NFL Betting Preview: Seattle Seahawks vs. New England Patriots
The New England Patriots (1-0) are 4.0-point underdogs heading into their matchup on Sunday, September 20, 2020 against the Seattle Seahawks (1-0). An over/under of 44.5 is set for the game.
Game InfoGame Day: Sunday, September 20, 2020 Game Time: 8:20 PM ET TV Channel: NBC Location: Seattle, WA Stadium: CenturyLink Field
Seahawks Players to WatchLast year, Russell Wilson recorded 4,110 passing yards (256.9 yards per game) while going 341-for-516 (66.1% completion percentage) and throwing 31 touchdowns and five interceptions in 16 games. He added 342 rushing yards on 75 carries with three touchdowns, averaging 21.4 yards per game. Chris Carson took 278 attempts for 1,232 rushing yards a season ago (82.1 yards per game) while scoring seven touchdowns in 15 games. He also caught 37 passes for 266 yards (17.7 receiving yards per game) with two touchdowns through the air. In 2019, Carlos Hyde rushed for 1,070 yards on 245 carries (66.9 ypg), with six rushing touchdowns over the course of 16 games. Tyler Lockett reeled in 82 passes for 1,057 yards last season and scored eight touchdowns. He was targeted 111 times and averaged 66.1 yards per game over 16 outings. D.K. Metcalf added 900 yards on 58 catches with seven touchdowns. He was targeted 100 times and averaged 56.3 receiving yards per game in 16 matchups last year. Over 14 games in 2019, Greg Olsen caught 52 passes on 81 targets for 597 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 42.6 receiving yards per game. Last season, Bruce Irvin piled up 8.5 sacks, 8.0 TFL and 37 tackles in 13 games. Bobby Wagner racked up 157 tackles, 7.0 TFL, three sacks, and one interception in 16 games over the course of his 2019 campaign. Quinton Dunbar intercepted four passes while adding 38 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and eight passes defended over 11 games a season ago.
Patriots Players to WatchCam Newton racked up 572 passing yards (286.0 yards per game) with a 56.2% completion percentage last year (50-of-89), while throwing zero touchdowns and one interception in two games. Sony Michel ran for 914 yards on 247 carries (57.1 yards per game) while scoring seven touchdowns in 16 games a season ago. In 2019, Rex Burkhead rushed for 302 yards on 65 carries (23.2 ypg), with three rushing touchdowns over the course of 13 games. He also caught 27 passes for 279 (21.5 ypg). Last season, Julian Edelman hauled in 100 passes (on 154 targets) for 1,117 yards (69.8 yards per game) with six touchdowns in 16 games. James White chipped in with 645 yards on 72 grabs with five touchdowns. He was targeted 95 times and put up 43.0 receiving yards per game over 15 matchups last year. Damiere Byrd caught 32 passes on 46 targets for 359 yards and one touchdown, averaging 32.6 yards per game in 11 contests in 2019. Last season, Adam Butler registered 6.0 sacks, 8.0 TFL and 26 tackles in 16 games. In 16 games over the course of his 2019 campaign, Lawrence Guy racked up 61 tackles, 5.0 TFL, three sacks, and one interception. Stephon Gilmore intercepted six passes and tacked on 53 tackles and 20 passes defended in 16 games last season.
Seahawks vs Patriots: Last 5 MeetingsIn the past five meetings, Seattle has a 3-2 record against New England. New England has tallied 110 points in the last five matchups while only giving up 106 to Seattle
Seahawks vs Patriots: Last Five Meetings
When the Seahawks have the ball...The Seahawks put an average of 25.3 points per game on the scoreboard last season, 11.2 more than the 14.1 the Patriots surrendered in each contest. In games where Seattle scored at least 25.3 points last season, they put together a record of 9-1. New England was 11-0 last season in games where they allowed fewer than 14.1 points. The Seahawks held a 98.9-yard advantage in total yards gained versus total yards allowed compared to the Patriots defense last season (374.6 to 275.7). Seattle's record last season when they accumulated at least their season average in total yards: 6-1. When the New England defense allowed less than their season average for total yards last season they were 7-0. The Patriots allowed opposing rushing attacks to average 95.5 yards per game in 2019 compared to the 137.6 yards the Seahawks offense averaged on the ground per contest. Seattle was 9-0 last season when they ran for at least their season average. Last season, when the New England defense allowed opponents to pick up less than 95.5 yards on the ground, they were 7-3. The Seahawks turned the ball over 1.2 times per game last season, while the Patriots averaged 2.2 takeaways per contest. When Seattle turned the football over 1.2 times or fewer last season they were 7-4. New England was 6-0 last season when they forced at least 2.2 turnovers in a game.
