NFL Betting Preview: New England Patriots vs. Las Vegas Raiders
The Las Vegas Raiders (2-0) will try to defy oddsmakers when they hit the field against the New England Patriots (1-1) on Sunday, September 27, 2020 as 6.5-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 47.0 for the outing.
Game InfoGame Day: Sunday, September 27, 2020 Game Time: 1:00 PM ET TV Channel: CBS Location: Foxborough, MA Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Patriots Players to WatchCam Newton collected 572 passing yards (286.0 yards per game) with a 56.2% completion percentage last year (50-of-89), while throwing zero touchdowns and one interception in two games. Sony Michel ran for 914 yards on 247 attempts (57.1 yards per game) while scoring seven touchdowns in 16 games a season ago. In 2019, Rex Burkhead rushed for 302 yards on 65 carries (23.2 ypg), with three rushing touchdowns over the course of 13 games. He also caught 27 passes for 279 yards (21.5 ypg). Julian Edelman hauled in 100 passes for 1,117 yards last season and scored six touchdowns. He was targeted 154 times and averaged 69.8 yards per game over 16 outings. James White added 645 yards on 72 grabs with five touchdowns. He was targeted 95 times and put up 43.0 receiving yards per game over the course of 15 matchups last year. Damiere Byrd caught 32 passes on 46 targets for 359 yards and one touchdown, averaging 32.6 yards per game in 11 contests in 2019. Adam Butler put together an impressive statline of 6.0 sacks, 8.0 TFL and 26 tackles over 16 games. Lawrence Guy's 2019 campaign saw him total 61 tackles, 5.0 TFL, three sacks, and one interception over 16 games. Stephon Gilmore picked off six passes while adding 53 tackles and 20 passes defended over 16 games a season ago.
Raiders Players to WatchDerek Carr threw for 4,055 yards while completing 70.4% of his passes (361-of-513), with 21 touchdowns and eight interceptions in 16 games last year (253.4 yards per game). Josh Jacobs rushed for 1,150 yards on 242 attempts (88.5 yards per game) while scoring seven touchdowns in 13 games a season ago. Jalen Richard totaled 145 rushing yards on 39 carries (9.1 yards per game), with zero touchdowns on the ground over the course of 16 games in 2019. He also caught 36 passes for 323 (20.2 yards per game). Darren Waller hauled in 90 passes for 1,146 yards last season while scoring three touchdowns. He was targeted 117 times and averaged 71.6 yards per game over 16 outings. Hunter Renfrow contributed with 605 yards on 49 grabs with four touchdowns. He was targeted 71 times and averaged 46.5 receiving yards per game in 13 matchups last year. Over 16 games in 2019, Jason Witten caught 63 passes on 83 targets for 529 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 33.1 receiving yards per game. Maxx Crosby boasted an impressive statline of 10.0 sacks, 16.0 TFL and 47 tackles over 16 games. Cory Littleton racked up 134 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and two interceptions in 16 games over his 2019 campaign. Last season, Erik Harris grabbed three interceptions and added 68 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and eight passes defended in 16 games.
Patriots vs Raiders: Last 5 MeetingsIn the past five meetings, New England owns a 5-0 record against Las Vegas. New England has outpaced Las Vegas 159 points to 82 in the past five contests.
Patriots vs Raiders: Last Five Meetings
When the Patriots have the ball...The Raiders defense allowed 26.2 points per game last season, the same amount as the Patriots scored. In games where New England scored at least 26.2 points last season, they put together a record of 8-0. When Las Vegas allowed opposing offenses to put 26.2 points or fewer on the scoreboard last year, they were 7-2. The Raiders defense allowed an average of 354.6 yards per game last season, just 0.5 yards more than the 354.1 the Patriots offense averaged. When the New England offense put together a game with at least their 2019 average in yardage, they were 6-1 last season. When the Las Vegas defense allowed less than their season average for total yards last season they were 6-3. The Patriots averaged 106.6 yards per game on the ground last season, just 8.5 yards more than the Raiders allowed to opposing rushing attacks (98.1). When New England rushers gained at least a combined 106.6 yards, they had a record of 5-2 last season. When Las Vegas held opposing teams to 98.1 rushing yards or fewer they were 5-6 last year. Last season, the Raiders forced an average of 0.9 turnovers per game compared to the 0.9 times Patriots turned the football over in each contest. New England was 5-0 last season when they didn't turn the football over. Las Vegas was 5-4 last season when they forced at least 0.9 turnovers in a game.
