The Undraftables: 10 Players to Completely Avoid in Fantasy Football in 2020
Fantasy football draft season has arrived.
Although there is uncertainty surrounding the NFL season because of the coronavirus, that hasn’t stopped the NFL from operating as usual. And with the NFL season less than a month away, it’s time to start preparing for your fantasy football drafts.
We’ve already told you the players you need to draft, injured players to avoid and rookies to select and ignore. Here are the 10 highly drafted fantasy football players that we’re fading at their average draft position (ADP).
Aaron Rodgers, QB
The Green Bay Packers quarterback isn’t what he used to be. Rodgers was once the most-talented passer in the league, and now he’s a borderline top-ten signal-caller. And that has translated to becoming an overrated player in fantasy football.
Rodgers might not be the top passer in the league anymore, but that isn’t the only reason to avoid him in fantasy football. The Packers have transformed into a run-heavy team which limits Rodgers’ opportunity to put up high-scoring games. The franchise also declined to add more help in the passing game in the offseason.
Rodgers is still being drafted as a mid-range QB1 when he shouldn’t be. At his ADP, he’s someone to avoid with better options on the board.
Drew Brees, QB
Speaking of former elite quarterbacks, Brees is another quarterback to avoid. The Saints signal-caller's price is just too damn high. The 41 year old is being drafted as a top-ten fantasy quarterback, but there are too many red flags to consider him as your starter.
Brees has plenty of options on offense, sure, but the Saints — like the Packers — have turned to trusting their offensive line and defense. Brees will surely throw for a high completion percentage, but that won’t translate to spike games in fantasy football.
The do-it-all offensive weapon turned into a touchdown vulture for Brees — and other Saints players — in 2019. After signing Hill to a new deal, his usage should continue to go up.
Nick Chubb, RB
Chubb is one of the best pure runners in the NFL, there’s no denying that. But, because of his lack of opportunities in the passing game, there are better options in the mid-to-late first round of your draft.
Chubb’s targets went from 4 per game to 2.1 once Hunt returned. The former Chiefs’ pass-catching prowess not only limits Chubb’s ceiling, but it also makes Hunt a better value.
Chubb might be insanely talented, but fantasy football is all about opportunity. And Chubb just doesn’t have enough of it to be selected so highly.
Melvin Gordon, RB
Gordon inked a two-year, $16 million deal with the Broncos in the offseason, but there’s no guarantee that the former Chargers back will even start in Denver. While it’s likely that Gordon will be the lead back, he’ll still most likely be in a committee with Phillip Lindsay, who should also have a sizable role in the passing game.
Gordon finished as RB15 in fantasy points per game last year with 15.1 while splitting touches with Austin Ekeler in a running-back friendly offense. It’s fair to wonder if he’ll be able to match that on a new team with plenty of options on offense. Gordon might be closer to a RB3 than a RB2 when the dust settles on the 2020 campaign.
Leonard Fournette, RB
In PPR leagues, the Jaguars’ back finished as RB7 overall in 2020. And while the Jaguars didn’t bring in a ton of competition in the offseason, it’s hard to envision Fournette being able to match his output from a year ago.
In the offseason, rumors were floating around that Fournette might be on his way out of Jacksonville. That might be true, but, for now, the former LSU runner is still the starting back for the Jags.
Last season, Fournette was fourth among running backs in targets with 100. He turned that into 76 catches and 522 yards. You can expect that number to go down substantially.
Offensive coordinator Jay Gruden brought in Chris Thompson in free agency to help in the passing game, which dramatically lowers Fournette’s value in fantasy football.
I know 2020 has been 10x longer than previous years but lest we forget Leonard Fournette's own team ...— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) August 19, 2020
-Tried to trade him
-Declined his 5th-year option
-Signed new OC's BFF pass-friendly RB
-Has the single-lowest win total in football
Keenan Allen, WR
For the first time in his career, Allen played an entire 16-game season last year. So why is he on the undraftable list in 2020? The Chargers receiver, who is still one of the best route-runners in the league, could be on a completely changed offensive attack in 2020.
