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NFL Betting Preview: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans

The Houston Texans (0-0) are 9.0-point underdogs on Thursday, September 10, 2020 against the Kansas City Chiefs (0-0). The contest has a point total of 54.0.

Game Info

  • Game Day: Thursday, September 10, 2020
  • Game Time: 8:20 PM
  • TV Channel: NBC
  • Location: Kansas City, MO
  • Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium
  • Chiefs Players to Watch

  • Patrick Mahomes II threw for 4,031 yards while completing 65.9% of his passes (319-of-484), with 26 touchdowns and five interceptions in 14 games last year (287.9 yards per game). He also carried the ball 43 times for 218 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 15.6 yards per game.
  • Darrel Williams amassed 141 rushing yards on 41 carries (11.8 yards per game), with three touchdowns on the ground over the course of 12 games in 2019.
  • Travis Kelce grabbed 97 passes for 1,229 yards last season with five touchdowns. He was targeted 136 times and averaged 76.8 yards per game over 16 outings.
  • Tyreek Hill also added 860 yards on 58 catches with seven touchdowns. He was targeted 88 times and averaged 71.7 receiving yards per game in 12 matchups last year.
  • Sammy Watkins caught 52 passes on 90 targets for 673 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 48.1 yards per game in 14 contests in 2019.
  • Chris Jones put together an impressive statline of nine sacks, 8.0 TFL and 36 tackles over 13 games.
  • In 15 games over the course of his 2019 campaign, Anthony Hitchens totaled 89 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two sacks.
  • Last season, Tyrann Mathieu grabbed four interceptions and added 74 tackles, 3.0 TFL, two sacks, and 13 passes defended in 16 games.
  • Texans Players to Watch

  • Deshaun Watson racked up 3,852 passing yards (256.8 yards per game) with a 67.3% completion percentage last year (333-of-495), while throwing 26 touchdowns and 12 interceptions in 15 games. He also added 413 rushing yards on 82 carries with seven touchdowns, averaging 27.5 yards per game.
  • In 2019, Duke Johnson Jr. ran for 410 yards on 83 carries (25.6 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns over the course of 16 games. He also caught 44 passes for 410 (25.6 ypg) and three touchdowns.
  • Last season, Randall Cobb hauled in 55 passes (on 83 targets) for 828 yards (55.2 yards per game) and scored three touchdowns in 15 games.
  • Will Fuller V also added 49 catches for 670 yards and three touchdowns in 11 games last year. He was targeted 71 times and averaged 60.9 receiving yards per game.
  • Brandin Cooks caught 42 passes on 72 targets for 583 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 41.6 yards per game in 14 contests in 2019.
  • Whitney Mercilus put together a solid body of work a year ago, registering 7.5 sacks, 9.0 TFL, 47 tackles, and two interceptions over 16 games.
  • Zach Cunningham collected 136 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and two sacks in 16 games over his 2019 campaign.
  • Chiefs vs Texans: Last 5 Meetings

  • In the past five meetings, Kansas City owns a 3-2 record against Houston.
  • Kansas City has outpaced Houston 122 points to 120 in the past five games.
  • Chiefs vs Texans: Last Five Meetings
    Date Home Team Total Yards Result
    10/13/2019 Chiefs 472-309 HOU 31-24 HOU
    10/8/2017 Texans 450-392 KC 42-34 KC
    9/18/2016 Texans 351-291 HOU 19-12 HOU
    9/13/2015 Texans 396-330 HOU 27-20 KC
    10/20/2013 Chiefs 357-294 KC 17-16 KC

    Chiefs Team Data

  • The Chiefs put an average of 28.2 points per game on the scoreboard last season, 4.1 more than the 24.1 the Texans surrendered in each contest.
  • When they met or went over their scoring average last season, Kansas City was 6-1.
  • Houston was 9-1 last season in games where they allowed fewer than 24.1 points.
  • The total number of yards the Chiefs offense put up and the Texans defense gave up per game last season are within 9.3 yards of each other (379 to 388.3).
  • When the Kansas City offense put together a game with at least their 2019 average in yardage, they were 5-1 last season.
  • When the Houston defense allowed less than their season average for total yards last season they were 7-2.
  • The Texans allowed opposing rushing attacks to average 121.5 yards per game in 2019 compared to the 98.1 yards the Chiefs offense averaged on the ground per contest.
  • When Kansas City rushers gained at least a combined 98.1 yards, they had a record of 7-0 last season.
  • When Houston limited opposing teams to 121.5 rushing yards or fewer they were 7-3 last year.
  • The Texans forced roughly the same amount of turnovers per game (1.4) as the Chiefs offense committed (0.9).
  • When Kansas City didn't turn the football over last season they were 5-0.
  • Houston's record last season when they forced more than 1.4 turnovers: 3-1
  • Texans Team Data

