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NFL Betting Preview: Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions

The Detroit Lions (0-1) are 6.5-point underdogs in a home NFC North matchup against the Green Bay Packers (1-0) on Sunday, September 20, 2020 Lambeau Field. The over/under is set at 46.0.

Game Info

  • Game Day: Sunday, September 20, 2020
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Green Bay, WI
  • Stadium: Lambeau Field
  • Packers Players to Watch

  • Aaron Rodgers collected 4,002 passing yards (250.1 yards per game) with a 62% completion percentage last year (353-of-569), while throwing 26 touchdowns and four interceptions in 16 games. He also tacked on 183 rushing yards on 46 carries with one touchdown, averaging 11.4 yards per game.
  • A season ago, Aaron Jones churned out 1,084 rushing yards (67.8 yards per game) and scored 16 touchdowns in 16 games. He added 49 catches for 474 yards (29.6 receiving yards per game) with three receiving touchdowns.
  • Jamaal Williams totaled 460 rushing yards on 107 carries (32.9 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground over the course of 14 games in 2019. He also caught 39 passes for 253 yards (18.1 per game) and five touchdowns.
  • Davante Adams grabbed 83 passes for 997 yards last season with five touchdowns. He was targeted 127 times and averaged 83.1 yards per game over 12 outings.
  • Allen Lazard's statline last year showed 35 catches for 477 yards and three touchdowns in 16 games. He averaged 29.8 receiving yards per game and was targeted 52 times.
  • Last season, Za'Darius Smith totaled 13.5 sacks, 17.0 TFL and 57 tackles in 16 games.
  • Adrian Amos totaled 81 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and two interceptions in 16 games over his 2019 campaign.
  • Last season, Kevin King grabbed five interceptions and added 66 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and 15 passes defended in 15 games.
  • Lions Players to Watch

  • Matthew Stafford threw for 2,499 yards while completing 64.3% of his passes (187-of-291), with 19 touchdowns and five interceptions in eight games last year (312.4 yards per game).
  • Adrian Peterson ran for 898 yards on 211 attempts (59.9 yards per game) while scoring five touchdowns in 15 games a season ago.
  • Kerryon Johnson totaled 403 rushing yards on 113 carries (50.4 yards per game), with three touchdowns on the ground over the course of eight games in 2019. He also caught 10 passes for 127 (15.9 yards per game) and one touchdown.
  • Last season, Kenny Golladay reeled in 65 passes (on 116 targets) for 1,190 yards (74.4 yards per game) while scoring 11 touchdowns in 16 games.
  • Marvin Jones Jr. also chipped in with 62 catches for 779 yards and nine touchdowns over the course of 13 games last year. He was targeted 91 times and averaged 59.9 receiving yards per game.
  • Trey Flowers had an impressive body of work a year ago, notching seven sacks, 8.0 TFL and 52 tackles over 15 games.
  • Tracy Walker totaled 100 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and one interception in 13 games over the course of his 2019 campaign.
  • Desmond Trufant picked off four passes and tacked on 18 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and seven passes defended in nine games last season.
  • Packers vs Lions: Last 5 Meetings

  • In the past five meetings, Detroit owns a 3-2 record against Green Bay.
  • Detroit has tallied 139 points in the last five matchups while only giving up 80 to Green Bay
  • Packers vs Lions: Last Five Meetings
    Date Home Team Total Yards Result
    12/29/2019 Lions 432-305 GB 23-20 GB
    10/14/2019 Packers 447-299 GB 23-22 GB
    12/30/2018 Packers 402-175 DET 31-0 DET
    10/7/2018 Lions 521-264 GB 31-23 DET
    12/31/2017 Lions 356-256 DET 35-11 DET

    When the Packers have the ball...

  • The Lions defense allowed 26.4 points per game last season, about the same amount as the 23.5 the Packers scored.
  • In games where Green Bay scored at least 23.5 points last season, they put together a record of 6-1.
  • Detroit was 3-6 last season in games where they allowed fewer than 26.4 points.
  • The Packers offense racked up 54.8 fewer yards than the Lions defense surrendered last season (345.5 to 400.3).
  • Green Bay's record last season when they accumulated at least their season average in total yards: 6-1.
  • Detroit was 2-4-1 last season when their defense allowed fewer yards than their season average.
  • The Packers averaged 112.2 yards per game on the ground last season, just 3.7 yards fewer than the Lions allowed to opposing rushing attacks (115.9).
  • Green Bay was 8-1 last season when they ran for at least their season average.
  • Last season, when the Detroit defense allowed opponents to pick up less than 115.9 yards on the ground, they were 1-5-1.
  • Last season, the Lions forced an average of 1.1 turnovers per game compared to the 0.8 times Packers turned the football over in each contest.
  • In games where they didn't turn the football over, Green Bay was 8-1 last season.
  • Detroit's record last season when they forced more than 1.1 turnovers: 2-3
  • When the Lions have the ball...

