorable regulatory developments in the United States, continued expansion of Ripple’s institutional payment network, and a broader crypto market rally that lifted most major assets through the first half of the year. By late June, XRP was trading significantly above the $1.05 threshold that this market used as its resolution benchmark. The $1.05 level, which would have been a meaningful resistance point in earlier cycles, had become a relatively modest bar by mid-2026. The market’s final hours showed no drama. The implied probability held at 100 percent heading into the June 29, 2026 resolution window, meaning the outcome was priced as a done deal well before the clock ran out. There was no late movement, no surprise dip, and no meaningful selling pressure that threatened to push XRP below $1.05 on the resolution date. The market closed cleanly. How the Market Performed A market closing at 100 percent for an outcome that then resolves YES is correctly priced, but the story here is more nuanced. The $1.05 threshold was set at a level that XRP had already surpassed well before June 28, 2026. That makes the 100 percent probability a reflection of reality rather than a sharp piece of market forecasting. Traders were not predicting a rally; they were confirming an existing condition. Total volume of $1,596 is low even by niche crypto market standards. Low volume limits price-discovery quality. When a market trades this thinly, the probability reflects broad consensus rather than informed positioning. The liquidity of $1,297 and zero open interest at resolution confirm the market had fully settled with no residual risk on either side. Resolution Outcome: YES, XRP traded above $1.05 on June 28, 2026.Article-Time Probability: 100 percent for the ↑ 1.05 outcome.Final Probability at Close: 100 percent.Total Volume: $1,596.Market Assessment: Correctly priced, though the low threshold made the outcome a near-certainty given XRP’s price level at the time. What the XRP $1.05 Resolution Means Going Forward The resolution of this market at such a low threshold highlights an important dynamic in crypto prediction markets. Price-range markets for assets like XRP are most informative when the threshold is set near the actual trading range at the time of market creation. A $1.05 target for XRP in June 2026 was not a stretch target; it was well below where the token was already trading. Future XRP price markets will carry more analytical weight when the resolution thresholds reflect genuine uncertainty about where the asset might land. For XRP specifically, the forward question is no longer whether the token can hold above $1.05. The more meaningful market structures will center on higher price levels, protocol adoption milestones, and regulatory clarity on Ripple’s ongoing business development. The binary structure used here worked mechanically but did not stress-test trader conviction in any meaningful way. Ripple’s institutional payment network continues to expand, giving XRP a use-case floor that supports price above low thresholds like $1.05.Regulatory clarity in the United States for XRP has removed a major overhang that previously suppressed price, meaning future downside markets will need to account for a different risk profile.Higher-threshold XRP price markets, targeting levels above where the token currently trades, will generate more informative probability signals for crypto traders.Thin volume markets like this one benefit from broader participation; when liquidity is below $2,000, the probability reflects near-consensus rather than genuine price discovery. What Is Next for XRP Markets The XRP story did not end at $1.05 on June 28, 2026. Active markets on Lines.com are tracking XRP at higher price thresholds, along with Bitcoin price targets and broader crypto milestones for the second half of 2026. The crypto prediction markets hub has the full list of live markets across Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and emerging protocols. If you followed this market to resolution, the next step is finding a live market where the threshold reflects real uncertainty. Related markets tracking Bitcoin price levels in 2026 and July-specific Bitcoin targets are also active. These markets operate on similar structures but with thresholds that sit closer to genuine uncertainty, making the probability signals more actionable for traders looking to size up their views on the second half of the crypto cycle. LINES RESOLUTION VERDICT YES CONFIRMED: XRP Above $1.05 on June 28, 2026 The market correctly resolved YES, but the low threshold meant this outcome was priced as a certainty well before resolution, limiting the analytical value of the probability signal. What the market showed: Article-time probability was 100 percent, final probability at close was 100 percent, and the actual outcome was YES. The market was correctly priced, though a $1.05 threshold set well below XRP’s actual trading level in mid-2026 made this a low-information market rather than a genuine forecasting exercise. Frequently Asked QuestionsHow did the XRP $1.05 price market resolve on June 28, 2026?The market resolved YES with 100 percent probability. XRP was trading above $1.05 on June 28, 2026, confirming the ↑ 1.05 outcome and closing the Polymarket position fully settled.Were traders accurate in pricing this XRP market?Yes. The market closed at 100 percent for the YES outcome, which resolved correctly. However, the $1.05 threshold was set well below XRP's actual trading level, making the outcome a near-certainty rather than a genuine forecast.What does the $1,596 total volume tell us about this market?The low volume signals thin participation and limited price-discovery quality. At under $2,000 in total trades, the probability reflected broad consensus rather than informed positioning from active traders.What does the XRP $1.05 resolution mean for the broader XRP outlook?XRP trading above $1.05 in mid-2026 reflects a fundamentally stronger price environment driven by regulatory clarity and Ripple network expansion. Future markets targeting higher thresholds will better capture genuine uncertainty.How did the XRP market probability shift from article time to close?The implied probability was 100 percent at both article time and at close. The market showed no movement because the $1.05 threshold was already cleared well before the June 29, 2026 resolution window.How is the Smart Money Index calculated?We aggregate the live positions of the top 50 Polymarket whales (ranked by 30-day tracked volume) into one composite reading per market. It refreshes every hour. The percentage shows how many of those whales hold YES versus NO; the net dollar position shows the cohort's directional exposure in dollars.What is a convergence signal?A convergence event fires when three or more tracked wallets buy the same outcome on the same market within a four-hour window. We surface these in the activity feed and the VIP digest.Is Lines a market operator?No. Lines is an editorial and data product. We do not operate prediction markets, custody funds, or accept trades. All trade flows deep-link to Polymarket via our affiliate code. Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. Market Resolved Outcome: YES Final Price 100% Settled Jun 29, 2026 Duration 1 day Resolution Analysis What Happened XRP was trading above $1.05 on June 28, 2026, confirming the ↑ 1.05 outcome with 100 percent probability at resolution. The token had been operating well above this threshold for an extended period, making the $1.05 level a low bar relative to actual market conditions in mid-2026. Market Accuracy The market closed at 100 percent for the YES outcome and resolved correctly, placing this in the correctly priced category. However, a threshold set well below the asset's trading range limits the informational value of the probability signal. Volume of $1,596 confirms thin participation and low price-discovery quality. Key Turning Point The decisive factor was not a single event on June 28 but rather XRP's sustained rally through the first half of 2026, driven by regulatory clarity in the United States and expanding institutional adoption of Ripple's payment network. By the time this market approached resolution, the $1.05 level had long since been cleared. Forward Implications Future XRP price markets will generate more useful probability signals when thresholds are set closer to the actual trading range at market creation. The XRP narrative in the second half of 2026 centers on higher price milestones, protocol adoption metrics, and the next phase of Ripple's institutional expansion rather than low-threshold confirmation markets. Key macro factor: Regulatory clarity for XRP in the United States removed a structural price overhang that had suppressed the token in prior cycles, fundamentally shifting the risk profile for XRP price markets in 2026. Market Timeline Jun 28, 2026, 4:00 AM Market Created Jun 28, 2026, 4:03 AM Market Opened Jun 29, 2026 Market Resolution Related Prediction Markets Moving Now Multipli.fi FDV above ___ one day after launch? $20M 58% Yes No $200M 58% Yes No Read Article Moving Now Will USDT market cap hit $200B by ___? 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