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2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament: Winner
Javokhir Sindarov
100%
Yes
No
Anish Giri
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
100%
chance
Yes
No
Resolved
Houthis successfully target shipping by…?
April 30
0%
Yes
No
March 31
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
100%
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Yes
No
Resolved
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↑ $41,500
100%
Yes
No
↓ $40,250
1%
Yes
No
Resolved
Israeli forces enter Beirut by…?
April 30
0%
Yes
No
March 31
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office
190-200m
100%
Yes
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0%
Yes
No
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June 30
100%
Yes
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April 30
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Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote
50-54%
98%
Yes
No
54%+
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Hungary Election: TISZA wins___seats?
130+
100%
Yes
No
100+
100%
Yes
No
Resolved
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?
80+
0%
Yes
No
100+
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports (BO3) – VCT EMEA Group Omega
Map 1 Winner
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100%
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Map 1 Winner
100%
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O/U 2.5 Games
100%
O 2.5
U 2.5
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Bahrain Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish
Lewis Hamilton
51%
Yes
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Oliver Bearman
51%
Yes
No
Resolved
Where will Kirk Cousins play in 2026-27?
Las Vegas Raiders
100%
Yes
No
Arizona Cardinals
0%
Yes
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Resolved
Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
100%
Yes
No
$50M
100%
Yes
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Resolved
Military action against Iran ends by…?
April 30
100%
Yes
No
May 31
100%
Yes
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US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
100%
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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?
0%
chance
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Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1?
325M
0%
Yes
No
300M
0%
Yes
No
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# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?
130+
100%
Yes
No
70–79
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election
77–80%
100%
Yes
No
74–77%
0%
Yes
No
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# of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in Hungary parliamentary election?
<70
100%
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70-84
0%
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PB
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U 4.5
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Spread -2.5
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O/U 6.5
100%
O 6.5
U 6.5
Oilers vs. Sharks
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March Inflation US – Annual (Higher Brackets)
3.3%
100%
Yes
No
2.9%
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
March Inflation US – Monthly
≥0.8%
100%
Yes
No
0.4%
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Price of Dozen Eggs in March?
$2.25–2.50
100%
Yes
No
<$2.00
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Claude 4.7 released by…?
May 31
100%
Yes
No
June 30
100%
Yes
No
Resolved
Trump out as President by June 30?
0%
chance
Yes
No
Resolved
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O/U 4.5
100%
O 4.5
U 4.5
O/U 5.5
100%
O 5.5
U 5.5
Resolved
Oilers vs. Utah
O/U 4.5
100%
O 4.5
U 4.5
O/U 5.5
100%
O 5.5
U 5.5
Resolved
Predators vs. Ducks
Predators vs. Ducks
100%
Yes
No
O/U 4.5
100%
O 4.5
U 4.5
Resolved
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by…?
June 30
0%
Yes
No
March 31
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
GPT-5.5 released by…?
June 30
100%
Yes
No
April 30
100%
Yes
No
Resolved
NCAA Tournament: National Champion Conference
Big Ten
100%
Yes
No
Big East
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
o1 FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
100%
Yes
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$300M
100%
Yes
No
Resolved
UEFA Champions League: Home country of champion
France
100%
Yes
No
England
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
UEFA Europa League: Home country of champion
England
61%
Yes
No
Germany
39%
Yes
No
Resolved
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC
Manchester City FC
100%
Liverpool FC
0%
Manchester City FC
Liverpool FC
Resolved
UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to semis
Paris Saint-Germain (PSG)
100%
Yes
No
Atlético Madrid
100%
Yes
No
Resolved
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O/U 4.5
100%
O 4.5
U 4.5
O/U 5.5
100%
O 5.5
U 5.5
Resolved
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O/U 4.5
100%
O 4.5
U 4.5
O/U 5.5
100%
O 5.5
U 5.5
Resolved
Blackhawks vs. Sharks
O/U 4.5
100%
O 4.5
U 4.5
Blackhawks vs. Sharks
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Predators vs. Kings
O/U 4.5
100%
O 4.5
U 4.5
Predators vs. Kings
0%
Yes
No
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