Las Vegas Raiders at Cleveland Browns: 4 Best Prop, Team Bets
Thanks to a Covid outbreak within the Browns organization, the Las Vegas Raiders-Cleveland Browns game, originally scheduled for Saturday, was moved to Monday as part of a double-header.
While it's awesome that we get two Monday night games, it's slightly less awesome for the teams involved. The Browns will be without a handful of starters on both sides of the ball. Because of that, the Raiders are currently three-point favorites in Cleveland.
The props are a little bare tonight, but that will not stop me from finding the three best for this game, and that is exactly what I did. As always, I also have the best bet of the night through Bovada.
Here are tonight's winners.
DraftKings: Josh Jacobs Over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
The Browns' run defense has been strong, but, they will be without Jadeveon Clowney and Malik McDowell, so the Raiders could simply just run away from Myles Garrett. Of course, that is easier said than done.
Cleveland is ranked ninth in both yards per rush (4.1) and rushing yards per game (106.2), but over the last four, the Browns are allowing 154.5 rushing yards per game. Las Vegas only runs the ball 22.2 times per game, but with Darren Waller out tonight, the Raiders will need to turn to Jacobs for more production. Although he has only gone over this number twice this season, a lot of the time, he was watching Waller or Henry Ruggs make the explosive plays. One of them is injured, and the other one, well, he has bigger problems to deal with.
On the season, Jacobs is averaging 3.7 yards per carry, but with the Browns basically without every single contributing player, Las Vegas can let Jacobs cook, keep the Browns' offense off the field, and watch as Jacobs goes well over this number.
Barstool: Donovan Peoples-Jones Over 37.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
While it might be risky to take the over on a Browns receiver tonight, Donovan Peoples-Jones has quietly been very productive when he gets a lot of targets. He is only averaging 3.5 targets per game this season, and when he goes under 3.5 targets, he is averaging 1.5 receptions for 35.8 yards. When he goes over 3.5 targets per game, he is averaging 3.4 receptions for 57.4 yards.
The Browns will be without Austin Hooper and Jarvis Landry tonight, so someone will have to get those targets. Even though the Browns will probably run the air out of the ball tonight, Peoples-Jones has been very productive since being drafted by the Browns, and every once in a while, he comes up big in big moments. If the Browns want to win tonight, they will need a strong showing from whatever receivers are available.
FanDuel Anytime Touchdown Scorer Of The Night: Nick Chubb (+105), First Touchdown Scorer Odds (+550)
Unfortunately, Draftkings got the boot for the touchdown scorer of the night. On their book, Nick Chubb was -140 to score tonight. With FanDuel, Chubb has plus odds to reach the endzone. Obviously, I am taking the +105 odds.
It is no secret that the Browns need to run the ball tonight. With no Baker Mayfield or Case Keenum, they will be forced to turn to Nick Mullens at quarterback. Even though Mullens has had some good moments in the NFL, he is not going to win you any games with his arm in the year 2021.
Chubb has scored only one touchdown over the last three games, but the Browns relied more on Mayfield in those games, so Chubb did not have to be his typical dominant self. Cleveland will also be without Kareem Hunt tonight, so Chubb should have himself a busy night.
Bovada: Best Bet: Under 41 (-115)
The over has hit in 12 out of the last 18 games for Las Vegas, but they are only scoring 18.2 points per game over their last four, and the only reason it is that high is that they scored 36 against the Cowboys on Thanksgiving. However, the total has gone under in four out of the last five matchups between these two teams when playing in Cleveland.
As a resident of the city of Cleveland, I can tell you, the wind coming off Lake Erie is going to make it colder and much harder to throw the ball. The stadium is practically in the middle of Lake Erie and it is supposed to get below freezing tonight.
The Browns are going to run the ball to death tonight, the Raiders will eventually have to run the ball, and it is going to be cold tonight. This just screams to me like the score will be a delightful 13-6. The spread is too close for me to take either side and although the public is smashing the Raiders, I am not so sure that the Browns can't pull off a surprising win.
But, the under is the smart play in this one. In the Browns' two primetime games this year, the average amount of points scored is 28.5. This game should stay well under the total.
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