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Knicks vs 76ers: May 8 NBA Playoffs Odds, Pick & H2H | Lines.com

Knicks vs 76ers: May 8 NBA Playoffs Odds, Pick & H2H | Lines.com

Market called it correctly

Implied 100% at publication · Resolved YES · Brier score: 0.00

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SS Steve Silverman Sport Expert
Market Resolved
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Resolution Verdict
NEW YORK KNICKS Market Resolved

Knicks: New York owns the series lead, the injury advantage, and the depth to win Game 3 in Philadelphia. Market probability: 95%.

Resolved
Real Money Odds Book
Spread
Knicks -1.5
76ers +1.5
Total
Over O 214.5
Under U 214.5
Volume
$10.3M
$9.1M in 24h
Liquidity
$2.2M
Deep liquidity
Time Left
Ended
Resolves May 8
10.3M Vol. Ended
Knicks vs. 76ers $8.8M Vol.
100%
Largest Bet
$500,000
Talvez10 (+$8.3K)
voted with: KNICKS
May 8, 2026 at 10:45pm
Most Recent
$129,595
0xcf98...6e0a voted KNICKS May 9, 2026
Trader Rank Amount Position Volume PnL ROI Time
0xcf98...6e0a - $129,595 KNICKS $452.8K - - May 9, 2026
0x6db5...e279 #273 $58,209 KNICKS $4.7M +$1.3K +0.0% May 9, 2026
YOURSOUL #1,618,489 $35,331 KNICKS $0 -$7 - May 9, 2026
0x6db5...e279 #273 $59,556 KNICKS $4.7M +$1.3K +0.0% May 9, 2026
0x0c15...9a45 #1,645,198 $68,361 76ERS $3.0K -$524 -17.6% May 8, 2026
0x4924...3782 - $120,108 KNICKS $479.7K - - May 8, 2026
0x4924...3782 - $306,335 KNICKS $479.7K - - May 8, 2026
Talvez10 #401 $500,000 KNICKS $382.3K +$8.3K +2.2% May 8, 2026
Sassy-Bucket #1,535,622 $77,000 KNICKS $18.5M -$408.4K -2.2% May 8, 2026
Sassy-Bucket #1,535,622 $202,286 KNICKS $18.5M -$408.4K -2.2% May 8, 2026

The New York Knicks hold a 2-0 lead in the Eastern Conference semifinals. Polymarket prices New York as the 95% moneyline favorite for Game 3 on May 8. Nearly $1.04 million in total volume backs that number.

Game 3 tips off at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia. The Knicks won Game 2, 108-102, after 25 lead changes. Joel Embiid is questionable with a right ankle sprain and right hip soreness. Philadelphia enters this game at 5% implied probability.

Where the Big Money Landed

Large traders committed $323,568 to this market in seven days. Every dollar landed on the Knicks. Zero large-money positions sit on Philadelphia.

Trader 05143 placed the biggest single bet: $187,072 on the Knicks at 50 cents. That position is already up $30,500. Trader 0xe7a2…ae70 added $70,000 on New York at the same price. SecondWindCapital committed $66,496 on the Knicks, a position currently down $61,500.

Three bets. One direction. That concentration confirms the market price and removes any divergence signal from the large-money side.

How To Read This Table

  • Trader: Wallet name or abbreviated address from the prediction market leaderboard.
  • Amount: Total position size in USD committed to this specific market.
  • Team Backed: Which team (outcome) the trader bought.
  • ROI: The trader’s all-time return on investment across all markets, showing track record reliability.

How the Knicks vs. 76ers Matchup Resolves

This market resolves on the Game 3 result. A Knicks win at any margin triggers the 95% outcome. A 76ers win at any margin triggers the 5% outcome.

  • New York Knicks: 95% implied probability (0.95)
  • Philadelphia 76ers: 5% implied probability (0.05)

Philadelphia’s path runs through Embiid. The Sixers went 0-1 without him this series. Tyrese Maxey turned it over six times in Game 2. Without Embiid, the Sixers have no answer for Karl-Anthony Towns in the paint.

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Market Signals and Form

The momentum composite is strongly bullish on New York. A sharp 1-hour price spike, a strong 24-hour gain, and a trend score of 82.87 all align in the same direction. Embiid’s questionable status is the most likely catalyst.

Total volume hit $1,039,861. The 24-hour figure alone reached $1,033,132, meaning nearly all capital arrived in a single session. Liquidity stands at $510,312. That depth anchors the 95% price against minor news. Only a confirmed Embiid return creates real downward pressure.

