The Navy Midshipmen (10-2) travel to Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium to face the Cincinnati Bearcats (7-5) on January 2nd, 2026 at 4:30 pm. As you dive into this matchup, check out the betting odds, including the moneyline, spread, and over-under. The Edge AI sports betting tool is a great resource for finding the best bets. Navy’s Blake Horvath has been a key player, throwing for 1,472 yards with 10 touchdowns and rushing for another 1,147 yards and 15 touchdowns. Running back Alex Tecza adds 822 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns to the mix. Cincinnati counters with quarterback Brendan Sorsby, who has thrown for 2,786 yards and 26 touchdowns, while running back Tawee Walker contributes 709 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns. Both teams have some injury concerns, with Navy’s Cody Howard, Ian Pourciau, and Will Miller all listed as questionable, and Cincinnati’s Marqavious Saboor also uncertain. These injuries could impact each team’s performance on game day.
After 1,000 simulations, our model gives the Midshipmen a win probability of 28%, while the Bearcats have a win probability of 72%
Our Edge AI predicts a final score of Cincinnati Bearcats 31-21 Navy Midshipmen with a confidence score of 75%. These projections are based on 1,000 simulations and hundreds of data points, ensuring you have the most accurate predictions to inform your betting strategy.
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The Midshipmen, boasting a solid 10-2 record, are favored on the moneyline against the Bearcats, who sit at 7-5. With Navy’s strong rushing attack led by Blake Horvath and Cincinnati’s Brendan Sorsby showing promise through the air, this matchup could be closer than the odds suggest, making it a key game for bettors looking at the moneyline.
The Navy Midshipmen, with a strong 10-2 record, could find it challenging to cover the spread against the Cincinnati Bearcats at home. Cincinnati’s offense, led by Brendan Sorsby, has been productive enough to keep games close, and with both teams dealing with key injuries, the point spread could come down to which team executes better in critical moments.
The Midshipmen and Bearcats are both capable of putting points on the board, with Cincinnati averaging 46.5 points over their last two games. However, Navy’s ground game can control the clock, which might limit scoring opportunities. The interplay between Navy’s rushing attack and Cincinnati’s explosive offense will heavily influence whether this matchup goes over or under the total.
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