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Market of the Day

Lowest temperature in Paris on June 16?

$13k Volume ↑ 65.5% today
19°C 93% Yes No
18°C 5% Yes No
17°C 1% Yes No
+8 more
93% Leading
19°C 93%
18°C 5%
17°C 1%
+8 more
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Resolved

2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner

Chun Jae-soo 100%
Park Heong-joon 0%
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2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner

Choo Mi-ae 100%
Kim Dong-yeon 0%
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Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

100% chance
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Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

99% chance
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Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

100% chance
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Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by…?

December 31 100%
March 31 100%
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US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

93% chance
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Fed decision in April?

No change 100%
50+ bps decrease 0%
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Canada recession before 2027?

99% chance
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Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Josh Turek 100%
Chris Henry 0%
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Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner

DISY 77%
AKEL 24%
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Incheon Mayoral Election Winner

Park Chan-dae 100%
Yoo Jeong-bok 0%
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Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner

Park Soo-hyun 100%
Chung Jin-suk 0%
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Chungcheongbuk Province Governor Election Winner

Shin Yong-han 100%
Kim Young-hwan 0%
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Gangwon Province Governor Election Winner

Woo Sang-ho 100%
Kim Wan-seop 0%
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Next CEO of Apple?

John Ternus 100%
Sabih Khan 0%
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USD.AI FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$1B 100%
$500M 100%
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Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

Scott Wiener 100%
Connie Chan 1%
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2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

Democratic Party of Korea (DP) 100%
Progressive Party (PP) 0%
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MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 100%
June 30, 2026 100%
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GTA VI released before June 2026?

0% chance
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NBA Rookie of the Year

Cooper Flagg 100%
Dylan Harper 0%
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NBA Playoffs: Eastern Conference Champion

New York Knicks 80%
Cleveland Cavaliers 21%
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UEFA Champions League Winner

PSG 100%
Arsenal 0%
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Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Abelardo de la Espriella 100%
Iván Cepeda Castro 0%
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English Premier League – Last Place

Wolves 66%
Burnley 33%
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Serie A – Top Goalscorer

Lautaro Martinez 97%
Marcus Thuram 0%
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English Premier League – Top 4 Finish

Arsenal 100%
Manchester City 100%
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LALIGA – Top 4 Finish

Real Madrid 100%
Barcelona 100%
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MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$1B 100%
>$1.5B 100%
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UEFA Champions League: Top Scorer

Kylian Mbappe 100%
Ousmane Dembele 0%
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Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Ken Paxton 97%
John Cornyn 3%
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NHL: Eastern Conference Champion

Carolina Hurricanes 100%
Montreal Canadiens 0%
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NHL: Western Conference Champion

Vegas Golden Knights 100%
Colorado Avalanche 0%
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Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Péter Magyar 100%
Viktor Orbán 0%
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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

26% chance
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Claude 5 released by…?

June 30, 2026 100%
September 30, 2026 100%
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Nuclear weapon detonation by…?

Before 2027 22%
June 30 11%
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Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Graham Platner 100%
Janet Mills 0%
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South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

Lindsey Graham 100%
Paul Dans 0%
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Will Trump visit China by…?

May 31 100%
June 30 100%
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NHL: Pacific Division Winner

Vegas Golden Knights 100%
Edmonton Oilers 0%
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NHL: Central Division Winner

Colorado Avalanche 100%
Dallas Stars 0%
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NHL: Atlantic Division Winner

Buffalo Sabres 100%
Montreal Canadiens 0%

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