NFL Betting Preview: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Miami Dolphins
The Miami Dolphins (0-2) are 3.0-point underdogs heading into their matchup on Thursday, September 24, 2020 against the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1). The point total is set at 48.0 for the contest.
Game InfoGame Day: Thursday, September 24, 2020 Game Time: 8:20 PM ET TV Channel: NFL Location: Jacksonville, FL Stadium: TIAA Bank Field
Jaguars Players to WatchLast year, Gardner Minshew recorded 3,271 passing yards (233.6 yards per game) while going 285-for-470 (60.6% completion percentage) and throwing 21 touchdowns and six interceptions in 14 games. He added 344 rushing yards on 67 carries, averaging 24.6 yards per game. Chris Thompson totaled 138 rushing yards on 37 carries (12.5 yards per game), with zero touchdowns on the ground over the course of 11 games in 2019. He also caught 42 passes for 378 yards (34.4 per game). Last season, D.J. Chark grabbed 73 passes (on 117 targets) for 1,008 yards (67.2 yards per game) and scored eight touchdowns in 15 games. Chris Conley's statline last year showed 47 grabs for 775 yards and five touchdowns in 16 games. He put up 48.4 receiving yards per game and was targeted 91 times. Over 15 games in 2019, Dede Westbrook caught 66 passes on 101 targets for 660 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 44.0 receiving yards per game. Last season, Josh Allen racked up 10.5 sacks, 11.0 TFL and 45 tackles in 16 games. Joe Schobert's 2019 campaign saw him total 135 tackles, 7.0 TFL, two sacks, and four interceptions over 16 games.
Dolphins Players to WatchRyan Fitzpatrick collected 3,529 passing yards (235.3 yards per game) with a 62% completion percentage last year (311-of-502), while throwing 20 touchdowns and 13 interceptions in 15 games. He also added 243 rushing yards on 55 carries with four touchdowns, averaging 16.2 yards per game. Jordan Howard amassed 525 rushing yards on 119 carries (52.5 yards per game), with six touchdowns on the ground over the course of 10 games in 2019. Last season, DeVante Parker hauled in 72 passes (on 128 targets) for 1,202 yards (75.1 yards per game) while scoring nine touchdowns in 16 games. Mike Gesicki also tacked on 51 catches for 570 yards and five touchdowns over 16 games last year. He was targeted 89 times and averaged 35.6 receiving yards per game. Over eight games in 2019, Preston Williams caught 32 passes on 60 targets for 428 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 53.5 receiving yards per game. Kyle Van Noy had an impressive body of work a year ago, registering 6.5 sacks, 7.0 TFL and 55 tackles over 15 games. In 16 games over his 2019 campaign, Jerome Baker racked up 125 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception. Nik Needham picked off two passes and tacked on 54 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and 11 passes defended in 12 games last season.
Jaguars vs Dolphins: Last 5 MeetingsMiami has beaten Jacksonville three times in the past five meetings. Miami has outscored Jacksonville 92 points to 66 in the past five contests.
Jaguars vs Dolphins: Last Five Meetings
When the Jaguars have the ball...The Dolphins allowed their opponents to score an average of 30.9 points per game last season, 12.1 more than the 18.8 the Jaguars put on the scoreboard in each contest. In games where Jacksonville scored at least 18.8 points last season, they put together a record of 6-3. Miami was 3-4 last season in games where they allowed fewer than 30.9 points. The Jaguars offense racked up 56.1 fewer yards than the Dolphins defense surrendered last season (341.8 to 397.9). Jacksonville's record last season when they racked up at least their season average in total yards: 4-4. When the Miami defense allowed less than their season average for total yards last season they were 4-6. The Jaguars averaged 106.8 yards per game on the ground last season, 28.7 yards fewer than the Dolphins allowed to opposing rushing attacks (135.5). When Jacksonville rushers gained at least a combined 106.8 yards, they had a record of 3-3 last season. When Miami limited opposing teams to 135.5 rushing yards or fewer they were 5-4 last year. The Dolphins forced roughly the same amount of turnovers per game (1) as the Jaguars offense committed (1.2). When Jacksonville turned the football over 1.2 times or fewer last season they were 6-6. Miami was 5-6 last season when they forced at least 1 turnover in a game.
