NFL Betting Preview: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Houston Texans
The Pittsburgh Steelers (2-0) are 4.0-point favorites heading into their matchup on Sunday, September 27, 2020 against the Houston Texans (0-2). The game has an over/under of 45.5.
Game InfoGame Day: Sunday, September 27, 2020 Game Time: 1:00 PM ET TV Channel: CBS Location: Pittsburgh, PA Stadium: Heinz Field
Steelers Players to WatchMason Rudolph collected 1,765 passing yards (176.5 yards per game) with a 62.2% completion percentage last year (176-of-283), while throwing 13 touchdowns and nine interceptions in 10 games. James Conner ran for 464 yards on 116 attempts (46.4 yards per game) while scoring four touchdowns in 10 games a season ago. He also averaged 25.1 receiving yards per game, grabbing 34 passes for 251 yards and three touchdowns. Benny Snell Jr. totaled 426 rushing yards on 108 carries (32.8 yards per game), with two touchdowns on the ground over the course of 13 games in 2019. Last season, James Washington grabbed 44 passes (on 79 targets) for 735 yards (49.0 yards per game) with three touchdowns in 15 games. Diontae Johnson contributed with 59 grabs for 680 yards and five touchdowns over 16 games last year. He was targeted 92 times and put up 42.5 receiving yards per game. JuJu Smith-Schuster caught 42 passes on 71 targets for 552 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 46.0 yards per game in 12 contests in 2019. Last season, T.J. Watt collected 14.5 sacks, 14.0 TFL, 55 tackles, and two interceptions in 16 games. Devin Bush Jr. racked up 110 tackles, 9.0 TFL, one sack, and two interceptions in 16 games over the course of his 2019 campaign. Last season, Minkah Fitzpatrick grabbed five interceptions and added 69 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and nine passes defended in 16 games.
Texans Players to WatchDeshaun Watson threw for 3,852 yards while completing 67.3% of his passes (333-of-495), with 26 touchdowns and 12 interceptions in 15 games last year (256.8 yards per game). He also carried the ball 82 times for 413 yards and seven touchdowns, averaging 27.5 yards per game. Watson rushed for 413 yards on 82 carries (27.5 yards per game) while scoring seven touchdowns in 15 games a season ago. In 2019, Duke Johnson Jr. ran for 410 yards on 83 carries (25.6 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns over the course of 16 games. He also caught 44 passes for 410 (25.6 ypg) and three touchdowns. In 15 games last season, Randall Cobb was targeted 83 times and amassed 55 catches for 828 yards (55.2 ypg) while scoring three touchdowns. Will Fuller V chipped in with 670 yards on 49 catches with three touchdowns. He was targeted 71 times and averaged 60.9 receiving yards per game over 11 matchups last year. Over 14 games in 2019, Brandin Cooks caught 42 passes on 72 targets for 583 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 41.6 receiving yards per game. Whitney Mercilus put together an impressive body of work a year ago, registering 7.5 sacks, 9.0 TFL, 47 tackles, and two interceptions over 16 games. In 16 games over his 2019 campaign, Zach Cunningham racked up 136 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and two sacks.
Steelers vs Texans: Last 5 MeetingsIn the past five meetings, Pittsburgh holds a 4-1 record against Houston. Houston has scored 69 fewer points than Pittsburgh in their past five games.
Steelers vs Texans: Last Five Meetings
When the Steelers have the ball...The Steelers averaged six fewer points per game last season (18.1) than the Texans allowed (24.1). In games where Pittsburgh scored at least 18.1 points last season, they put together a record of 6-3. When Houston allowed opposing offenses to put 24.1 points or fewer on the scoreboard last year, they were 9-1. The Steelers offense racked up 111.5 fewer yards than the Texans defense allowed last season (276.8 to 388.3). In contests where the Pittsburgh offense totaled at least their average yard output last season, they were 4-1. Houston was 7-2 last season when their defense allowed fewer yards than their season average. The Steelers averaged 90.5 yards per game on the ground last season, 31 yards fewer than the Texans allowed to opposing rushing attacks (121.5). When Pittsburgh rushers gained at least a combined 90.5 yards, they had a record of 5-1 last season. Last season, when the Houston defense allowed opponents to pick up less than 121.5 yards on the ground, they were 7-3. Last season, the Texans forced an average of 1.4 turnovers per game compared to the 1.9 times Steelers turned the football over in each contest. Pittsburgh was 5-2 last season when they turned the football over 1.9 times or fewer. Houston was 3-1 last season when they forced at least 1.4 turnovers in a game.
