Hmdesktop
E

Erasmus.

0xc658…b784 View on Polymarket → Last active 22h ago
$4.1M Total Volume
34 Trades
11 Markets
$428.3k Largest Bet
$121.6k Avg Bet Size
+$4.8M Realized PnL
+365.9% ROI
100.0% Win Rate
4W · 0L Resolved Record
#1,561,978 Leaderboard Rank
🔒 Know the next time this wallet moves. Sign up free to get alerts when this wallet trades. Sign up free

Cumulative PnL

+$4,780,123

Alerts for this wallet

Price movement On their active markets FREE
🔒 Whale on this market $100K+ move · real-time VIP
🔒 Convergence signal When 3+ wallets align · 4h VIP
🔒 Pre-news flag Clustering before catalysts VIP
3 of 4 alerts locked. Unlock all for $12/mo. Upgrade to VIP →

Category Breakdown

Last 90 days · share of volume
  • Other 100.0%

Recent Trades

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

4% chance
Yes No
Last bet $74.1k NO @ 90¢ 1 month ago
Total on this market $74.1k across 1 trade
$15.6m Vol. Read Article
7 whale wallets active on this market · real-time with VIP Upgrade →
Moving Now

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

14% chance
Yes No
Last bet $95.1k YES @ 27¢ 4 days ago
Total on this market $309.7k across 4 trades
$26.3m Vol.
23 whale wallets active on this market · real-time with VIP Upgrade →

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

0% chance
Yes No
Last bet $50.0k NO @ 92¢ 2 months ago
Total on this market $201.0k across 4 trades
$61m Vol. Read Article
31 whale wallets active on this market · real-time with VIP Upgrade →

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

10% chance
Yes No
Last bet $81.3k NO @ 84¢ 4 weeks ago
Total on this market $163.3k across 3 trades
$20.4m Vol. Read Article
5 whale wallets active on this market · real-time with VIP Upgrade →

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

13% chance
Yes No
Last bet $52.0k NO @ 87¢ 23 hours ago
Total on this market $447.3k across 5 trades
$38m Vol. Read Article
8 whale wallets active on this market · real-time with VIP Upgrade →
Resolved

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

December 31 100%
Yes No
July 31 100%
Yes No
Last bet $350.0k YES @ 100¢ 23 hours ago
Total on this market $1.65M across 9 trades
$475.2m Vol.
Resolved

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

0% chance
Yes No
Last bet $50.0k NO @ 94¢ 2 months ago
Total on this market $50.0k across 1 trade
$38.3m Vol. Read Article
Resolved

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

0% chance
Yes No
Last bet $250.0k NO @ 100¢ 2 months ago
Total on this market $550.0k across 2 trades
$52.7m Vol. Read Article
Resolved

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

December 31 100%
Yes No
April 30 100%
Yes No
Last bet $40.0k YES @ 96¢ 2 months ago
Total on this market $40.0k across 1 trade
$100.2m Vol.
Resolved

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

April 30 100%
Yes No
December 31 100%
Yes No
Last bet $80.0k YES @ 100¢ 2 months ago
Total on this market $280.0k across 3 trades
$278.7m Vol. Read Article
Resolved

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

0% chance
Yes No
Last bet $369.7k NO @ 100¢ 3 months ago
Total on this market $369.7k across 1 trade
$63.1m Vol.