NFL Betting Preview: Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets
The Indianapolis Colts (1-1) are double-digit, 11.5-point favorites heading into their matchup on Sunday, September 27, 2020 against the New York Jets (0-2). An over/under of 44.0 is set in the contest.
Game InfoGame Day: Sunday, September 27, 2020 Game Time: 4:05 PM ET TV Channel: CBS Location: Indianapolis, IN Stadium: Lucas Oil Stadium
Colts Players to WatchLast year, Philip Rivers racked up 4,615 passing yards (288.4 yards per game) while going 390-for-591 (66% completion percentage) and throwing 23 touchdowns and 20 interceptions in 16 games. Jordan Wilkins ran for 307 yards on 51 carries (21.9 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns in 14 games a season ago. In 2019, Jacoby Brissett rushed for 228 yards on 56 carries (15.2 ypg), with four rushing touchdowns over the course of 15 games. Zach Pascal reeled in 41 passes for 607 yards last season and scored five touchdowns. He was targeted 72 times and averaged 37.9 yards per game over 16 outings. T.Y. Hilton chipped in with 45 grabs for 501 yards and five touchdowns over the course of 10 games last year. He was targeted 69 times and put up 50.1 receiving yards per game. Jack Doyle caught 43 passes on 72 targets for 448 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 28.0 yards per game in 16 contests in 2019. Last season, Justin Houston totaled 11.0 sacks, 13.0 TFL and 44 tackles in 16 games. Anthony Walker's 2019 campaign saw him total 124 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception over 16 games. Last season, Darius Leonard grabbed five interceptions and added 119 tackles, 7.0 TFL, five sacks, and seven passes defended in 13 games.
Jets Players to WatchSam Darnold threw for 3,024 yards while completing 61.9% of his passes (273-of-441), with 19 touchdowns and 13 interceptions in 13 games last year (232.6 yards per game). Frank Gore rushed for 599 yards on 166 attempts (37.4 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns in 16 games a season ago. In 2019, Kalen Ballage ran for 129 yards on 73 carries (10.8 ypg), with three rushing touchdowns over the course of 12 games. In 16 games last season, Jamison Crowder was targeted 122 times and recorded 78 catches for 834 yards (52.1 ypg) while scoring six touchdowns. Breshad Perriman chipped in with 645 yards on 36 catches with six touchdowns. He was targeted 69 times and averaged 46.1 receiving yards per game over 14 matchups last year. Over 13 games in 2019, Ryan Griffin caught 34 passes on 41 targets for 320 yards and five touchdowns, averaging 24.6 receiving yards per game. Jordan Jenkins put together a strong body of work a year ago, notching eight sacks, 9.0 TFL and 32 tackles over 14 games. Alec Ogletree totaled 79 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in 13 games over his 2019 campaign. Pierre Desir intercepted three passes and tacked on 50 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 11 passes defended in 12 games last season.
Colts vs Jets: Last 5 MeetingsNew York has beaten Indianapolis four times in the past five meetings. New York has outscored Indianapolis 136 points to 106 in the past five contests.
Colts vs Jets: Last Five Meetings
When the Colts have the ball...The Jets defense allowed 22.4 points per game last season, about the same amount as the 22.6 the Colts scored. When they met or exceeded their scoring average last season, Indianapolis was 4-4. When New York allowed opposing offenses to put 22.4 points or fewer on the scoreboard last year, they were 6-2. The Jets defense surrendered an average of 323.1 yards per game last season, just 4.3 yards fewer than the 327.4 the Colts offense averaged. In contests where the Indianapolis offense totaled at least their average yard output last season, they were 4-4. When the New York defense allowed less than their season average for total yards last season they were 5-4. The Jets allowed opposing rushing attacks to average 86.9 yards per game in 2019 compared to the 133.1 yards the Colts offense averaged on the ground per contest. When Indianapolis rushers gained at least a combined 133.1 yards, they had a record of 4-3 last season. When New York held opposing teams to 86.9 rushing yards or fewer they were 5-6 last year. The Jets forced the same amount of turnovers per game (1.3) as the Colts offense committed. In games where they turned the football over 1.3 times or fewer, Indianapolis was 5-4 last season. New York was 4-2 last season when they forced at least 1.3 turnovers in a game.
