NFL Betting Preview: Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets
The Buffalo Bills (0-0) host the New York Jets (0-0) on Sunday, September 13, 2020 in matchup between AFC East opponents at Bills Stadium. New York is a 6.5-point underdog. The game has a point total of 39.5.
Game InfoGame Day: Sunday, September 13, 2020 Game Time: 1:00 PM TV Channel: CBS Location: Orchard Park, NY Stadium: Bills Stadium
Bills Players to WatchLast year, Josh Allen collected 3,089 passing yards (193.1 yards per game) while going 271-for-461 (58.8% completion percentage) and throwing 20 touchdowns and nine interceptions in 16 games. He tacked on 510 rushing yards on 109 carries with nine touchdowns, averaging 31.9 yards per game. Devin Singletary took 151 attempts for 775 rushing yards a season ago (64.6 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns in 12 games. He also caught 29 passes for 194 yards (16.2 receiving yards per game) with two touchdowns through the air. Stefon Diggs grabbed 63 passes for 1,129 yards last season and scored six touchdowns. He was targeted 93 times and averaged 75.3 yards per game over 15 outings. John Brown's statline last year showed 72 catches for 1,060 yards and six touchdowns over 15 games. He put up 70.7 receiving yards per game and was targeted 115 times. Cole Beasley caught 67 passes on 106 targets for 778 yards and six touchdowns, averaging 51.9 yards per game in 15 contests in 2019. Last season, Mario Addison racked up 9.5 sacks, 6.0 TFL and 34 tackles in 15 games. In 16 games over his 2019 campaign, Tremaine Edmunds totaled 117 tackles, 9.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception. Last season, Tre'Davious White grabbed six interceptions and added 57 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and 16 passes defended in 15 games.
Jets Players to WatchLast year, Sam Darnold put up 3,024 passing yards (232.6 yards per game) while going 273-for-441 (61.9% completion percentage) and throwing 19 touchdowns and 13 interceptions in 13 games. Le'Veon Bell took 246 attempts for 789 rushing yards a season ago (52.6 yards per game) while scoring three touchdowns in 15 games. He also caught 66 passes for 461 yards (30.7 receiving yards per game) with one touchdown through the air. Last season, Jamison Crowder hauled in 78 passes (on 122 targets) for 834 yards (52.1 yards per game) with six touchdowns in 16 games. Breshad Perriman added 645 yards on 36 grabs with six touchdowns. He was targeted 69 times and put up 46.1 receiving yards per game over 14 matchups last year. Over 15 games in 2019, Bell caught 66 passes on 78 targets for 461 yards and one touchdown, averaging 30.7 receiving yards per game. Last season, Jordan Jenkins put up eight sacks, 9.0 TFL and 32 tackles in 14 games. In 12 games over the course of his 2019 campaign, Neville Hewitt totaled 73 tackles, 6.0 TFL, three sacks, and two interceptions. Pierre Desir intercepted three passes and tacked on 50 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 11 passes defended in 12 games last season.
Bills vs Jets: Last 5 MeetingsNew York has defeated Buffalo three times in the past five matchups. New York has put up 8 fewer points than Buffalo in their past five contests.
Bills vs Jets: Last Five Meetings
Bills Team DataThe Bills averaged points scored last season (19.6) and the Jets points allowed (22.4) were within 2.8 points of each other. When they met or went over their scoring average last season, Buffalo was 7-0. New York was 6-2 last season in games where they allowed fewer than 22.4 points. The total number of yards the Bills offense put up and the Jets defense gave up per game last season are within 7.1 yards of each other (330.2 to 323.1). When the Buffalo offense put together a game with at least their 2019 average in yardage, they were 6-2 last season. New York was 5-4 last season when their defense allowed fewer yards than their season average. The Jets allowed opposing rushing attacks to average 86.9 yards per game in 2019 compared to the 128.4 yards the Bills offense averaged on the ground per contest. Buffalo was 5-1 last season when they ran for at least their season average. When New York limited opposing teams to 86.9 rushing yards or fewer they were 5-6 last year. The Jets forced about the same amount of turnovers per game (1.3) as the Bills offense committed (1.2). In games where they turned the football over 1.2 times or fewer, Buffalo was 7-4 last season. New York's record last season when they forced more than 1.3 turnovers: 4-2
Jets Team DataThe Jets averaged just one more point per game last year (17.2) than the Bills gave up (16.2). New York finished 5-2 overall a season ago when the team scored at least 17.2 points. When Buffalo surrendered no more than 19.6 points last season, it compiled a 7-0 record. The Jets collected 25.2 fewer yards per game in 2019 (273), than the Bills gave up per contest (298.2). Buffalo's record last season when they racked up at least their season average in total yards: 6-2. In games Buffalo held its opponents to 298.2 or fewer yards last year, it had a 5-3 record. Last season, the Jets piled up 78.6 rushing yards per game, 24.5 fewer per game than the Bills allowed per outing (103.1). New York compiled a 5-4 record when the team ran for at least 78.6 yards last year. Last season, Buffalo went 7-2 when holding opponents to no more than 103.1 rushing yards. The Jets turned the ball over 1.6 times per game last year, only 0.2 more turnovers per game than the 1.4 the Bills forced on average. In 2019, New York finished 6-5 when it turned the ball over 1.6 times or less. When it forced 1.4 or more turnovers last season, Buffalo compiled a 5-0 record.
