NFL Betting Preview: New Orleans Saints vs. Las Vegas Raiders
The New Orleans Saints (1-0) are 5.5-point favorites heading into their matchup on Monday, September 21, 2020 against the Las Vegas Raiders (1-0). The point total is set at 48.5.
Game InfoGame Day: Monday, September 21, 2020 Game Time: 8:15 PM ET TV Channel: ESPN Location: Las Vegas, NV Stadium: Allegiant Stadium
Saints Players to WatchLast year, Jameis Winston collected 5,109 passing yards (319.3 yards per game) while going 380-for-626 (60.7% completion percentage) and throwing 33 touchdowns and 30 interceptions in 16 games. He tacked on 250 rushing yards on 59 carries with one touchdown, averaging 15.6 yards per game. Alvin Kamara took 171 attempts for 797 rushing yards a season ago (56.9 yards per game) while scoring five touchdowns in 14 games. He also caught 81 passes for 533 yards (38.1 receiving yards per game) with one touchdown through the air. In 2019, Latavius Murray rushed for 637 yards on 146 carries (39.8 ypg), with five rushing touchdowns over the course of 16 games. Michael Thomas grabbed 149 passes for 1,725 yards last season with nine touchdowns. He was targeted 186 times and averaged 107.8 yards per game over 16 outings. Emmanuel Sanders added 869 yards on 66 catches with five touchdowns. He was targeted 96 times and averaged 51.1 receiving yards per game over 17 matchups last year. Over 14 games in 2019, Jared Cook caught 43 passes on 65 targets for 705 yards and nine touchdowns, averaging 50.4 receiving yards per game. Last season, Cameron Jordan put up 15.5 sacks, 16.0 TFL and 49 tackles in 16 games. In 16 games over the course of his 2019 campaign, Demario Davis totaled 112 tackles, 10.0 TFL, four sacks, and one interception. Marcus Williams picked off four passes while adding 52 tackles and 13 passes defended over 15 games a season ago.
Raiders Players to WatchDerek Carr threw for 4,055 yards while completing 70.4% of his passes (361-of-513), with 21 touchdowns and eight interceptions in 16 games last year (253.4 yards per game). Josh Jacobs ran for 1,150 yards on 242 carries (88.5 yards per game) while scoring seven touchdowns in 13 games a season ago. In 2019, Jalen Richard rushed for 145 yards on 39 carries (9.1 ypg), with zero rushing touchdowns over the course of 16 games. He also caught 36 passes for 323 (20.2 ypg). Last season, Darren Waller hauled in 90 passes (on 117 targets) for 1,146 yards (71.6 yards per game) and scored three touchdowns in 16 games. Hunter Renfrow added 49 catches for 605 yards and four touchdowns in 13 games last year. He was targeted 71 times and averaged 46.5 receiving yards per game. Jason Witten caught 63 passes on 83 targets for 529 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 33.1 yards per game in 16 contests in 2019. Maxx Crosby had a strong body of work a year ago, notching 10.0 sacks, 16.0 TFL and 47 tackles over 16 games. In 16 games over his 2019 campaign, Cory Littleton racked up 134 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and two interceptions. Erik Harris intercepted three passes and tacked on 68 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and eight passes defended in 16 games last season.
Saints vs Raiders: Last 5 MeetingsAgainst Las Vegas, New Orleans has totaled three wins over the past five matchups. Las Vegas has scored 47 fewer points than New Orleans in their past five games.
Saints vs Raiders: Last Five Meetings
When the Saints have the ball...The Saints averaged points scored last season (28.6) and the Raiders points allowed (26.2) were within 2.4 points of each other. When they met or went over their scoring average last season, New Orleans was 10-1. Las Vegas was 7-2 last season in games where they allowed fewer than 26.2 points. The Saints offense averaged 373.9 total yards per game last season, within 19.3 yards of the 354.6 the Raiders defense allowed. When the New Orleans offense put together a game with at least their 2019 average in yardage, they were 8-1 last season. When the Las Vegas defense allowed less than their season average for total yards last season they were 6-3. The Saints averaged 108.6 yards per game on the ground last season, 10.5 yards more than the Raiders allowed to opposing rushing attacks (98.1). New Orleans was 9-1 last season when they ran for at least their season average. When Las Vegas held opposing teams to 98.1 rushing yards or fewer they were 5-6 last year. Last season, the Raiders forced an average of 0.9 turnovers per game compared to the 0.5 times Saints turned the football over in each contest. In games where they didn't turn the football over, New Orleans was 7-1 last season. Las Vegas was 5-4 last season when they forced at least 0.9 turnovers in a game.
