November 19, 2021

NFL Best Bets: Week 11

Who is ready for some football this weekend? I know that I am. Not only do we have some awesome matchups this week, but the board is looking sensational for Week 11 of the NFL season. 

If you are reading this, I can only guess that you are looking for some winners this weekend. Well, luckily for you, I have found the five-best bets of the day that are for sure to win you some cash as we head into the holiday season. All you need to do is watch some football, place some bets, and relax. 

Before we get into the picks, we would like to remind you to always gamble responsibly. 

*Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Washington Football Team at Carolina Panthers

Cam Newton is officially back as the starting quarterback for the Carolina Panthers. Not only has he returned to the team that drafted him as the top selection in the 2011 draft, but his longtime head coach, Ron Rivera, will be on the other sidelines as head coach of the Football Team. 

Newton played sparingly against the Cardinals last week, but in his first two snaps back with Carolina, he ran and passed for a touchdown. Obviously, he is not the version of himself that won the MVP and led the Panthers to the Super Bowl in 2015, but he might still have just enough left in the tank to give the Panthers a boost. 

The Panthers' offense went flat with Sam Darnold, so bringing in a veteran like Newton could help a team that is very much still in the playoff hunt. While I love that Newton is back with Carolina, the Panthers' defense is what will carry them the rest of the way. Over the last three games, teams are only scoring 15.6 points per game on the Panthers. While the Football Team beat the defending champs last week, they have been on a rough slide. 

With both Montez Sweat and Chase Young injured, I like the Panthers as a slight home favorite. 

Pick: Panthers -3 (-114)

Baltimore Ravens at Chicago Bears

I just cannot get a good read on either of these teams, but I do know that Justin Fields is going to be a "dude" in this league. Some of the throws he made against a tough Steelers defense on 'Monday Night Football' were incredibly impressive for a guy who has no chance with the team around him. 

On the other side, the Ravens look awesome one week, then absolutely terrible the next week. Over their last three games, Baltimore is 1-2, and their lone win in that span came in overtime against the Vikings. After being virtually shut down against the Dolphins last week, I just do not trust the Ravens anymore. 

Baltimore is 6-3 ATS in their last nine against the Bears, but Chicago has never had a talent at quarterback like Fields before. The Ravens' talent advantage will eventually see them come on top, but Chicago will cover. 

Pick: Bears +6 (-110)

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans

The Titans have won six straight games coming into this one. In those six games, they have beaten the Jaguars, Bills, Chiefs, Colts, Rams, and Saints. That is an impossible stretch of games, and the Titans are making it look easy. The Bills and Colts both put up 31 points, but the Chiefs and Rams were held to only 19 combined points. That is extremely impressive.

The Texans, well, the nice way to put it is that they lack talent. They have played a few close games, but during their eight-game losing streak, the Texans are getting outscored by an average of 18.2 points. On the season, Houston is 4-5 ATS, and that is a problem considering that the average amount of points the Texans are getting on the spread per game is 11.5. 

For a team that gets favorable spreads, Houston does not cover often. With the game being played in Tennessee, and with the Texans losing seven-straight on the road, the Titans are the smart play. 

Pick: Titans -10 (-106)

Dallas Cowboys at Kansas City Chiefs

Not only do the Cowboys have one of the best offenses in the NFL, but they also have a surprisingly strong defense. Dallas is ranked 10th in scoring, ninth in rushing yards, seventh in opponents' completion percentage, and third in opponents' third-down conversion percentage. 

The numbers against the pass are fairly average, but Dallas has an extremely talented defense, and it all starts with Trevon Diggs, who leads the NFL in interceptions with eight picks on the season. However, Diggs and the Cowboys will have their handful when Patrick Mahomes is on the other team. While this season has been a disappointing one for Kansas City, they showed last week against the Raiders that they still have the goods on offense. 

I understand that we are all quick to crown the Chiefs again, but it's not like they have been demolishing teams lately. Outside of the game against Las Vegas last week, Kansas City only beat the Aaron Rodgers-less Packers by six, and the Giants by three. 

I do believe that the Chiefs have woken up a little bit, by Dallas has been awake the entire season. With plus-value on the Moneyline, backing the Cowboys is the play in this one. 

Pick: Cowboys ML (+116)

Pittsburgh Steelers at Los Angeles Chargers

The total is currently set at 46.5 for this game. This season, the Steelers have only gone over this total one time. With Ben Roethlisberger out, and T.J. Watt and Chase Claypool both questionable, I am not sure the Steelers have the horses to keep up in this one. 

Pittsburgh looked terrible against the Lions last week with Mason Rudolph, and this week, the competition is much stiffer. Sure, the Chargers have been sleepwalking the past few games, but the defense for the Chargers scares me more than what the Lions throw out there. On offense, the Chargers and Justin Herbert will be able to hold it down. I just do not know if they are good enough to push this one over the total. 

At the end of the day, the under is 6-2-1 for the Steelers this season and 6-3 for the Chargers. I love the under in this one, and it is my official "lock of the week."

Pick: Under 46.5 (-112)

Photo: Getty Images