When the Raiders have the ball...The Raiders scored 5.5 more points per game last year (19.6) than the Patriots surrendered (14.1). Las Vegas finished 6-3 in games when it recorded at least 19.6 points last season. Last season, New England had an 8-0 record in games when it held opponents to 26.2 or fewer points. The Raiders averaged 363.8 yards per game in 2019, 88.1 more yards than the 275.7 the Patriots allowed per contest. In contests where the New England offense totaled at least their average yard output last season, they were 6-1. In games New England limited its opponents to 275.7 or fewer yards last year, it had a 7-0 record. Last season, the Raiders piled up 118.3 yards per game on the ground, 22.8 more per game than the Patriots allowed per outing (95.5). Las Vegas compiled a 3-4 record when the team ran for at least 118.3 yards last year. When New England held its opponents to 95.5 yards on the ground or less last season, it finished 7-3. The Raiders turned the ball over 1.1 times per game last year, 1.1 fewer turnovers per game than the 2.2 the Patriots forced on average. In 2019, Las Vegas went 5-5 when it turned the ball over 1.1 times or less. When it forced 2.2 or more turnovers last season, New England compiled a 6-0 record.
Patriots Fantasy LeadersEdelman ended the season 62nd overall among all players and 13th among all WRs in 2019 with 156.3 fantasy points (9.8 per game). Michel totaled 140.8 fantasy points a season ago (8.8 per game), enough to place him 77th overall and 24th among running backs in league-wide fantasy standings. Last year, White's 128.2 total fantasy points made him the No. 92 fantasy player and No. 29 running back. He averaged 8.5 fantasy points per game. Burkhead put together the 162nd-ranked fantasy season (49th among running backs) in 2019 with 74.1 fantasy points, averaging 5.7 per game.
Raiders Fantasy LeadersCarr put together a solid 2019 fantasy season, scoring 244.4 total fantasy points (15.3 per game) to finish 19th overall and 15th among quarterbacks in the league-wide fantasy rankings. Jacobs scored 171.6 fantasy points (13.2 per game) last year to be the 48th-ranked player overall and the 14th-ranked running back. Waller was the No. 4 tight end and the No. 87 fantasy player overall with 131.1 total points last season (8.2 per game). Renfrow's 2019 fantasy rankings saw him finish as the No. 144 player overall and the No. 55 wide receiver after he put up 84.5 fantasy points (6.5 per game).
Patriots vs Raiders Betting Information
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Patriots Betting InsightsLast year, seven of New England's 14 opportunities went over the point total (50% of its games with a betting line). Last year, New England compiled a losing 6-7-1 record against the spread. Last season, the Patriots went 5-3-1 ATS when favored by 6.5 points or more.
Patriots Home TrendsNew England hit the over four times in eight opportunities at home last year (50%). The average total in Patriots home games last season was 40.2 points, 6.8 fewer than this contest's over/under (47.0). New England put together just a 2-4-1 record against the spread at home last year, and went 6-2 overall in home games. Last season, the Patriots went an even 2-2-1 ATS in home games as at least a 6.5-point favorite.
Raiders Betting InsightsLas Vegas played in seven games last year that went over the point total (50% of its opportunities). Las Vegas put together a 7-7 record against the spread last year. The Raiders had a losing ATS record of 0-2 when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs last season.
Raiders Road TrendsLas Vegas hit the over in just 37.5% of its away games last year (three of eight opportunities). Raiders away games last season averaged 47.2 total points, 0.2 more than this outing's over/under (47.0). Las Vegas finished an even 4-4 against the spread in away games last year, and went 2-6 overall on the road.
Additional InfoLast season, New England played in five games that finished with a combined score higher than 47.0 (31.2% of matchups). Last year, Las Vegas played eight games that ended with a combined score higher than 47.0 (50% of matchups). The teams combined to score 45.8 points per game last season, 1.2 fewer points than this matchup's total. These two teams surrendered a combined 40.3 points per game last year, 6.7 fewer points than the total for this contest. The average point total in Patriots outings last season was 40.3, 6.7 fewer points than this game's over/under. Raiders matchups last year had a 45.8-point average over/under, 1.2 fewer points than this game's point total.
David Andrews: Out (Hand),
Kyle Dugger: Questionable (Foot),
Isaiah Wynn: Questionable (Calf),
N'Keal Harry: Questionable (Ankle),
Adam Butler: Questionable (Shoulder),
Julian Edelman: Questionable (Knee),
Josh Uche: Out (Ankle),
James White: Out (Not Injury Related)
Darren Waller: Questionable (Knee),
Denzelle Good: Questionable (Thumb),
Trent Brown: Out (Calf),
Sam Young: Questionable (Groin),
Nick Kwiatkoski: Out (Pectoral),
Josh Jacobs: Questionable (Hip),
Henry Ruggs III: Out (Knee)
Last Updated on 2020-9-27 2:47 a.m. EDT