NFL Betting Preview: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Oddsmakers expect the Kansas City Chiefs (4-0) will keep their four-game winning streak alive, as they are favored by 11.5 points in a matchup with the Las Vegas Raiders (2-2) on Sunday, October 11, 2020 at Arrowhead Stadium. The over/under is set at 54.5 for the game.
Game InfoGame Day: Sunday, October 11, 2020 Game Time: 1:00 PM ET TV Channel: CBS Location: Kansas City, MO Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium
Chiefs Players to WatchPatrick Mahomes II has thrown for 1,134 yards while completing 67.3% of his passes (101-of-150), with 11 touchdowns and zero interceptions in four games this year (283.5 yards per game). He's also carried the ball 18 times for 108 yards and one touchdown, averaging 27.0 yards per game. Clyde Edwards-Helaire has ran for a team-leading 304 yards on 71 carries (76.0 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown in four games. He also averages 32.3 receiving yards per game, grabbing 14 passes for 129 yards. This season, Travis Kelce has 24 catches (on 33 targets) to lead the team with 297 yards (74.3 per game) with two touchdowns in four games. Tyreek Hill's statline this year shows 19 catches for 286 yards and four touchdowns in four games. He averages 71.5 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 29 times. Sammy Watkins has caught 19 passes on 27 targets for 198 yards and one touchdown, averaging 49.5 yards per game in four contests in 2020. Chris Jones has 3.5 sacks to lead the team, and has also collected 12 tackles over three games. Anthony Hitchens has totaled 26 tackles to lead the team in tackles so far in four games over the course of the 2020 campaign. Juan Thornhill has a team-high one interception and has tacked on 17 tackles and one pass defended four in games this season.
Raiders Players to WatchThis year, Derek Carr has recorded 1,093 passing yards (273.3 yards per game) while going 106-for-144 (73.6% completion percentage) and throwing eight touchdowns and zero interceptions in four games. Josh Jacobs has taken 83 carries for a team-leading 300 rushing yards (75.0 yards per game) while scoring three touchdowns in four games. He's also caught 13 passes for 100 yards (25.0 receiving yards per game). Devontae Booker has 59 yards on 10 carries (14.8 ypg), with zero rushing touchdowns over the course of four games. This season, Darren Waller has 29 catches (on 40 targets) to lead the team with 245 yards (61.3 per game) with one touchdown in four games. Hunter Renfrow has also contributed with 16 catches for 199 yards and one touchdown over four games this year. He has been targeted 22 times and puts up 49.8 receiving yards per game. Nelson Agholor has collected 118 yards on eight passes with two touchdowns in 2020, averaging 29.5 yards per game on nine targets in four contests. Maxx Crosby has registered a team-leading 3.0 sacks, while adding 3.0 TFL and seven tackles over four games. Johnathan Abram has totaled 23 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one interception to lead the team in tackles so far in four games over the course of the 2020 campaign. Nicholas Morrow has a team-high one interception and has tacked on 21 tackles and one pass defended four in games this season.
Chiefs vs Raiders: Last 5 MeetingsAgainst Las Vegas, Kansas City has collected five wins over the past five contests. Kansas City has outscored Las Vegas 169 points to 70 in the past five contests.
Chiefs vs Raiders: Last Five Meetings
When the Chiefs have the ball...The Raiders defense has allowed 30 points per game this season, about the same amount as the 29.2 the Chiefs have scored. When they meet or go over their scoring average this season, Kansas City is 2-0. Las Vegas is 2-1 this season in games where they allow fewer than 30 points. The Raiders defense has allowed an average of 388.5 yards per game this season, just 17.3 yards fewer than the 405.8 the Chiefs offense has averaged. The Chiefs pick up 6.1 yards per play while the Raiders allow 6.2 per play. Kansas City's record this season when they rack up at least their season average in total yards: 2-0. When the Las Vegas defense allows less than their season average for total yards this season they are 1-1. The Raiders defense has given up an average of 138 yards per game to opposing running games this season. That total is about the same as the rushing output per contest for the Chiefs (129.2). When Kansas City rushers gain at least a combined 129.2 yards, they have a record of 2-0 this season. When Las Vegas holds opposing teams to 138 rushing yards or fewer they are 2-1 this year. This season, the Raiders have forced an average of 0.5 turnovers per game compared to the 0.5 times Chiefs have turned the football over in each contest. Kansas City is 2-0 this season when they don't turn the football over. When they force more than 0.5 turnovers in a game, Las Vegas is 1-1 this season.