The WR6 in 2019 also finished the season sixth in targets with 149. That number could drastically drop with a more run-focused offense that’ll also rely on their defense. With Philip Rivers in Indianapolis, Allen will have a combination of Tyrod Taylor and rookie Justin Herbert throwing him passes in 2020. Not only will the three-time Pro Bowler have to build a rapport with possibly two new quarterbacks, but he’ll also have to shine with fewer opportunities.
Allen might be a top-five receiver based on talent, but he could go from a high-end WR1 to a borderline WR2 in the blink of an eye.
Stefon Diggs, WR
Diggs was one of the bigger fantasy football disappointments in 2019 as he finished as WR24. His prospects this year don’t look too much better. Acquired in the offseason by the Bills, Diggs immediately becomes Buffalo’s best receiver, but how much will that matter in fantasy football?
As we’ve seen with other receivers in their first year on a new team — like Odell Beckham with the Browns — the adjustment period is real, which makes Diggs a risky proposition in fantasy football.
Not to mention that his new QB, longshot MVP candidate Josh Allen, might have a strong arm, but he’s not a great deep ball passer — which is where Diggs excels. It’ll be fascinating to see how their relationship develops, but it’s not something worth investing in this year.
DeAndre Hopkins, WR
In PPR, Hopkins finished as WR4 with Deshaun Watson and the Houston Texans, so why should you pass on the former Clemson star? Well, for a lot of the same reasons that you shouldn’t draft Diggs. While Hopkins’ landing spot is much better than Diggs’, Nuk’s target share should drop in the Cardinals’ spread offense.
Hopkins was a target funnel during his best years in Houston, and now, he’ll have to share the love with Christian Kirk, Larry Fitzgerald and Kenyan Drake. Nuk should still lead the team in targets, but we’re not expecting him to be the fifth most-targeted receiver in the league like he was in 2019.
Hopkins might be on a fast-paced offense with a star-in-the-making at QB, but it could be a year before the Cardinals receiver is worth his high price.
Deebo Samuel, WR
Samuel was one of the most impressive rookie receivers in recent memory as he burst onto the scene as a dynamic threat on the ground and in the air for the NFC Champion San Francisco 49ers. But in the offseason, the physical wide out suffered a Jones Fracture in his foot, a dreaded outcome for a player who relies heavily on sharp cuts and quickness.
While all reports are that Samuel is recovering well from the offseason surgery, there’s a real possibility that Samuel could reinjure his foot or start the season on the PUP list, which would force him to miss the Niners’ first six games. If that happens, Samuel won’t be available for nearly half of the fantasy football regular season. And if he does need a second surgery, which is quite common with Jones Fractures, then he’ll have missed the entire season and you’ll have wasted a valuable mid-round pick in your fantasy football draft.
He might pay off in the end, but in a season with so much uncertainty, it’s not a sound strategy to use a valuable roster spot on a player who is recovering from such a serious injury.
Rob Gronkowski, TE
Gronk is back for another Super Bowl run with his buddy Tom Brady, but that doesn’t mean he’s worth a mid-round selection in fantasy football drafts.
Gronk is the greatest tight end of his generation, sure, but there’s a reason the future Hall of Famer retired — and it wasn’t to win the WWE 24/7 championship. Gronk looked washed up the last time we saw him on the field. And even if a season off helped rejuvenate him, there are too many mouths to feed for Gronk to be a viable option as a TE1 in fantasy football this year.
Outside of Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, two of the best receivers in the NFL, the Bucs are also stacked at tight end with O.J. Howard and Cam Brate. Gronk will surely be the team’s starting tight end, but it’s hard to imagine Gronk putting up classic Gronk numbers.
Tight end is an incredibly top-heavy position, but there are much better values at the position in 2020.
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