The spread sits at -1.5 with New York favored. The totals line is 214.5. Both appear in the secondary data strip above.

Knicks Lines Analysis

New York carries every meaningful edge into Philadelphia. The Knicks hold a 2-0 lead with interior dominance through Towns and perimeter firepower from Jalen Brunson and OG Anunoby. Anunoby averaged 21.4 points and shot 61.9% in this postseason. Even if limited by a day-to-day designation, the Knicks’ depth absorbs the hit.

Philadelphia’s case depends on Embiid returning healthy. The 76ers showed toughness in Game 2 despite the loss. A home crowd provides early energy in a must-win situation. Maxey needs a clean, turnover-free performance to keep this competitive.

  • Embiid Status: An upgrade from questionable to available reshapes the entire matchup.
  • Anunoby Health: Day-to-day tag after a late Game 2 exit creates lineup uncertainty for New York.
  • Brunson Control: The Knicks’ engine must avoid foul trouble to stay effective.
  • Maxey Turnovers: Six giveaways in Game 2 killed possessions. A repeat ends this fast.
  • Home Court Energy: Philly’s arena fuels fast starts in must-win moments.

The $1,039,861 in total volume reflects a market that has decided. New York holds the lead, the personnel edge, and the injury advantage.

LINES VERDICT

New York Knicks

The Knicks own this series and carry every edge into Philadelphia. Philadelphia needs Embiid healthy and Maxey turnover-free just to make this game close.

Frequently Asked Questions

The Knicks are the heavy favorite at 95% implied probability. New York leads 2-0 with Embiid questionable for the 76ers.

New York is favored by 1.5 points. The Knicks must win by two or more to cover. Philadelphia covers by winning or losing by one.

Game 3 is scheduled for May 8, 2026, at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia.

The totals line is 214.5. Game 2 finished at 210 combined points. A healthy Embiid could slow the pace and push the final under the number.

This market is active on Polymarket with $1,039,861 in total volume and $510,312 in available liquidity.

We aggregate the live positions of the top 50 Polymarket whales (ranked by 30-day tracked volume) into one composite reading per market. It refreshes every hour. The percentage shows how many of those whales hold YES versus NO; the net dollar position shows the cohort's directional exposure in dollars.

A convergence event fires when three or more tracked wallets buy the same outcome on the same market within a four-hour window. We surface these in the activity feed and the VIP digest.

No. Lines is an editorial and data product. We do not operate prediction markets, custody funds, or accept bets. All bet flows deep-link to Polymarket via our affiliate code. Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations.

What the smart money is doing

The top 50 Polymarket whales lean YES +0 points on this market. 0% of the cohort holds YES; 0% holds NO. Net dollar position favors YES.

Market Resolved Outcome: YES
Final Price 100%
Settled May 8, 2026
Duration 6 days

Resolution Analysis

Knicks Go Up Three Games to None

Embiid misses Game 3 and Karl-Anthony Towns dominates an undersized Philadelphia front. Jalen Brunson controls tempo and limits the Sixers to low-percentage looks. New York wins comfortably and puts the series one game from a sweep.

Sixers Steal One at Home

Embiid returns and immediately changes the interior math in Philadelphia's favor. Tyrese Maxey plays a clean game and the home crowd fuels an early 76ers run. Philadelphia wins Game 3 and cuts the series deficit to 2-1.

Maxey Goes Off Without Embiid

Embiid remains out but Maxey erupts for 35-plus points on efficient shooting. Paul George and Kelly Oubre Jr. provide enough secondary scoring to keep the Sixers alive. Philadelphia steals a win and sets up a dramatic Game 4 on Sunday.

Anunoby Scratched Before Tip-Off

OG Anunoby's day-to-day tag turns into a late scratch before Game 3. Without their best defender and leading scorer, the Knicks lose perimeter depth and defensive cohesion. Philadelphia exploits the void and pulls off an upset despite Embiid's questionable status.

Key macro factor: Joel Embiid's injury status is the single biggest swing factor in this market. His upgrade or downgrade before tip-off on May 8 determines whether Philadelphia has any realistic path to a win.

Market Timeline

May 3, 2026, 4:00 AM
Market Created
May 3, 2026, 4:03 AM
Event Start
May 3, 2026, 4:06 AM
Market Opened
May 8, 2026
Market Resolution

Market Comments

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only.