January 14, 2022

Corrigan's Gambling Corner: 3 NFL Super Wild Card Weekend Best Bets: +584 Parlay Odds

Welcome back to the gambling corner, and welcome to the NFL playoffs. It was a tremendous season, but we are still far from the finish line.

The playoff field is set, and that means it is time to start looking for some winners. Today, we are here to give you the three best bets for Super Wild Card Weekend.

This is going to be a great weekend full of great football. We do not have many football weekends left this season, so enjoy these moments. We would love it if you tail our picks for this weekend we just ask that you do so responsibly. 

Let's find some winners.

*Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Las Vegas Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals (1/15)

The Bengals whooped up on the Raiders earlier in the season, and the Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against the Bengals. On the season, Cincinnati is 10-7 ATS, however, their record does not account for preseason expectations, so this record is possibly a little more inflated than what reality actually is. That does not mean the Bengals are not a good team to bet on, but the record does not always tell the full story. 

This game will also serve as the first career playoff game for both Joe Burrow and Derek Carr. Although Carr led the Raiders to a 12-4 record and a playoff birth in 2016, he was injured in the last game of the season against the Colts, and he missed the rest of the season. Burrow is in his second season, and despite his terrible offensive line, he has blossomed in his first season post-ACL injury.

Burrow and LSU teammate, Ja'Marr Chase have once again teamed up in the NFL and have become one of the best duos in the entire NFL. Las Vegas is not a very good defensive team, but they are ranked sixth in the NFL in yards per pass (6.3). On the other side, Cinncinati's defense is pretty terrible against the pass, and that is where the Raiders will have the edge in this game. 

Carr has cooled off since his hot start to the season, but he is still picking defenses apart with his 68.4 completion percentage. I like Cincinnati this season, but Las Vegas comes into this game having won five of their last seven, and they are 7-4 ATS as an underdog this season. Carr does not play historically well in cold weather, and it is going to be cold in Cincinnati. However, they are getting 5.5 points in this one, and that is just way too many points for a team that is playing better football than almost anyone right now. 

The Bengals will squeak out a win, but the Raiders will cover. 

Pick: Raiders +5.5 (-112)

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (1/15)

It is going to be a FREEZING night in Buffalo when the New England Patriots come to town to take on the Bills. We are looking at a high of four degrees with the windchill getting as low as -4 degrees. 

If you are a football fan, you remember the Monday Night Football game between these two earlier in the season. The Patriots came into Buffalo in blizzard-like conditions and ran the ball down Buffalo's throats. Mac Jones finished the game with only 19 passing yards on three attempts. It is not going to be as windy, but it is going to be pretty damn cold, and that will be a big factor in the game plan for both teams. 

The Patriots are not officially without anyone, but Dont'a Hightower, Isaiah Wynn, Kyle Dugger, and Christian Barmore are all questionable for this game. In an old-school type of game, being banged up is one of the worst things that can happen. This game is going to be ugly both literally and figuratively, so depth will matter.

If you are looking at the spread in this game, New England has covered in eight of their last 11 games this season and they are 10-7 ATS this season. New England's history in covering the spread against Buffalo doesn't matter because, you know, Tom Brady is no longer there. 

I think the under is the obvious play here. Josh Allen has been shaky as of late, and Devin Singletary is starting to blossom into the RB1 that the Bills envisioned. The Weather is going to play a factor, and the total has gone under in four of New England's last five on the road, and seven of Buffalo's last 10 games played in January. 

Pick: Under 44 (-110)

San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys

I will be the first to admit that Jimmy Garoppolo, when healthy, has been pretty damn good this season. The 49ers are actually the No. 1 team in the NFL in yards per pass (8.2). However, Dallas' offense might be too much to handle. 

The Cowboys are the No. 1 offense in the NFL in scoring (31.2), yards per game (407.0), points per play (0.460), and touchdowns per game (3.8). Dallas' offense is also top five in yards per play (6.0), yards per pass (7.4), passing yards per game (282.4), and completion percentage (68.6%). While the 49ers' defense is pretty solid across the board, it is hard to imagine anyone slowing down the Cowboys. 

Dallas is also scoring 35.4 points in their last five games, and the 49ers have been very hit-or-miss not only over the last five weeks but for the whole season. Every week, I have one "gut feeling" pick, and this game just screams Dallas winning big. They are 5-1 ATS in their last six, and as at least three-point favorites this season, Dallas is 10-3 ATS.

At home this season, Dallas is 5-3 ATS, and they are averaging 37 points per game. Simply put, I just do not think 49ers can outscore the Cowboys in Dallas. 

Pick: Cowboys -3 (-112)

Parlay Odds: (+584) 1 Unit To Win 5.84 Units

Photo: Getty Images