When the Raiders have the ball...The Raiders put up 27.8 points per game, 10.3 more than the Chiefs give up per contest (17.5). Las Vegas is 2-0 in games when it scores at least 27.8 points. When Kansas City allows no more than 29.2 points, it has a 2-0 record. The Raiders average 20.2 more yards per game (376.2), than the Chiefs allow per matchup (356). On average, the Raiders gain 5.7 yards per play, while the Chiefs allow 5.4 per play. In contests where the Kansas City offense totaled at least their average yard output last season, they were 5-1. When Kansas City holds its opponents to 356 yards or less, it has a 1-0 record. The Raiders rush for 115.2 yards per game, 45.8 fewer per game than the 161 the Chiefs allow per contest. When Las Vegas rushes for at least 115.2 yards, it recorded a 2-1 record. This season, Kansas City is 2-0 when holding opponents to no more than 161 yards on the ground. This year, the Raiders turn the ball over 1.5 times per game, only 0.3 fewer turnovers per game than the 1.8 the Chiefs force on average. Las Vegas is 2-0 when it turns the ball over 1.5 times or less. When it forces 1.8 or more turnovers, Kansas City has a 1-0 record.
Chiefs Fantasy LeadersMahomes is the fourth-best fantasy player overall this season and the fourth-best fantasy QB with 108.2 fantasy points (27.0 per game). Hill's 56.0 total fantasy points (an average of 14.0 per game), are enough to place him 37th overall and fourth among wide receivers. So far this season, Edwards-Helaire averages 12.3 fantasy points per game on the way to 49.3 total fantasy points. That makes him the 53rd-ranked fantasy player overall and the 16th-ranked running back. Kelce is the 67th-ranked fantasy player -- and the second-ranked tight end -- with 41.7 fantasy points. He averages 10.4 fantasy points per game.
Raiders Fantasy LeadersSo far this season, Mahomes is the No. 4 fantasy quarterback and the No. 4 fantasy player overall. He's scored 108.2 points and is averaging 27.0 per game. Jacobs' 56.0 fantasy points this season (an average of 14.0 per game), are good enough to place him 36th overall and 10th among running backs. Waller is 126th overall and 13th among TEs with 28.5 fantasy points (averaging 7.1 per game) so far this season. Renfrow is working on the 138th-ranked fantasy season (50th among wide receivers) with 25.9 fantasy points, averaging 6.5 per game.
Chiefs vs Raiders Betting Information
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Chiefs Betting InsightsKansas City has a 3-1 record against the spread this year. This season, less than half of Kansas City's games with a betting line -- one out of four opportunities -- have gone over the point total.
Chiefs Home TrendsKansas City hit the over in just five out of eight home games last year with a point total prop bet (62.5%). The average total in Chiefs home games last season was 47.4 points, 7.1 fewer than this matchup's over/under (54.5). Kansas City's record against the spread in home games last year was an even 4-4, and its record at home overall was 5-3.
Raiders Betting InsightsAll of Las Vegas' four games this year have gone over the point total . Las Vegas has put together a 2-2 record against the spread this season.
Raiders Road TrendsLas Vegas put together an even 4-4 record against the spread on the road last year, and went 2-6 overall in away games. Las Vegas hit the over in just 37.5% of its away games last year (three of eight opportunities). Raiders away games last season averaged 47.2 total points, 7.3 fewer than this matchup's over/under (54.5).
Additional InfoKansas City's games have gone over 54.5 points zero times this season. Three of Las Vegas' games have gone over 54.5 points this year (75% of matchups). The two teams combine to score 57 points per game, 2.5 more points than this matchup's over/under. Opponents of these teams combine to score 47.5 points per game, 7.0 fewer points than this contest's total. The Chiefs have an average point total of 46.8 in their contests this year, 7.7 fewer points than this game's over/under. The average over/under for Raiders matchups this season is 57.8, 3.3 more points than this game's total.
Betting Insights: Last Three Games (Both Teams)Kansas City has gone 2-1 against the spread in its last three games while going 3-0 overall. In those outings, Kansas City went over the point total in just zero of three opportunities (0%). The last three Chiefs games averaged 44.3 total points, 10.2 fewer points than this matchup's over/under. Las Vegas has gone only 1-2 against the spread in its last three games while also going 1-2 overall. In that span, Las Vegas has gone over the point total in three of three opportunities (100%). The last three Raiders games averaged 55.7 total points, 1.2 more points than this matchup's over/under.
Michael Danna: Out (Hamstring)
Maliek Collins: Questionable (Shoulder),
Bryan Edwards: Out (Ankle),
Henry Ruggs III: Questionable (Knee),
Rico Gafford: Questionable (Hamstring),
Trent Brown: Questionable (Calf)
Last Updated on 2020-10-11 2:27 a.m. EDT