  • The Lions averaged just 1.7 more points per game last year (21.3) than the Packers surrendered (19.6).
  • Detroit went 2-5-1 in games when it scored at least 21.3 points last season.
  • When Green Bay gave up no more than 23.5 points last season, it compiled a 6-1 record.
  • The Lions racked up 346.8 yards per game in 2019, only 6.7 fewer than the 353.5 the Packers allowed per contest.
  • When the Green Bay offense put together a game with at least their 2019 average in yardage, they were 6-1 last season.
  • In games Green Bay held its opponents to 353.5 or fewer yards last year, it recorded an 8-2 record.
  • Last season, the Lions rushed for 17 fewer yards per game (103.1) than the Packers allowed per contest (120.1).
  • Last year, Detroit had a 0-5-1 record in games the team rushed for at least 103.1 yards.
  • Last season, Green Bay went 7-1 when holding opponents to no more than 120.1 rushing yards.
  • The Lions turned the ball over 1.4 times per game last year, only 0.2 fewer turnovers per game than the 1.6 the Packers forced on average.
  • In 2019, Detroit finished 1-7 when it turned the ball over 1.4 times or less.
  • Green Bay put together a 7-0 record when it forced at least 1.6 turnovers last season.
  • Packers Fantasy Leaders

  • Rodgers was the No. 10 fantasy player overall and the No. 9 fantasy quarterback in 2019 with 278.4 points (averaging 17.4 per game).
  • Aaron Jones racked up total 265.8 fantasy points last season (16.6 per game), which made him the 14th-ranked player overall and the third-ranked running back.
  • Last year, Adams' 129.7 total fantasy points made him the No. 90 fantasy player and No. 29 wide receiver. He averaged 10.8 fantasy points per game.
  • Williams put together the 112th-ranked fantasy season (36th among running backs) in 2019 with 107.3 fantasy points, averaging 7.7 per game.
  • Lions Fantasy Leaders

  • Golladay's productive 2019 fantasy season earned him the No. 43 spot overall and the No. 3 spot among WRs. He totaled 183.0 fantasy points on the year (11.4 per game).
  • Last year, Stafford finished as the 53rd-ranked fantasy player overall and the 29th-ranked quarterback. He put up 166.6 fantasy points, averaging 20.8 per game.
  • Marvin Jones Jr. was the 27th-best wide receiver and the 86th-best fantasy player overall with 131.9 fantasy points last season, averaging 10.1 per game.
  • Peterson's 2019 campaign saw him finish as the No. 89 fantasy player and the No. 28 RB with 130.0 fantasy points (averaging 8.7 per game).
  • Betting Information

    Packers vs Lions Betting Information
    Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
    Packers -6.5 -110 -110 46.0 -110 -110 N/A N/A

    Packers Betting Insights

  • Green Bay had a losing 8-6 record against the spread last year.
  • Last season, the Packers went 2-2 ATS when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites.
  • In the previous season, only five of Green Bay's 14 games with a betting line went above the point total (35.7% of its opportunities).
  • Packers Home Trends

  • Green Bay hit the over just two times in eight opportunities at home last year (25%).
  • Packers home games last season averaged 45.1 total points, 0.9 fewer than this contest's over/under (46.0).
  • Green Bay compiled a 4-3 record against the spread at home last year, and went 7-1 overall in home games.
  • The Packers went 1-1 ATS at home last season when favored by at least 6.5 points.
  • Lions Betting Insights

  • Detroit's games went over the point total nine times in 14 contests last season (64.3%).
  • Detroit had a losing 5-8-1 record against the spread last year.
  • Lions Road Trends

  • Detroit finished just 2-4-1 against the spread in away games last year, and went 1-6-1 overall on the road.
  • Detroit hit the over in just three out of eight home games last year with a point total prop bet (37.5%).
  • Lions away games last season averaged 43 total points, 3.0 fewer than this matchup's over/under (46.0).
  • Additional Info

  • Last season, Green Bay played in four games that ended with a point total higher than 46.0 (25% of matchups).
  • Last year, Detroit played seven games that finished with a combined score higher than 46.0 (43.8% of matchups).
  • The teams combined to score 44.8 points per contest last season, 1.2 fewer points than this game's total.
  • Combined, these teams gave up 46 points per game last year, the same as this matchup's over/under.
  • The average point total in Packers matchups last season was 43.1, 2.9 fewer points than this game's over/under.
  • Lions contests last year had a 47.8-point average over/under, 1.8 more points than this game's total.
  • Injury Report

    Packers: Montravius Adams: Questionable (Toe), Billy Turner: Questionable (Knee), Equanimeous St. Brown: Out (Knee), Lucas Patrick: Questionable (Shoulder), Josiah Deguara: Questionable (Shin), Raven Greene: Questionable (Quadricep), Lane Taylor: Out (Knee), Randy Ramsey: Out (Groin), Kenny Clark: Out (Groin)
    Lions: Joe Dahl: Out (Groin), Darryl Roberts: Questionable (Calf), C.J. Moore: Questionable (Hamstring), Desmond Trufant: Out (Hamstring), Nick Williams: Questionable (Shoulder), Hunter Bryant: Out (Hamstring), Halapoulivaati Vaitai: Questionable (Foot), Kenny Golladay: Out (Hamstring)

    Last Updated on 2020-9-20 2:16 a.m. EDT

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