When the Raiders have the ball...The Raiders put up 19.6 points per game last year, comparable to the 21.3 per outing the Saints surrendered. Las Vegas went 6-3 in games when it scored at least 19.6 points last season. When New Orleans gave up no more than 28.6 points last season, it put together a 10-1 record. The Raiders racked up 363.8 yards per game in 2019, 30.7 more yards than the 333.1 the Saints gave up per outing. When the New Orleans offense put together a game with at least their 2019 average in yardage, they were 8-1 last season. New Orleans put together a 7-1 record last year when holding its opponents to 333.1 yards or less. Last season, the Raiders ran for 26.9 more yards per game (118.3) than the Saints allowed per outing (91.4). Las Vegas compiled a 3-4 record when the team rushed for at least 118.3 yards last year. When New Orleans held its opponents to 91.4 rushing yards or less last season, it went 8-0. The Raiders turned the ball over 1.1 times per game last year, only 0.3 fewer turnovers per game than the 1.4 the Saints forced on average. In games in 2019, Las Vegas finished with a 5-5 record when it turned the ball over 1.1 times or less. When it forced 1.4 or more turnovers last season, New Orleans compiled a 5-0 record.
Saints Fantasy LeadersWinston ended the season sixth overall among all players and fifth among all QBs in 2019 with 305.4 fantasy points (19.1 per game). Thomas collected 225.6 fantasy points a season ago (14.1 per game), good enough to rank him 26th overall and first among wide receivers in league-wide fantasy standings. Last year, Drew Brees averaged 20.4 fantasy points per game on the way to 224.8 total fantasy points. That made him the 27th-ranked fantasy player overall and the 21st-ranked quarterback. Kamara put together the 51st-ranked fantasy season (16th among running backs) in 2019 with 167.5 fantasy points, averaging 12.0 per game.
Raiders Fantasy LeadersCarr put together a solid 2019 fantasy season, scoring 244.4 total fantasy points (15.3 per game) to finish 19th overall and 15th among quarterbacks in the league-wide fantasy rankings. Jacobs put up 171.6 fantasy points (13.2 per game) last year to be the 48th-ranked player overall and the 14th-ranked running back. Waller was the No. 4 tight end and the No. 87 fantasy player overall with 131.1 total points last season (8.2 per game). Renfrow's 2019 fantasy rankings saw him finish as the No. 144 player overall and the No. 55 wide receiver after he scored 84.5 fantasy points (6.5 per game).
Saints vs Raiders Betting Information
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Saints Betting InsightsIn 2019, most of New Orleans' games with a betting line -- six out of 14 opportunities -- finished over the point total (42.9%). New Orleans had an 11-3 record against the spread last year. Last season, the Saints covered more games than they didn't when projected as 5.5-point or more favorites, finishing 4-2 ATS in those situations.
Saints Road TrendsNew Orleans hit the over in 50% of its away games last year (four of eight opportunities). Last season, Saints away games averaged 48.6 points, 0.1 more than this outing's over/under (48.5). New Orleans put together a 7-0 record against the spread on the road last year, and went 7-1 overall in away games. The Saints had a 2-0 ATS record when favored by at least 5.5 points in away games last season.
Raiders Betting InsightsHalf of Las Vegas' games with a betting line last year -- seven out of 14 opportunities -- hit the point total. Las Vegas had a 7-7 record against the spread last year. The Raiders had a losing ATS record of 0-2 when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs last season.
Raiders Home TrendsLas Vegas finished with an even 3-3 record against the spread at home last year, and went 5-3 overall in home games. The Raiders finished just 0-2 ATS at home last season when playing as at least a 5.5-point underdog. Las Vegas hit the over in just four out of eight home games last year with a point total prop bet (50%). Raiders home games last season averaged 44.2 total points, 4.3 fewer than this outing's over/under (48.5).
Additional InfoThe Saints had an average point total of 49.9 in their contests last season, 1.4 more points than the over/under for this game. The average over/under for Raiders matchups last year was 45.8, 2.7 fewer points than this game's point total. Eight of New Orleans' games went over 48.5 points last season (50% of matchups). Las Vegas' games went over 48.5 points seven times last year (43.8% of matchups). The two teams combined to score 48.2 points per game last season, 0.3 fewer points than this matchup's total. Combined, these teams gave up 47.5 points per contest last year, 1.0 fewer point than the over/under for this game.
Marcus Davenport: Out (Elbow),
Michael Thomas: Out (Ankle),
Chase Hansen: Out (Hip)
Trent Brown: Doubtful (Calf),
Nick Kwiatkoski: Doubtful (Pectoral),
Henry Ruggs III: Questionable (Knee),
John Simpson: Questionable (Shoulder),
Sam Young: Doubtful (Groin)
Last Updated on 2020-9-21 2:24 a.m. EDT