NFL
June 21, 2022
BY Lance Cartelli

Best Bets: Predicting the 2022 NFL Awards

While the 2022 NFL season is still months away, it’s the perfect time for sports bettors to find incredible value on betting market — especially the awards market. 

Below we’ve found our favorite bets and longshots for every major upcoming NFL award. Who do we think will win MVP? It’s time to find out. 

*Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

MVP

Our Pick: Justin Herbert (+1000)

Justin Herbert is a trendy pick to win his first NFL MVP award and we can see why. The media loves him. He’s in a big market. He’s just as talented as a Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen. If the Chargers are good this year then Herbert should be one of the favorites. 

Best Bet: Russell Wilson (+1400)

Russell Wilson’s +1400 odds really stood out because if he instantly makes the Denver Broncos a contender then there’s a clear argument for how valuable he truly is. 

If he somehow gets the Broncos to win the super competitive AFC West then he should have plenty of supporters for the award. 

Longshot: Trey Lance (+5000)

Trey Lance represents the best values of the longshots on the board. He’s the Day 1 Starter in a Kyle Shanahan offense that made Nick Mullens look decent. Lance could have a Lamar Jackson-like second season, albeit he’ll probably have something closer to Allen’s first or second season. But in the oft-chance Lance breaks out then he could give his supports a big payout at +5000. 

OFFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YEAR

Our Pick: Justin Jefferson (+2500)

Best Bet: Justin Jefferson (+2500)

This is usually given to the best non-QB in the league. There’s a strong argument for either Jonathan Taylor or Christian McCaffrey here, but Justin Jefferson is the clear-cut best bet. 

The Vikings star could have that Cooper Kupp-like season and just be the best receiver in the league this year. And at +2500, that’s a great bet to make with the chance at a juicy payout. 

Longshot: CeeDee Lamb (+4000)

Similar to Justin Jefferson, if CeeDee Lamb breaks out then he could be in line to win the award. He’ll certainly have his chances now that Amari Cooper is gone and Michael Gallup is still recovering from a torn ACL. 

If the Cowboys offense is still dynamic, which it should be, then Lamb could explode. 

DEFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YEAR

Our Pick: Micah Parsons (+1000)

Micah Parsons should’ve won the award last year, but it’s hard to crown a rookie the DPOY. Even if Parsons doesn’t take a Year 2 leap, which he should, he should still be a top-five pass rusher and a potential top-five linebacker. Being an All-Pro-level talent at multiple positions is an easy way to win DPOY. It doesn’t hurt he’s on the Cowboys, either. 

Best Bet: Nick Bosa (+1500)

It’s time for Nick Bosa to get some respect. He’s one of the best pass rushers in the league but players like T.J. Watt and Myles Garrett are always mentioned above him. And maybe rightfully so. But the 49ers will have an elite defense this year and they are stacked at edge rusher which should open up opportunities for Bosa if he can stay healthy. 

Longshot: Jalen Ramsey (+5000)

There aren’t any great bets here for a longshot since this award will go to the best pass rusher, but Jalen Ramsey sticks out at +5000. He’d need a Trevon Diggs-like year, which will be tough since he’s not targeted as much and he’ll need to force a lot of turnovers.  

His teammate Aaron Donald is more likely to win it, but Ramsey is a superstar on a defending Super Bowl champion so he’ll get his opportunities in the limelight. 

OFFENSIVE ROOKIE OF THE YEAR

Our Pick: Breece Hall (+800)

We think this award comes down to three rookies: Breece Hall, Chris Olave or Drake London, but we’re going with the reliable running back. They assimilate to the pro game quicker and he should benefit from an improved Jets team. 

Best Bet: Chris Olave (+1000)

Olave’s already receiving minicamp hype and he’s arguably the most pro-ready receiver in the draft so he should start hot. Jameis Winston will give the rookie plenty of opportunities in the passing games – especially if Michael Thomas isn’t healthy from his ankle problems.

Longshot: Desmond Ridder (+1400)

This is the only longshot, if you can call it that at +1400, who has a realistic chance to be crowned the Offensive Rookie of the Year. There’s no guarantee Marcus Mariota even starts the season and if Ridder is named the starter early then he’ll have a big opportunity to put up stats and potentially win the award. 

DEFENSIVE ROOKIE OF THE YEAR 

Our Pick: Kayvon Thibodeaux (+550)

Despite being the third pass rusher off the board, Kayvon Thibodeaux was the most talented edge rusher in the draft. It doesn’t hurt he landed in a great spot, too. If he’s good in the Big Apple then everyone will notice. 

Best Bet: Nakobe Dean (+1200)

Picking linebackers to be crowned Defensive Rookie of the Year is a safe bet. They transition quickly to the NFL game and Nakobe Dean had the juiciest odds of the linebackers. He could step in Day 1 and be the Eagles starting linebacker. Philly is going to be a double-digit win team and has talent all over so Dean won’t have to take on too much. 

Longshot: George Karlaftis (+1600)

The Chiefs have one of the worst pass rush groups in the league so if George Karlaftis is good then he could be the best edge rusher on the team as a rookie. We know the Chiefs will be one of the premier teams in the AFC so all Karlaftis has to do is be disruptive. 

COMEBACK PLAYER OF THE YEAR

Our Pick: Christian McCaffrey (+750)

Best Bet: Christian McCaffrey (+750)

This is one of the tougher awards to predict since there are so many quality candidates. We decided that McCaffrey is the best bet… if he can stay healthy, of course. If he does, then he is capable of being the best running back in the league again, and a shoe-in for the award. 

Longshot: Khalil Mack (+1800)

Due to there being so many quality candidates for this award, it’s tough to bet on a longshot here. If you’re looking for a longshot then the newly acquired Chargers pass rusher seems like a solid option. He might be on the wrong side of 30, but Khalil Mack can still bring it. If the Chargers are a Super Bowl contender then Mack will probably be a big reason why. 

Worst Bet: Deshaun Watson (+1200)

We’re adding an extra category here for the worst bet. There’s absolutely no way the media will vote for Deshaun Watson to win this – or any – award even if the Browns went 17-0 and Watson isn’t suspended. This is an absolute sucker bet. 

Photo: Getty Images