When the Patriots have the ball...The Patriots racked up just 1.3 more points per game last year (26.2) than the Seahawks allowed (24.9). New England finished 8-0 overall a season ago when the team scored at least 26.2 points. Last season, Seattle had a 9-1 record in games when it held opponents to 25.3 or fewer points. The Patriots collected 354.1 yards per game in 2019, 27.7 fewer yards than the 381.8 the Seahawks gave up per contest. Seattle's record last season when they accumulated at least their season average in total yards: 6-1. Seattle recorded a 5-2 record last year when holding its opponents to 381.8 yards or less. Last season, the Patriots ran for 11.1 fewer yards per game (106.6) than the Seahawks allowed per contest (117.7). New England compiled a 5-2 record when the team rushed for at least 106.6 yards last year. Last season, Seattle finished 9-1 when holding opponents to no more than 117.7 rushing yards. The Patriots turned the ball over only 0.9 times per game last year, 1.1 fewer turnovers per game than the two the Seahawks forced on average. In 2019, New England went 5-0 when it turned the ball over 0.9 times or less. When it forced 2 or more turnovers last season, Seattle put together an 8-1 record.
Seahawks Fantasy LeadersWilson was the No. 4 fantasy player overall and the No. 3 fantasy quarterback in 2019 with 328.6 points (averaging 20.5 per game). Carson put up 195.8 fantasy points a season ago (13.1 per game), enough to place him 36th overall and ninth among running backs in league-wide fantasy standings. Last year, Lockett averaged 9.6 fantasy points per game on the way to 153.2 total fantasy points. That made him the 64th-ranked fantasy player overall and the 15th-ranked wide receiver. Hyde put together the 75th-ranked fantasy season (23rd among running backs) in 2019 with 143.2 fantasy points, averaging 9.0 per game.
Patriots Fantasy LeadersEdelman's productive 2019 fantasy season earned him the No. 62 spot overall and the No. 13 spot among WRs. He put up 156.3 fantasy points on the year (9.8 per game). Michel put up 140.8 fantasy points (8.8 per game) last year to be the 77th-ranked player overall and the 24th-ranked running back. White was the No. 29 running back and the No. 92 fantasy player overall with 128.2 total points last season (8.5 per game). Burkhead's 2019 fantasy rankings saw him finish as the No. 162 player overall and the No. 49 running back after he scored 74.1 fantasy points (5.7 per game).
Seahawks vs Patriots Betting Information
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Seahawks Betting InsightsIn 2019, Seattle's games went over the point total in seven out of 14 opportunities. Last year, Seattle went 6-7-1 against the spread. Last season, the Seahawks had an ATS record of 2-3-1 when favored by 4.0 points or more.
Seahawks Home TrendsSeattle hit the over four times in eight opportunities at home last year (50%). Seahawks home games last season averaged 54.2 total points, 9.7 more than this matchup's over/under (44.5). Seattle compiled just a 2-5 record against the spread at home last year, and went 4-4 overall in home games. The Seahawks finished just 1-2 ATS in home games last season when favored by at least 4.0 points.
Patriots Betting InsightsNew England had a losing 6-7-1 record against the spread last year. The Patriots went 6-4-1 ATS last season when playing as 4.0-point or more underdogs. Half of New England's games with a betting line last year -- seven out of 14 opportunities -- hit the point total.
Patriots Road TrendsNew England hit the over in just three out of eight home games last year with a point total prop bet (37.5%). The average total in Patriots away games last season was 40.4 points, 4.1 fewer than this contest's over/under (44.5). New England compiled a 4-3 record against the spread on the road last year, and went 6-2 overall in away games. The Patriots had a 4-1 ATS record when playing as at least a 4.0-point underdog in away games last season.
Additional InfoLast season, Seattle played in 10 games that finished with a combined score higher than 44.5 (62.5% of matchups). Last year, New England played five games that finished with a point total higher than 44.5 (31.2% of matchups). The teams combined to score 51.5 points per game last season, 7.0 more points than the over/under for this matchup. These two teams gave up a combined 39 points per game last year, 5.5 fewer points than the over/under for this contest. The Seahawks had an average point total of 50.2 in their contests last season, 5.7 more points than the over/under for this game. The average over/under for Patriots contests last year was 40.3, 4.2 fewer points than this game's total.
Cedric Ogbuehi: Doubtful (Pectoral),
Rasheem Green: Doubtful (Neck),
Phillip Dorsett II: Questionable (Foot)
Matthew Slater: Questionable (Knee),
Brandon Copeland: Questionable (Knee),
N'Keal Harry: Questionable (Shoulder),
Adam Butler: Questionable (Shoulder),
Josh Uche: Out (Ankle),
Dalton Keene: Questionable (Neck),
Julian Edelman: Questionable (Knee)
Last Updated on 2020-9-20 2:19 a.m. EDT