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Resolved
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 30?
21°C
100%
Yes
No
22°C
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Highest temperature in Busan on April 30?
18°C
100%
Yes
No
19°C
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 30?
36°C
100%
Yes
No
37°C or higher
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Will there be a Zeus kill in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 playoffs?
0%
chance
Yes
No
Resolved
Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 playoffs?
0%
chance
Yes
No
Resolved
Valorant: Melilla Titans vs FALKE ESPORTS (BO3) – VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs
Map Handicap: FLK (-1.5) vs Melilla Titans (+1.5)
100%
Yes
No
Match Winner
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Leo Team (BO3) – ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
Match Winner
100%
Yes
No
Map 1 Winner
100%
Yes
No
Resolved
Valorant: WIP Esports vs Joblife (BO3) – VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs
Map 2 Winner
100%
Yes
No
O/U 2.5 Games
100%
O 2.5
U 2.5
Resolved
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs UNiTY esports (BO3) – Conquest of Prague Online Stage Playoffs
Match Winner
100%
Yes
No
Map 1 Winner
100%
Yes
No
Resolved
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FOKUS (BO3) – VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffs
Map Handicap: FKS (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)
100%
Yes
No
Match Winner
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) – LCS Regular Season
Game 1 Winner
100%
Yes
No
Both Teams Slay a Dragon
100%
Yes
No
Resolved
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) – LCS Regular Season
Both Teams Slay a Dragon
100%
Yes
No
Both Teams Slay a Dragon
100%
Yes
No
Resolved
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
0%
chance
Yes
No
Resolved
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
1%
chance
Yes
No
Resolved
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Set 1 O/U 8.5
100%
O 1
U 1
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Set 1 O/U 9.5
100%
O 1
U 1
Resolved
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
100%
Yes
No
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 1 Winner
100%
Yes
No
Resolved
Highest temperature in Qingdao on April 29?
21°C
100%
Yes
No
22°C
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Will Elon Musk testify against Altman?
99%
chance
Yes
No
Resolved
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?
100%
chance
Yes
No
Resolved
Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?
0%
chance
Yes
No
Resolved
Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30?
0%
chance
Yes
No
Resolved
Trump out as President by May 31?
0%
chance
Yes
No
Resolved
Major US official out by May 31?
16%
chance
Yes
No
Resolved
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by May 31?
91%
chance
Yes
No
Resolved
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?
0%
chance
Yes
No
Resolved
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
0%
chance
Yes
No
Resolved
How low will Trump's approval rating go by end of May?
38.5%
100%
Yes
No
38.0%
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?
25-49
100%
Yes
No
<25
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Best AI model on May 1? (Style Control Off)
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
100%
Yes
No
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Best Chinese AI Company end of May?
Alibaba
100%
Yes
No
Baidu
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Which company has the best Coding AI model end of May?
Anthropic
100%
Yes
No
OpenAI
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of May?
Anthropic
100%
Yes
No
OpenAI
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?
Google
100%
Yes
No
Baidu
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?
0%
chance
Yes
No
Resolved
Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?
1950
100%
Yes
No
1800
100%
Yes
No
Resolved
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?
<2
100%
Yes
No
3
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Which AI company will have the highest revenue April 27-May 3?
Anthropic
100%
Yes
No
OpenAI
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue April 27-May 3?
OpenAI
100%
Yes
No
Anthropic
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Which company has the #3 AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
100%
Yes
No
Google
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Will Trump visit China on…?
May 13
100%
Yes
No
May 15
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
How many SpaceX launches in May?
12
100%
Yes
No
13
0%
Yes
No
Resolved
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Abyssal (BO3) – ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 Playoffs
Match Winner
100%
Yes
No
Map 2 Winner
100%
Yes
No
Resolved
Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK
Tromsø IL
67%
Draw (Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK)
20%
Tromsø IL
Draw (Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK)
Resolved
Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK
Sandefjord Fotball
52%
Fredrikstad FK
25%
Sandefjord Fotball
Fredrikstad FK
Resolved
US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?
0%
chance
Yes
No
Resolved
Which artists will have #1 hits in May?
Ariana Grande
100%
Yes
No
Drake
100%
Yes
No
Resolved
What will Trump say in May?
Pope
100%
Yes
No
Bunker
100%
Yes
No
Resolved
"Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office
3-3.5m
100%
Yes
No
<2m
0%
Yes
No
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