NFL Betting Preview: Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets
The New York Jets (0-5) are an underdog by 9.5 points as they try to break a five-game skid in a matchup with the Miami Dolphins (2-3) on Sunday, October 18, 2020 at Hard Rock Stadium. The over/under is set at 47.0 for the contest.
Game InfoGame Day: Sunday, October 18, 2020 Game Time: 4:05 PM ET TV Channel: CBS Location: Miami Gardens, FL Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
Dolphins Players to WatchRyan Fitzpatrick has thrown for 1,344 yards while completing 70.6% of his passes (120-of-170), with seven touchdowns and five interceptions in five games this year (268.8 yards per game). He's also carried the ball 24 times for 131 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 26.2 yards per game. Myles Gaskin has taken 64 carries for a team-leading 249 rushing yards (49.8 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown in five games. He's also caught 23 passes for 147 yards (29.4 receiving yards per game). DeVante Parker has reeled in 26 passes to lead the team with 329 yards while scoring two touchdowns. He has been targeted 32 times and averages 65.8 yards per game over five outings. Mike Gesicki's statline this year shows 18 catches for 281 yards and two touchdowns over the course of five games. He averages 56.2 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 28 times. Preston Williams has caught 10 passes on 22 targets for 195 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 39.0 yards per game in five contests in 2020. Emmanuel Ogbah has 3.0 sacks to lead the team, and has also collected 2.0 TFL and 13 tackles over five games. Jerome Baker has collected 39 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two sacks to lead the team in tackles so far in five games over the 2020 campaign. Xavien Howard has a team-high three interceptions and has tacked on 10 tackles and four passes defended five in games this season.
Jets Players to WatchThis year, Sam Darnold has recorded 792 passing yards (198.0 yards per game) while going 82-for-138 (59.4% completion percentage) and throwing three touchdowns and four interceptions in four games. He has added 117 rushing yards on 14 carries with one touchdown, averaging 29.3 yards per game. Frank Gore has taken 64 attempts for a team-leading 204 rushing yards (40.8 yards per game) while scoring zero touchdowns in five games. This season, Jamison Crowder has 22 catches (on 33 targets) to lead the team with 335 yards (111.7 per game) while scoring two touchdowns in three games. Braxton Berrios has also contributed with 10 catches for 123 yards and two touchdowns over the course of five games this year. He has been targeted 17 times and averages 24.6 receiving yards per game. Jeff Smith has totaled 104 yards on 10 passes with zero touchdowns in 2020, averaging 52.0 yards per game on 20 targets in two contests. Marcus Maye has notched a team-leading 2.0 sacks, while adding 3.0 TFL and 33 tackles over five games. Neville Hewitt has collected 37 tackles and 1.0 TFL to lead the team in tackles so far in five games over the 2020 campaign.
Dolphins vs Jets: Last 5 MeetingsIn the past five meetings, Miami owns a 4-1 record against New York. New York has put up 25 fewer points than Miami in their past five games.
Dolphins vs Jets: Last Five Meetings
When the Dolphins have the ball...The Dolphins have averaged 5.0 fewer points per game this season (27.2) than the Jets have allowed (32.2). When they meet or go over their scoring average this season, Miami is 2-1. When the New York defense allows 32.2 points or fewer this year, the Jets have pieced together a 0-3 record. The Dolphins offense has averaged 364.8 total yards per game this season, 29.4 yards fewer than the 394.2 allowed by the Jets defense. The Dolphins average 5.7 yards per play while the Jets allow 6 per play. When the Miami offense puts together a game with at least their 2020 average in yardage, they are 1-2 this season. When New York allows fewer total yards to opposing offenses than their season average they are 0-3 this season. The Jets defense has given up an average of 128.6 yards per game to opposing running games this season. That is 24.4 more yards than the Dolphins have gained running the football in 2020 (104.2). When Miami rushers gain at least a combined 104.2 yards, they have a record of 1-0 this season. When New York holds opposing teams to 128.6 rushing yards or fewer they are 0-4 this year. The Dolphins have turned the ball over 1 time per game this season, while the Jets have averaged 1.4 takeaways per contest. When Miami turns the football over 1 time or fewer this season they are 2-1. New York's record this season when they force more than 1.4 turnovers: 0-2
When the Jets have the ball...The Jets average 15 points per game, 7.6 fewer than the Dolphins give up per outing (22.6). New York is 0-2 in games when it records at least 15 points. When Miami allows opponents to score no more than 27.2 points, it has a 2-1 record. The Jets collect 100.4 fewer yards per game (279.4), than the Dolphins allow per contest (379.8). On average, the Jets gain 4.5 yards per play, while the Dolphins give up 6.2 per play. In contests where the Miami offense totaled at least their average yard output last season, they were 4-3. When Miami keeps its opponents to 379.8 yards or less, it has a 2-1 record. This season, the Jets pile up 103.4 yards per game on the ground, 22.4 fewer per game than the Dolphins allow per contest (125.8). When New York rushes for at least 103.4 yards, it compiled a 0-4 record. When Miami keeps its opponents to 125.8 yards on the ground or less, it is 1-2. This year, the Jets turn the ball over one time per game, only 0.6 fewer turnovers per game than the 1.6 the Dolphins force on average. New York is 0-3 when it turns the ball over 1 time or less. This season, Miami has a 2-0 record when it forces at least 1.6 turnovers.
