New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 4 Best 'Monday Night Football' Team, Prop Bets
Week 11 of the NFL season wraps up tonight as the New York Giants will take on the defending Super Bowl champions, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. While the Buccaneers are double-digit favorites tonight, this should be an excellent game.
The Giants are much better than their record indicates, but Tampa Bay is an absolute weapon at home this season. This will be an extremely entertaining game, and I have the three best props and the best overall bet of the night.
I hope everyone enjoys the game, and please remember to always gamble responsibly.
FanDuel: Tom Brady Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (-102)
Here is a fun stat for you. In Tampa Bay's four home games this season, Tom Brady is averaging 4.5 touchdown passes and has not had a game under four touchdowns at home this season. On the road, Brady is tossing only 1.8 touchdowns per game, but that does not matter tonight.
The Giants are only allowing 1.75 touchdown passes on the road this season, but two of those games came against Taylor Heinicke and Jameis Winston. The other two opposing quarterbacks were Dak Prescott, who threw three touchdowns, and Patrick Mahomes, who only had one touchdown, but the Chiefs kind of stunk at that point in the season.
New York's defense is a lot better than what the stats tell you, but without Jabrill Peppers for the rest of the season, I fully expect Brady and the Buccaneers to sling it tonight. With Rob Gronkowski expected to play tonight, I like Tampa Bay to air it out tonight against a depleted Giant's secondary.
Barstool: Rob Gronkowski Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Gronk has not had a full game of reps since Week 3 against the Rams, but this number is way too low. I do not think we need to get into how much Brady loves throwing to Gronkowski, but just know, he loves throwing to Gronkowski.
Not only has Gronk gone over this number in every game he has fully played in this season, but he did it with a fully healthy Buccaneers roster. While Chris Godwin and Mike Evans are still in the lineup, Antonio Brown will not play tonight due to an injury. Brown has been one of Brady's favorite targets this season, and those targets have to go somewhere....so why not his favorite target ever?
DraftKings Touchdown Scorer Of The Night: Evan Engram (+300)
For his entire career, Evan Engram has had a hard time finding any sort of consistency. He goes through weeks of looking terrible, and then he has spurts where he is the best red zone tight end in the NFL. Over his last two games, Engram's targets have dropped, but he has his first two touchdowns of the season as well.
His numbers are down across the board, but he has been dealing with a calf injury all season, and these last two weeks have been a promising sign for Giants fans. Going up against one of the worst defenses against tight ends in the league, look for Engram to have a big presence in short yard, and scoring situations. The inconsistency spanning his entire career is concerning, but he is finally starting to get healthy this season, and he is producing.
At +300 odds, Engram to score a touchdown tonight has the best value.
Bovada: Best Bet: New York Giants +11 (-110)
The Giants are an absolute wagon ATS on the road. New York has covered in 12 of their last 15 road games, and they have covered in five straight games in Tampa Bay. While my initial reaction was to take Tampa Bay because of how well Brady and the Buccaneers have played at home, the Giants are 11-3 ATS as a road dog with Daniel Jones at quarterback.
The spread is just too large for me. The Giants are constantly playing teams tough to the end, and despite how good Tampa Bay's offense has been this season, I like the Giants to keep this one close in a fairly high-scoring matchup.
Tampa Bay will come out with the victory, but it will be a close game.
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