NFL Betting Preview: Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers
The Atlanta Falcons (0-4) are favored by 2.5 points as they attempt to halt their four-game losing streak in a matchup against the Carolina Panthers (2-2) on Sunday, October 11, 2020 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. An over/under of 54.0 is set for the game.
Game InfoGame Day: Sunday, October 11, 2020 Game Time: 1:00 PM ET TV Channel: FOX Location: Atlanta, GA Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Falcons Players to WatchMatt Ryan has thrown for 1,246 yards while completing 64.7% of his passes (108-of-167), with seven touchdowns and two interceptions in four games this year (311.5 yards per game). Todd Gurley II has taken 65 carries for a team-leading 254 rushing yards (63.5 yards per game) while scoring four touchdowns in four games. Brian Hill has 94 yards on 19 carries (23.5 ypg), with one rushing touchdown over the course of four games. This season, Calvin Ridley has 21 catches (on 40 targets) to lead the team with 349 yards (87.3 per game) with four touchdowns in four games. Julio Jones' statline this year shows 15 catches for 213 yards and zero touchdowns over three games. He averages 71.0 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 20 times. Over four games in 2020, Russell Gage has caught 19 passes on 27 targets for 208 yards and one touchdown, averaging 52.0 receiving yards per game. Grady Jarrett has 2.5 sacks to lead the team, and has also collected 4.0 TFL and 17 tackles over four games. Deion Jones has totaled 30 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 0.5 sacks to lead the team in tackles so far in four games over the course of the 2020 campaign. Blidi Wreh-Wilson has intercepted one pass to lead the team while adding two passes defended four over games.
Panthers Players to WatchThis year, Teddy Bridgewater has racked up 1,148 passing yards (287.0 yards per game) while going 103-for-141 (73% completion percentage) and throwing four touchdowns and three interceptions in four games. He has tacked on 70 rushing yards on 12 carries with one touchdown, averaging 17.5 yards per game. Mike Davis has taken 30 carries for a team-leading 131 rushing yards (32.8 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown in four games. He's also caught 21 passes for 146 yards (36.5 receiving yards per game) with one touchdown through the air. Robby Anderson has been targeted 35 times and has 28 catches to lead the team with 378 yards (94.5 ypg) while scoring one touchdown in four games this season. D.J. Moore's statline this year shows 18 catches for 288 yards and zero touchdowns over the course of four games. He puts up 72.0 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 32 times. Curtis Samuel has caught 14 passes on 18 targets for 147 yards and zero touchdowns, averaging 36.8 yards per game in four contests in 2020. Brian Burns has collected a team-leading 1.0 sack, while adding 3.0 TFL and 13 tackles over four games. In four games over the 2020 campaign, Jeremy Chinn has collected 34 tackles and 1.0 TFL and leads the team in tackles.
Falcons vs Panthers: Last 5 MeetingsAgainst Carolina, Atlanta has tallied five wins over the past five matchups. Atlanta has outpaced Carolina 146 points to 67 in the past five games.
Falcons vs Panthers: Last Five Meetings
When the Falcons have the ball...The Falcons average points scored this season (26.5) and the Panthers points allowed (25.5) are within one point of each other. When they meet or go over their scoring average this season, Atlanta is 0-1. When the Carolina defense allows 25.5 points or fewer this year, the Panthers have accumulated a 2-0 record. The Panthers defense has given up an average of 352.2 yards per game so far this season, 43.8 yards fewer than the 396-yard average from the Falcons offense. On average, the Falcons pick up 5.6 yards per play and the Panthers give up 5.7. Atlanta's record this season when they rack up at least their season average in total yards: 0-1. When the Carolina defense allows less than their season average for total yards this season they are 1-1. The Panthers defense has given up an average of 125.2 yards per game to opposing running games this season. That is 23.4 more yards than the Falcons have gained running the football in 2020 (101.8). When Atlanta rushers gain at least a combined 101.8 yards, they have a record of 0-2 this season. When Carolina holds opposing teams to 125.2 rushing yards or fewer they are 1-1 this year. This season, the Panthers have forced an average of 1.8 turnovers per game compared to the 0.8 times Falcons have turned the football over in each contest. When Atlanta doesn't turn the football over this season they are 0-2. When they force more than 1.8 turnovers in a game, Carolina is 1-1 this season.
