NFL
November 1, 2021

New York Giants vs Kansas City Chiefs: 3 Best 'Monday Night Football' Prop Bets

The Kansas City Chiefs are in a bad spot right now, but they can fix that with a big win on 'Monday Night Football' as they host the New York Giants. Despite their 3-4 start to the season, the Chiefs enter tonight as a 10.5-point home favorite.

This is not the most exciting matchup on paper, however, there are bets to be made. As always, we will give you the three best props of the night as well as the best overall bet of the night. All you need to do is relax, watch the game, and responsibly place some bets. 

Let's find some winners on the board tonight and wrap up Week 8 of the NFL season on a high note. 

FanDuel: Daniel Jones OVER 21.5 Rushing Yards (-138)

It is no longer a secret that Jones is a very mobile quarterback. He has gone over this number all but twice this season and his rushing attempts per game have reached a career-high of 5.6 this season. While it is always tricky to take a quarterback's rushing prop, Jones feels like a safe bet because of how often he is running for his life. 

The Giants are passing the ball on 62.5% of offensive plays and the offensive line is ranked 30th in pass protection. This means that Jones has to take off and make plays with his legs, which he has done often this season, and he has done a good job doing it. Of course, all it takes is one big run to hit the total, but with Jones running the ball almost six times per game, the odds are in our favor. 

Although the Chiefs' defense is ranked last in sack percentage (3.3%), the Giants' offensive line is equally as bad. Basically, we have a classic example of the very movable object vs an easily stoppable force.

Taking Jones to go over the total, especially with the Giants' injuries in the receiver room, is the smart play. 

Barstool: Patrick Mahomes OVER 305.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Mahomes has not been his typical self to start the season, but he is still really damn good. He has only gone over this total three times this season, but he attempting 39.6 passes per game and he is on pace to break 5,000 yards passing this season. 

The Chiefs pass the ball on 64.7% of all offensive plays, which is ranked fifth in the NFL, and they only run the ball on 35.2% of plays. The numbers are there for Mahomes and the Chiefs, they are just not resulting in wins right now, and a big part of that is on the defense. 

Mahomes does have a league-high nine interceptions on the season, but he is still called upon to be the main source of yardage for the Chiefs' offense. The good news for the Chiefs is that the Giants have a fairly average defense against the pass. 

They are ranked 29th in opponents' pass completion percentage (69.92%), 20th in yards per pass (6.9), and 15th in passing yards per game (243.1). The formula for the Chiefs has been to pass the ball this season and it has not worked as well as they had hoped. That does not mean that Kansas City is not one of the best passing offenses in the NFL. 

DraftKings: Mecole Hardman OVER 3.5 Receptions (-120)

Hardman has seen an increase in production and targets this season. Last week was a tough week for the Chief's offense as they only scored three points but even then, Hardman totaled four receptions for 28 yards. 

With how talented the Chiefs are on offense, Hardman has kind of been an afterthought behind Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce. However, Hardman has seen his catch percentage rise to 75% and he is averaging a career-high 4.6 receptions per game.

The Chiefs will be without Clyde Edwards-Helaire tonight so it is likely that Kansas City will rely mainly on the pass. They have done that all season, but tonight, there will be an extra emphasis on the pass. If that happens, Hardman should play a big role tonight, and he will easily go over this total. 

Bovada: Best Bet: OVER 52 (-110)

Given the way both of these defenses have played this season, the over is the obvious play. The number is still a touch higher than I would like it, but I am confident in the Chiefs' offense. Not only that, but the Chiefs' defense has been putrid all season long. 

Kansas City's defense is ranked 27th in points per game (29), 31st in yards per game (404.6), and dead-last in yards per play (6.6). A lot of their struggles can be chalked up to injuries, but even at full strength, this defense is just not good. 

The Giants will be without Jabrill Peppers for the rest of the season so expect the Chiefs to attack the Giants deep down the field. All we need is New York's offense to show up. With how bad both defenses are, we could see a shootout in Kansas City tonight.

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