When the Dolphins have the ball...Last year, the Dolphins averaged 5.7 fewer points per game (19.1) than the Jaguars allowed (24.8). Miami finished 4-5 overall a season ago when the team notched at least 19.1 points. Last season, Jacksonville had a 6-3 record in games when it held opponents to 18.8 or fewer points. The Dolphins averaged 310 yards per game in 2019, 65.4 fewer yards than the 375.4 the Jaguars gave up per contest. Jacksonville's record last season when they racked up at least their season average in total yards: 4-4. Jacksonville recorded a 6-3 record last year when holding its opponents to 375.4 yards or less. Last season, the Dolphins racked up 72.2 yards per game on the ground, 67.1 fewer per game than the Jaguars allowed per contest (139.3). Last year, Miami put together a 1-5 record in games the team ran for at least 72.2 yards. Last season, Jacksonville finished 6-5 when holding opponents to no more than 139.3 rushing yards. The Dolphins turned the ball over 1.6 times per game last year, just 0.4 more turnovers per game than the 1.2 the Jaguars forced on average. In games in 2019, Miami had a 4-5 record when it turned the ball over 1.6 times or less. When it forced 1.2 or more turnovers last season, Jacksonville had a 3-3 record.
Jaguars Fantasy LeadersMinshew ended the season 24th overall among all players and 19th among all QBs in 2019 with 229.2 fantasy points (16.4 per game). Chark collected total 152.8 fantasy points last season (10.2 per game), which made him the 65th-ranked player overall and the 16th-ranked wide receiver. Last year, Conley averaged 6.8 fantasy points per game on the way to 109.5 total fantasy points. That made him the 110th-ranked fantasy player overall and the 39th-ranked wide receiver. Westbrook was the 130th-ranked fantasy player -- and the 50th-ranked wide receiver -- in 2019 with 90.7 fantasy points. He averaged 6.0 fantasy points per game.
Dolphins Fantasy LeadersFitzpatrick's productive 2019 fantasy season earned him the No. 21 spot overall and the No. 17 spot among QBs. He racked up 241.5 fantasy points on the year (16.1 per game). Parker put up 174.2 fantasy points (10.9 per game) last year to be the 47th-ranked player overall and the sixth-ranked wide receiver. Howard was the No. 38 running back and the No. 119 fantasy player overall with 101.4 total points last season (10.1 per game). Gesicki's 2019 fantasy rankings saw him finish as the No. 138 player overall and the No. 11 tight end after he scored 85.0 fantasy points (5.3 per game).
Jaguars vs Dolphins Betting Information
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Jaguars Betting InsightsIn 2019, most of Jacksonville's games with a betting line -- six out of 14 opportunities -- surpassed the point total (42.9%). Last year, Jacksonville went 6-8 against the spread. Last season, the Jaguars went 2-1 ATS when favored by 3.0 points or more.
Jaguars Home TrendsJacksonville put together just a 3-4 record against the spread at home last year, and went 3-5 overall in home games. The Jaguars finished 1-1 ATS at home last season when favored by at least 3.0 points. Jacksonville hit the over in just 37.5% of its home games last year (three of eight opportunities). Last season, Jaguars home games averaged 42.1 points, 5.9 fewer than this contest's over/under (48.0).
Dolphins Betting InsightsMiami's games went over the point total eight times in 14 contests last season (57.1%). Miami went 9-5 against the spread last year.
Dolphins Road TrendsMiami finished 5-3 against the spread in away games last year, and went 2-6 overall on the road. Miami hit the over in just four out of eight home games last year with a point total prop bet. The average total in Dolphins away games last season was 46.6 points, 1.4 fewer than this matchup's over/under (48.0).
Additional InfoFive of Jacksonville's games went over 48.0 points last season (31.2% of matchups). Miami's games went over 48.0 points seven times last year (43.8% of matchups). The two teams combined to score 37.9 points per contest last season, 10.1 fewer points than this game's total. Combined, these teams surrendered 55.7 points per contest last year, 7.7 more points than the total for this game. The average point total in Jaguars outings last season was 43.6, 4.4 fewer points than this game's over/under. Dolphins contests last year had a 50-point average over/under, 2.0 more points than this game's total.
Brandon Linder: Out (Knee),
D.J. Chark Jr.: Questionable (Chest),
Josh Lambo: Out (Left Hip)
Jason Strowbridge: Out (Not Injury Related),
Clayton Fejedelem: Doubtful (Pectoral),
Byron Jones: Out (Groin)
Last Updated on 2020-9-24 2:35 a.m. EDT