When the Panthers have the ball...The Panthers average 24.8 points per game, 9.7 fewer than the Falcons surrender per contest (34.5). Carolina is 1-1 overall a season ago when the team records at least 24.8 points. When Atlanta allows opponents to score no more than 26.5 points, it has a 0-1 record. The Panthers collect 58 fewer yards per game (390.2), than the Falcons allow per outing (448.2). On average, the Panthers gain 6 yards per play, while the Falcons give up 6.5 per play. In contests where the Atlanta offense totaled at least their average yard output last season, they were 2-4. When Atlanta keeps its opponents to 448.2 yards or less, it has a 0-3 record. This season, the Panthers average 116 rushing yards per game, just 9.2 more yards per game than the Falcons allow per contest (106.8). When Carolina rushes for at least 116 yards, it recorded a 1-1 record. This season, Atlanta is 0-2 when holding opponents to no more than 106.8 yards on the ground. This year, the Panthers turn the ball over 1.2 times per game, just per game than the 1.2 the Falcons force on average. Carolina is 2-1 when it turns the ball over 1.2 times or less. This season, Atlanta has a 0-2 record when it forces at least 1.2 turnovers.
Falcons Fantasy LeadersRyan is 13th overall among all players and 10th among all QBs with 76.2 fantasy points (19.1 per game). Ridley's 59.5 total fantasy points (an average of 14.9 per game), are enough to place him 31st overall and second among wide receivers. Gurley is 50th overall and 14th among RBs after scoring 50.3 fantasy points (averaging 12.6 per game) so far this season. Hayden Hurst is the 127th-ranked fantasy player -- and the 14th-ranked tight end -- with 28.2 fantasy points. He averages 7.1 fantasy points per game.
Panthers Fantasy LeadersSo far this season, Ryan is the No. 10 fantasy quarterback and the No. 13 fantasy player overall. He's scored 76.2 points and is averaging 19.1 per game. Anderson has put up 43.8 fantasy points this season (11.0 per game), making him the 14th-ranked wide receiver and the 65th-ranked player overall. Davis is averaging 9.9 fantasy points per game on the way to 39.7 total fantasy points. That makes him the 77th-ranked fantasy player overall and the 25th-ranked running back. Moore is working on the 122nd-ranked fantasy season (41st among wide receivers) with 28.8 fantasy points, averaging 7.2 per game.
Falcons vs Panthers Betting Information
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Falcons Betting InsightsThis year, Atlanta is 1-3 against the spread. This season, the Falcons are only 0-1 ATS when projected as at least 2.5-point favorites. This season, Atlanta's games have gone over the point total in three out of four opportunities.
Falcons Home TrendsAtlanta put together just a 3-4 record against the spread at home last year, and went 3-5 overall in home games. Last season, the Falcons went an even 2-2 ATS in home games as at least a 2.5-point favorite. Atlanta hit the over just two times in eight opportunities at home last year (25%). The average total in Falcons home games last season was 46.1 points, 7.9 fewer than this outing's over/under (54.0).
Panthers Betting InsightsCarolina's games have hit the over in two out of four outings this season (50%). Carolina has put together a 2-2 record against the spread this season.
Panthers Road TrendsCarolina finished an even 4-4 against the spread in away games last year, and went 3-5 overall on the road. Carolina hit the over five times in eight opportunities on the road last year (62.5%). The average total in Panthers away games last season was 52.5 points, 1.5 fewer than this outing's over/under (54.0).
Additional InfoFalcons contests this year have an average total of 61, 7.0 more points than this game's over/under. Panthers contests this season have a 50.2-point average over/under, 3.8 fewer points than this game's point total. Atlanta's games have gone over 54.0 points three times this season 75% of matchups). Carolina has played one game this year that finished with a combined score above 54.0 points (25% of its outings). These two teams score a combined 51.3 points per game, 2.7 fewer points than this matchup's over/under. These two teams give up a combined 60 points per game, 6.0 more points than this matchup's total.
Betting Insights: Last Three Games (Both Teams)The last three Falcons games averaged 60.3 total points, 6.3 more points than this matchup's over/under. Atlanta is just 1-2 against the spread and 0-3 overall in its last three games. In that span, Atlanta has gone over the point total in two of three opportunities (66.7%). The last three Panthers games averaged 45.7 total points, 8.3 fewer points than this matchup's over/under. Carolina has a 2-1 record against the spread over its last three games while also going 2-1 overall. In that span, Carolina has gone over the point total in half of its opportunities (one of three).
Julio Jones: Questionable (Hamstring),
Jaylinn Hawkins: Out (Concussion)
Eli Apple: Out (Hamstring)
Last Updated on 2020-10-11 2:27 a.m. EDT