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Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde Exact Score Prediction June 21

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde Exact Score Prediction June 21

SS Steve Silverman Sport Expert
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Lines Verdict
NO at 82% implied probability

NO on Any Other Score: The market strongly favors a specific listed scoreline. Market probability: 69.5%.

18% Market Probability -20% 24h
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Volume
$253
$13 in 24h
Liquidity
$131.4K
Deep liquidity
7-Day Move
-28%
Sharp drop
Time Left
5 days
Resolves Jun 21
253 Vol. Jun 21, 2026
Uruguay 1 - 0 Cabo Verde $4 Vol.
18%
Uruguay 2 - 0 Cabo Verde $17 Vol.
15%
Exact Score: Any Other Score $4 Vol.
13%
Uruguay 1 - 1 Cabo Verde $4 Vol.
12%
Uruguay 2 - 1 Cabo Verde $4 Vol.
10%
Uruguay 3 - 0 Cabo Verde $4 Vol.
9%

The prediction market for this Uruguay versus Cabo Verde exact score contest sits at 30.5% for “Any Other Score,” reflecting a 24-hour price slide of 16 percent. That kind of momentum drop signals traders repositioning away from the catch-all bucket. The market is saying one of the listed specific scorelines is gaining favor.

Uruguay and Cabo Verde meet in Group H of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on June 21 in Atlanta. Uruguay carries a 30.5% implied probability on “Any Other Score,” while Cabo Verde registered a surprise early result against Spain. Total market volume stands at just $241, reflecting a niche exact-score market with high liquidity relative to volume.

How the Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde Exact Score Resolves

This market resolves based on the final scoreline of the Group H fixture. “Any Other Score” wins if no listed specific result matches the actual game outcome. The listed alternatives cover 16 exact scores, including several one- and two-goal margins.

  • Any Other Score: 30.5% implied probability (current YES price: $0.31)
  • Uruguay 2-0: One of the most traded specific results
  • Uruguay 1-0: Classic low-scoring South American defensive win scenario
  • Uruguay 0-0: Draw scenario carries weight given group dynamics
  • Uruguay 3-1: High-scoring Uruguay win representing less likely but listed outcome

Cabo Verde enters as a significant underdog by FIFA ranking standards. La Celeste historically dominates lower-ranked African sides in major tournaments. A high-margin Uruguay win or an unusual scoreline pushes the “Any Other Score” bucket into contention.

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Market Signals and Form

Momentum on this market turned negative in the 24-hour window, with prices dropping 16 percent. The trend score of 40.38 leans bearish on “Any Other Score,” indicating traders are moving capital into specific listed scores. That shift typically follows new information, such as a confirmed lineup or injury update.

Liquidity sits at $11,595 against only $241 in total volume. That gap signals a wide order book with thin actual conviction. Low volume means individual trades carry outsized influence on price movement.

The spread and totals markets provide additional context for match expectations, with Uruguay favored across secondary lines.

  • Momentum: Bearish 24-hour slide of 16% on “Any Other Score”
  • Trend score: 40.38, reflecting weakening bullish conviction on catch-all outcome
  • 24h volume: $133 of the $241 total, showing recent acceleration of trading activity
  • Liquidity: $11,595 creates a stable order book for a low-volume market
  • Sentiment: Strongly bearish at 69.5% NO versus 30.5% YES

Lines Analysis: Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde Score Market

The case for “Any Other Score” rests on Uruguay’s attacking depth. La Celeste features Darwin Nunez and Nicolas de la Cruz in the attack, capable of producing scorelines outside the common 1-0 or 2-0 results. A 4-0 blowout or a 2-2 draw, while unlikely, would resolve this market in favor of YES.

The case against “Any Other Score” is straightforward: Uruguay versus Cabo Verde fits neatly into predictable scorelines. South American powerhouses routinely beat African debutants by margins of one or two goals. The 16 listed specific scores cover nearly every plausible result, leaving little room for a genuine surprise outcome.

  • Watch Darwin Nunez fitness: A healthy Nunez opens paths to higher-scoring results
  • Cabo Verde’s defensive shape: A compact backline could force a lower-scoring match
  • Group H stakes: Uruguay’s standing after the Saudi Arabia match affects lineup intensity
  • First-half tone: Early Uruguay goals tend to produce more conservative final scorelines
  • Set-piece efficiency: Uruguay’s dead-ball threat adds variance to exact score outcomes

Total market volume of $241 reinforces that this remains a speculative, low-conviction market. The 69.5% NO consensus suggests traders believe a specific listed score resolves this match.

LINES VERDICT

NO on Any Other Score (a listed specific scoreline resolves)

The market strongly favors a predictable final result. Uruguay’s structured play against a lower-ranked Cabo Verde side fits cleanly into the listed scoreline bucket.

Who is favored in the Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde exact score market?

The NO side (a listed specific score) carries 69.5% implied probability. Uruguay 2-0 and Uruguay 1-0 are among the most discussed specific outcomes.

What does the spread tell us about this match?

Secondary spread markets favor Uruguay by multiple goals, consistent with their Group H status as the second-ranked side behind Spain.

When does Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde kick off?

The match takes place on June 21, 2026, with a 6 p.m. ET kickoff at a venue in Atlanta, Georgia.

What is the over/under total for this match?

Secondary totals markets reflect expectations of a moderate-scoring game, consistent with Uruguay’s typically disciplined defensive approach.

Where can I trade this exact score market?

This market is listed on Polymarket with $11,595 in liquidity and $241 in total volume as of June 12, 2026.

What Could Shift These Probabilities?

Uruguay Blows Out Cabo Verde

Uruguay's attack fires on all cylinders and produces a 4-0 or 5-0 result not covered by the listed scores. Darwin Nunez leads a dominant first half. Any Other Score resolves YES and bettors holding the 30.5% position collect.

Uruguay Wins by a Standard Margin

La Celeste controls the match and wins 1-0 or 2-0, both of which are listed specific scores. The catch-all bucket resolves NO. The 69.5% consensus proves correct and Any Other Score bettors lose their position.

Cabo Verde Steals a Draw or Win

Cabo Verde, riding confidence from their Group H performance, holds Uruguay to a 0-0 draw or wins 1-0. Both results are listed specific scores. Any Other Score still resolves NO despite the upset result.

High-Variance Scoreline Emerges

Own goals, red cards, or a penalty-heavy contest produces a 3-3 draw or 2-3 Cabo Verde win. Both are listed. The wildcard outcome still likely resolves NO. Only a truly unlisted scoreline saves the YES position.

Key macro factor: Uruguay's group stage standing after the Saudi Arabia match on June 15 will determine how aggressively the coaching staff deploys the first-choice attack against Cabo Verde.

Market Timeline

May 21, 2026, 4:24 PM
Market Created
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM
Event Start
May 21, 2026, 5:24 PM
Market Opened
Sunday, Jun 21
Market Resolution

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only.