Dolphins Fantasy LeadersFitzpatrick is the eighth-best fantasy player overall this season and the seventh-best fantasy QB with 102.9 fantasy points (20.6 per game). Gaskin's 45.6 total fantasy points (an average of 9.1 per game), are enough to place him 81st overall and 27th among running backs. So far this season, Parker averages 9.0 fantasy points per game on the way to 44.9 total fantasy points. That makes him the 84th-ranked fantasy player overall and the 22nd-ranked wide receiver. Gesicki is working on the 98th-ranked fantasy season (sixth among tight ends) with 40.1 fantasy points, averaging 8.0 per game.
Jets Fantasy LeadersDarnold is 61st overall among all players and 27th among all QBs with 53.4 fantasy points (13.3 per game). Crowder has recorded 45.5 fantasy points this season (15.2 per game), making him the 21st-ranked wide receiver and the 82nd-ranked player overall. Berrios is 158th overall and 65th among WRs after scoring 25.6 fantasy points (averaging 5.1 per game) so far this season. Gore's fantasy season so far has him ranked 175th overall and 48th among running backs with 21.5 points (4.3 per game).
Dolphins vs Jets Betting Information
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Dolphins Betting InsightsMiami has played in only two games that have gone over the point total (40% of its opportunities). Miami has a 3-2 record against the spread this year.
Dolphins Home TrendsMiami hit the over in just four out of eight home games last year with a point total prop bet (50%). Dolphins home games last season averaged 53.4 total points, 6.4 more than this matchup's over/under (47.0). Miami's record against the spread in home games last year was 4-2, and its record at home overall was 3-5.
Jets Betting InsightsThree New York's five games this year have gone over the point total (60% of its outings). New York has put together a losing 0-5 record against the spread this season.
Jets Road TrendsNew York finished just 3-5 against the spread in away games last year, and went 2-6 overall on the road. New York hit the over five times in eight opportunities on the road last year (62.5%). The average total in Jets away games last season was 41.2 points, 5.8 fewer than this outing's over/under (47.0).
Additional InfoThree of Miami's games have gone over 47.0 points this season (60% of matchups). New York has played one game this year that ended with a combined score over 47.0 points (20% of its outings). The teams combine to score 42.2 points per game, 4.8 fewer points than this matchup's over/under. These teams surrender a combined 54.8 points per game, 7.8 more points than this matchup's over/under. Dolphins matchups this year have an average point total of 49.8, 2.8 more points than this game's over/under. Jets matchups this season have a 47.2-point average over/under, 0.2 more points than this game's total.
Betting Insights: Last Three Games (Both Teams)The last three Dolphins games averaged 52.7 total points, 5.7 more points than this matchup's over/under. Miami is 2-1 against the spread and is also 2-1 overall in its last three games. In that span, Miami has gone over the point total in only one of three opportunities (33.3%). The Jets' past three outings have ended with an average of 49.3 points scored. That's 2.3 more points than this contest's over/under. New York has only a 0-3 record against the spread over its last three games while also going 0-3 overall. In those matchups, New York eclipsed the over/under in just one of three opportunities (33.3%).
Durham Smythe: Questionable (Knee),
Kyle Van Noy: Questionable (Groin),
Shaq Lawson: Questionable (Shoulder)
Sam Darnold: Doubtful (Right Shoulder),
Breshad Perriman: Questionable (Ankle),
Alex Lewis: Questionable (Shoulder),
Mekhi Becton: Doubtful (Shoulder),
Quinnen Williams: Questionable (Hamstring),
John Franklin-Myers: Questionable (Foot),
Bless Austin: Questionable (Calf)
Last Updated on 2020-10-18 2:28 a.m. EDT