Bills Fantasy LeadersAllen finished seventh overall among all players and sixth among all QBs in 2019 with 288.6 fantasy points (18.0 per game). Diggs racked up total 149.0 fantasy points last season (9.9 per game), which made him the 68th-ranked player overall and the 18th-ranked wide receiver. Last year, Brown averaged 9.9 fantasy points per game on the way to 147.8 total fantasy points. That made him the 70th-ranked fantasy player overall and the 19th-ranked wide receiver. Singletary was the 100th-ranked fantasy player -- and the 31st-ranked running back -- in 2019 with 118.9 fantasy points. He averaged 9.9 fantasy points per game.
Jets Fantasy LeadersDarnold put together a strong 2019 fantasy season, scoring 189.2 total fantasy points (14.6 per game) to finish 40th overall and 27th among quarterbacks in the league-wide fantasy rankings. Bell scored 149.0 fantasy points (9.9 per game) last year to be the 69th-ranked player overall and the 21st-ranked running back. Crowder was the 34th-best wide receiver and the 99th-best fantasy player overall with 119.8 fantasy points last season, averaging 7.5 per game. Perriman's 2019 fantasy rankings saw him finish as the No. 118 player overall and the No. 43 wide receiver after he put up 102.1 fantasy points (7.3 per game).
Bills vs Jets Betting Information
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Bills Betting InsightsBuffalo had a 7-5-2 record against the spread last year. Last season, the Bills covered more games than they didn't when playing as 6.5-point or more favorites, finishing 2-1 ATS in those situations. In the previous season, just four of Buffalo's 14 games with a betting line went above the point total (28.6% of its opportunities).
Bills Home TrendsBuffalo hit the over in just 25% of its home games last year (two of eight opportunities). Last season, Bills home games averaged 34.5 points, 5.0 fewer than this matchup's over/under (39.5). Buffalo compiled just a 3-5 record against the spread at home last year, and went 4-4 overall in home games. The Bills finished 1-1 ATS in home games last season when favored by at least 6.5 points.
Jets Betting InsightsNew York compiled a 7-7 record against the spread last year. Half of New York's games with a betting line last year -- seven out of 14 opportunities -- hit the point total.
Jets Road TrendsNew York finished just 3-5 against the spread in away games last year, and went 2-6 overall on the road. New York hit the over five times in eight opportunities on the road last year (62.5%). Last season, Jets away games averaged 41.2 points, 1.7 more than this outing's over/under (39.5).
Additional InfoThe average point total in Bills matchups last season was 35.8, 3.7 fewer points than this game's over/under. Jets contests last year had a 39.7-point average over/under, 0.2 more points than this game's point total. Last season, Buffalo played in six games that ended with a combined score higher than 39.5 (37.5% of matchups). New York's games went over 39.5 points eight times last year (50% of matchups). The two teams combined to score 36.8 points per game last season, 2.7 fewer points than this matchup's total. Combined, these teams allowed 38.6 points per contest last year, 0.9 fewer points than the total for this game.
Vernon Butler: Questionable (Hamstring),
Josh Norman: Out (Hamstring)
Lamical Perine: Out (Ankle),
Joe Flacco: Out (Neck),
Alex Lewis: Questionable (Shoulder),
Marcus Maye: Questionable (Calf),
Avery Williamson: Out (Hamstring),
Denzel Mims: Out (Hamstrings)