Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears: 4 Best 'Monday Night Football' Prop, Team Bets
The Vikings currently sit as a 6.5-point favorite tonight, as the Bears will be missing a lot of contributors due to a Covid-19 outbreak. Meanwhile, the Vikings look to continue to climb back up the playoff rankings.
As always, we have the three best props of the night as well as the best overall bet. If you decide to tail our picks, we ask that you do so responsibly.
Here are tonight's winners.
FanDuel: Justin Fields Over 208.5 Passing Yards (-110)
The Vikings' pass defense has been hit-or-miss all season long, and with Bashaud Breeland getting released this week, the secondary got worse, at least talent-wise. Minnesota's defense ranks 29th in opponents' pass yards per game (251.9), 25th in yards per pass, and 16th in opponents' interception percentage (2.4%).
While Justin Fields has only gone over this total three times this season, the Vikings are allowing 278 passing yards per game over their last three. The three quarterbacks in those games were Ben Roethlisberger, Jimmy Garoppolo, and Jared Goff. They might have slightly better offensive lines than the Bears, but still, the Vikings have been getting torched lately.
The Bears will likely be trailing for the majority of this game because, well, the Bears stink. This will force the Bears to pass the ball late in the game, and Fields should easily go over this total.
Barstool: Dalvin Cook Over 114.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115)
Dalvin Cook had a monster day on the ground against the Steelers last week with 205 rushing yards and two touchdowns. While his numbers are a bit down from last season, Cook is still one of the best backs in the league, and he is always a threat to carry the team to a victory any given week.
On the season, Cook is averaging 97.8 rushing yards per game, and since Week 10, Cook is averaging 33.5 receiving yards per game on 4.7 targets per game. The Bears' are giving up only 216.5 Passing yards per game, but Chicago is also ranked 27th in yards per pass. The front seven for Chicago has been solid all year, so I expect the Vikings to try and dink-and-dunk, and then try and take shots down the field.
However, the Bears will be without Jaylon Johnson and Tashaun Gipson Sr. tonight, so the Vikings might let it fly to start. Either way, Cook should play a big role not only on the ground but also through the air. If this game goes the way I expect it to, then Cook should pile on the rushing yards at the end of the game.
Draftkings Touchdown Scorer Of The Night: Justin Fields (+260), First Touchdown Scorer Odds (+1400)
For the most part, much of the hype around Fields was his ability to turn any play into a positive result. He may hold the ball longer than most quarterbacks, and with this offensive line, that's a problem. But, Fields has had a couple of monster games with his legs, and when the Bears enter Viking's territory tonight, I would watch for Fields to get more designed runs.
Over his last four games, Fields is averaging 61.3 rushing yards, and although he only has two rushing touchdowns this year, I like his odds a lot tonight. The Vikings have only allowed one rushing touchdown to a quarterback this season, but quarterbacks are running for 5.6 yards per rush on the Vikings.
It is also hard to trust the Bears to do much of anything on offense this year, and Fields is their best weapon. Minnesota's defense is second in sack percentage (8.2%) and the Bears' offense is dead-last in QB sack percentage (9.9%). Fields is going to have to take off a lot tonight, and that plays very well for us.
Bovada: Best Bet: Over 45.5 (-110)
The total has gone under in 13 of the last 19 matchups between these two, but the Vikings are starting to find their groove offensively. Over their last four games, the Vikings are scoring 31 points per game, but they are also giving up 30.5 points per game over that same span.
On that same note, the Bears are putting up 20.3 points per game over that span. Fields continues to look better every week despite a terrible supporting cast. At first, I wanted to take the Vikings on the spread, but at 6.5 points, I am not comfortable betting on the team that just lost to the Lions two weeks ago. Even though the Bears are a dreadful 1-7 ATS over their last eight games, the over is the better play.
Both offenses are starting to pick it up as the season goes, despite what the box scores might say for the Bears, and the Vikings' defense has not been good at all this year. Minnesota is scoring so many points lately, that they are pushing totals over in five of their last six, and eight of their last nine on the road have gone over the number.
It will go over the total again tonight as both defenses are without key members.
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