When the Texans have the ball...The Texans put up 4.7 more points per game last year (23.6) than the Steelers gave up (18.9). Houston finished 7-2 in games when it recorded at least 23.6 points last season. Last season, Pittsburgh had a 6-3 record in games when it held opponents to 18.1 or fewer points. In 2019, the Texans collected 57.8 more yards per game (362), than the Steelers allowed per outing (304.2). When the Pittsburgh offense put together a game with at least their 2019 average in yardage, they were 4-1 last season. Pittsburgh recorded a 5-5 record last year when holding its opponents to 304.2 yards or less. Last season, the Texans ran for 16 more yards per game (125.6) than the Steelers allowed per contest (109.6). Last year, Houston put together a 6-3 record in games the team ran for at least 125.6 yards. When Pittsburgh limited its opponents to 109.6 yards on the ground or less last season, it went 7-3. The Texans turned the ball over 1.4 times per game last year, one fewer turnover per game than the 2.4 the Steelers forced on average. In 2019, Houston finished 7-2 when it turned the ball over 1.4 times or less. When it forced 2.4 or more turnovers last season, Pittsburgh compiled a 5-2 record.
Steelers Fantasy LeadersConner was the No. 106 fantasy player overall and the No. 33 fantasy running back in 2019 with 111.5 points (averaging 11.2 per game). Rudolph recorded total 108.9 fantasy points last season (10.9 per game), which made him the 111th-ranked player overall and the 30th-ranked quarterback. Last year, Diontae Johnson's 104.1 total fantasy points made him the No. 114 fantasy player and No. 40 wide receiver. He averaged 6.5 fantasy points per game. Washington put together the 133rd-ranked fantasy season (51st among wide receivers) in 2019 with 89.5 fantasy points, averaging 6.0 per game.
Texans Fantasy LeadersWatson put together a solid 2019 fantasy season, scoring 320.0 total fantasy points (21.3 per game) to finish fifth overall and fourth among quarterbacks in the league-wide fantasy rankings. Last year, Duke Johnson Jr. finished as the 109th-ranked fantasy player overall and the 35th-ranked running back. He totaled 110.0 fantasy points, averaging 6.9 per game. David Johnson was the No. 37 running back and the No. 113 fantasy player overall with 105.5 total points last season (8.1 per game). Cobb's 2019 fantasy rankings saw him finish as the No. 124 player overall and the No. 47 wide receiver after he put up 99.9 fantasy points (6.7 per game).
Steelers vs Texans Betting Information
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Steelers Betting InsightsIn 2019, Pittsburgh played in only three games that went over the point total (21.4% of its opportunities). Pittsburgh had a 7-5-2 record against the spread last year. Last season, the Steelers went only 0-1-1 ATS when playing as at least 4.0-point favorites.
Steelers Home TrendsPittsburgh's record against the spread in home games last year was 4-2-1, and its record at home overall was 5-3. The Steelers had just a 0-1 ATS record when favored by at least 4.0 points at home last season. Pittsburgh hit the over in just 25% of its home games last year (two of eight opportunities). The average total in Steelers home games last season was 39.1 points, 6.4 fewer than this contest's over/under (45.5).
Texans Betting InsightsHouston's games went under 45.5 points in eight out of 14 opportunities last season (57.1%). Houston had a losing 6-7-1 record against the spread last year. The Texans had a losing ATS record of 1-3 when playing as at least 4.0-point underdogs last season.
Texans Road TrendsHouston put together a 4-2-1 record against the spread on the road last year, and went 5-3 overall in away games. Houston hit the over in just two out of eight home games last year with a point total prop bet (25%). The average point total in Texans away games last season was 47.2 points, 1.7 more than this contest's over/under (45.5).
Additional InfoThe average point total in Steelers outings last season was 37, 8.5 fewer points than this game's over/under. The Texans had a 47.7-point average over/under in their outings last year, 2.2 more points than the total for this game. Last season, Pittsburgh played in two games that finished with a point total higher than 45.5 (12.5% of matchups). Houston's games went over 45.5 points nine times last year (56.2% of matchups). The two teams combined to score 41.7 points per contest last season, 3.8 fewer points than this game's over/under. Combined, these teams surrendered 43 points per contest last year, 2.5 fewer points than the over/under for this game.
Steelers: No Injuries Listed
Peter Kalambayi: Questionable (Hamstring),
Kenny Stills: Questionable (Illness),
Duke Johnson Jr.: Questionable (Ankle)
Last Updated on 2020-9-27 2:45 a.m. EDT