  • The Texans racked up 23.6 points per game last year, 4.4 more than the Chiefs surrendered per contest (19.2).
  • Houston went 7-2 in games when it scored at least 23.6 points last season.
  • Last season, Kansas City had a 6-1 record in games when it held opponents to 28.2 or fewer points.
  • The Texans averaged 362 yards per game in 2019, just 12.4 more than the 349.6 the Chiefs allowed per contest.
  • Kansas City's record last season when they racked up at least their season average in total yards: 5-1.
  • In games Kansas City limited its opponents to 349.6 or fewer yards last year, it recorded a 7-1 record.
  • The Texans rushed for 125.6 yards per game last season, just 2.6 fewer yards per game than the 128.2 the Chiefs allowed per contest.
  • Houston had a 6-3 record when the team rushed for at least 125.6 yards last year.
  • Last season, Kansas City finished 9-1 when holding opponents to no more than 128.2 rushing yards.
  • The Texans turned the ball over 1.4 times per game last year, only per game than the 1.4 the Chiefs forced on average.
  • In games in 2019, Houston had a 7-2 record when it turned the ball over 1.4 times or less.
  • Kansas City put together a 6-1 record when it forced at least 1.4 turnovers last season.
  • Chiefs Fantasy Leaders

  • Mahomes was the No. 8 fantasy player overall and the No. 7 fantasy quarterback in 2019 with 287.0 points (averaging 20.5 per game).
  • Kelce racked up total 157.3 fantasy points last season (9.8 per game), which made him the 60th-ranked player overall and the top-ranked tight end.
  • Last year, Hill averaged 10.9 fantasy points per game on the way to 130.3 total fantasy points. That made him the 88th-ranked fantasy player overall and the 28th-ranked wide receiver.
  • Mecole Hardman was the 128th-ranked fantasy player -- and the 49th-ranked wide receiver -- in 2019 with 93.5 fantasy points. He averaged 5.8 fantasy points per game.
  • Texans Fantasy Leaders

  • Watson put together a strong 2019 fantasy season, scoring 320.0 total fantasy points (21.3 per game) to finish fifth overall and fourth among quarterbacks in the league-wide fantasy rankings.
  • Johnson put up 110.0 fantasy points (6.9 per game) last year to be the 109th-ranked player overall and the 35th-ranked running back.
  • David Johnson was the 37th-best running back and the 113th-best fantasy player overall with 105.5 fantasy points last season, averaging 8.1 per game.
  • Cobb's 2019 fantasy rankings saw him finish as the No. 124 player overall and the No. 47 wide receiver after he scored 99.9 fantasy points (6.7 per game).
  • Betting Information

    Chiefs vs Texans Betting Information
    Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
    Chiefs -9.0 -110 -110 54.0 -110 -110 -450 350

    Chiefs Betting Insights

  • Kansas City had an 8-6 record against the spread last year.
  • Last season, the Chiefs covered more games than they didn't when projected as 9.0-point or more favorites, finishing 3-1 ATS in those situations.
  • Last year, seven of Kansas City's 14 opportunities went over the point total (50% of its games with a betting line).
  • Chiefs Home Trends

  • Kansas City hit the over five times in eight opportunities at home last year (62.5%).
  • Chiefs home games last season averaged 47.4 total points, 6.6 fewer than this matchup's over/under (54.0).
  • Kansas City's record against the spread in home games last year was an even 4-4, and its record at home overall was 5-3.
  • The Chiefs went 3-1 ATS in home games last season when favored by at least 9.0 points.
  • Texans Betting Insights

  • Just eight of Houston's 14 games with a betting line last year went over the point total (42.9% of its opportunities).
  • Houston had a losing 6-7-1 record against the spread last year.
  • Texans Road Trends

  • Houston finished 4-2-1 against the spread in away games last year, and went 5-3 overall on the road.
  • Houston hit the over in just two out of eight home games last year with a point total prop bet (25%).
  • The average total in Texans away games last season was 47.2 points, 6.8 fewer than this matchup's over/under (54.0).
  • Additional Info

  • The Chiefs had an average point total of 47.4 in their contests last season, 6.6 fewer points than this game's over/under.
  • Texans contests last year had a 47.7-point average over/under, 6.3 fewer points than this game's total.
  • Five of Kansas City's games went over 54.0 points last season (31.2% of matchups).
  • Houston's games went over 54.0 points three times last year (18.8% of matchups).
  • The two teams combined to score 51.8 points per contest last season, 2.2 fewer points than this game's point total.
  • Combined, these teams allowed 43.3 points per contest last year, 10.7 fewer points than the over/under for this game.
  • Injury Report

    Chiefs: No Injuries Listed
    Texans: No Injuries Listed
    Team Records
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    as Fav
    as Dog
    ATS Home
    ATS Away
    O/U Home
    O/U Away
    Passing Yards per Game
    Watson Photo
    Houston Texans
    Mahomes Photo
    Kansas City Chiefs
    Rushing Yards per Game
    Johnson Photo
    Houston Texans
    Edwards-Helaire Photo
    Kansas City Chiefs
    Receiving Yards per Game
    Cobb Photo
    Houston Texans
    Kelce Photo
    Kansas City Chiefs