When the Jets have the ball...The Jets scored 17.2 points per game last year, 6.1 fewer than the Colts surrendered per matchup (23.3). New York finished 5-2 in games when it recorded at least 17.2 points last season. When Indianapolis allowed no more than 22.6 points last season, it put together a 4-4 record. The Jets collected 273 yards per game in 2019, 73.8 fewer yards than the 346.8 the Colts allowed per matchup. In contests where the Indianapolis offense totaled at least their average yard output last season, they were 4-4. In games Indianapolis limited its opponents to 346.8 or fewer yards last year, it put together a 5-3 record. The Jets rushed for 78.6 yards per game last season, 19.3 fewer per game than the 97.9 the Colts allowed per outing. Last year, New York put together a 5-4 record in games the team ran for at least 78.6 yards. When Indianapolis kept its opponents to 97.9 yards on the ground or less last season, it went 4-4. The Jets turned the ball over 1.6 times per game last year, just 0.2 more turnovers per game than the 1.4 the Colts forced on average. New York went 6-5 in 2019 when it turned the ball over 1.6 times or less. When it forced 1.4 or more turnovers last season, Indianapolis had a 2-5 record.
Colts Fantasy LeadersRivers was the No. 23 fantasy player overall and the No. 18 fantasy quarterback in 2019 with 235.5 points (averaging 14.7 per game). Brissett collected 216.7 fantasy points a season ago (14.4 per game), good enough to rank him 31st overall and 23rd among quarterbacks in league-wide fantasy standings. Last year, Pascal's 94.3 total fantasy points made him the No. 127 fantasy player and No. 48 wide receiver. He averaged 5.9 fantasy points per game. Hilton was the 150th-ranked fantasy player -- and the 58th-ranked wide receiver -- in 2019 with 80.1 fantasy points. He averaged 8.0 fantasy points per game.
Jets Fantasy LeadersDarnold's productive 2019 fantasy season earned him the No. 40 spot overall and the No. 27 spot among QBs. He scored 189.2 fantasy points on the year (14.6 per game). Last year, Crowder finished as the 99th-ranked fantasy player overall and the 34th-ranked wide receiver. He put up 119.8 fantasy points, averaging 7.5 per game. Perriman was the No. 43 wide receiver and the No. 118 fantasy player overall with 102.1 total points last season (7.3 per game). Joe Flacco's 2019 fantasy rankings saw him finish as the No. 141 player overall and the No. 34 quarterback after he scored 84.9 fantasy points (10.6 per game).
Colts vs Jets Betting Information
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Colts Betting InsightsLast year, Indianapolis assembled a losing 6-7-1 record against the spread. In 2019, Indianapolis' games went over the point total in eight out of 14 opportunities.
Colts Home TrendsIndianapolis' record against the spread in home games last year was an even 4-4, and its record at home overall was 5-3. Indianapolis hit the over in just five out of eight home games last year with a point total prop bet (62.5%). Last season, Colts home games averaged 44.1 points, 0.1 more than this outing's over/under (44.0).
Jets Betting InsightsHalf of New York's games with a betting line last year -- seven out of 14 opportunities -- hit the point total. New York had a 7-7 record against the spread last year.
Jets Road TrendsNew York finished just 3-5 against the spread in away games last year, and went 2-6 overall on the road. New York hit the over in 62.5% of its away games last year (five of eight opportunities). Jets away games last season averaged 41.2 total points, 2.8 fewer than this contest's over/under (44.0).
Additional InfoLast season, Indianapolis played in nine games that finished with a combined score higher than 44.0 (56.2% of matchups). New York's games went over 44.0 points seven times last year (43.8% of matchups). The two teams combined to score 39.8 points per contest last season, 4.2 fewer points than this game's point total. Combined, these teams gave up 45.7 points per contest last year, 1.7 more points than the total for this game. The Colts had an average total of 45.9 in their outings last season, 1.9 more points than the over/under for this game. The average over/under for Jets matchups last year was 39.7, 4.3 fewer points than this game's total.
Jack Doyle: Questionable (Knee),
Rock Ya-Sin: Out (Non-football Illness),
Matthew Adams: Out (Ankle)
George Fant: Out (Concussion),
Connor McGovern: Questionable (Hamstring),
Nate Hairston: Questionable (Hip),
Quincy Wilson: Out (Concussion),
Jamison Crowder: Out (Hamstring),
Ashtyn Davis: Out (Groin),
Braxton Berrios: Questionable (Hamstring),
Breshad Perriman: Out (Ankle)
Last Updated on 2020-9-27 2:47 a.m. EDT