NFL Betting Preview: Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
The Indianapolis Colts (0-0) are 8.0-point favorites when they visit the Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0) in an AFC South matchup on Sunday, September 13, 2020 at TIAA Bank Field. The over/under is set at 45.0.
Game InfoGame Day: Sunday, September 13, 2020 Game Time: 1:00 PM TV Channel: CBS Location: Jacksonville, FL Stadium: TIAA Bank Field
Colts Players to WatchLast year, Philip Rivers put up 4,615 passing yards (288.4 yards per game) while going 390-for-591 (66% completion percentage) and throwing 23 touchdowns and 20 interceptions in 16 games. Marlon Mack took 247 carries for 1,091 rushing yards a season ago (77.9 yards per game) while scoring eight touchdowns in 14 games. In 2019, Jordan Wilkins ran for 307 yards on 51 carries (21.9 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns over the course of 14 games. Last season, Zach Pascal grabbed 41 passes (on 72 targets) for 607 yards (37.9 yards per game) and scored five touchdowns in 16 games. T.Y. Hilton's statline last year showed 45 grabs for 501 yards and five touchdowns over 10 games. He put up 50.1 receiving yards per game and was targeted 69 times. Jack Doyle caught 43 passes on 72 targets for 448 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 28.0 yards per game in 16 contests in 2019. Last season, Justin Houston collected 11.0 sacks, 13.0 TFL and 44 tackles in 16 games. In 16 games over his 2019 campaign, Anthony Walker racked up 124 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception. Last season, Darius Leonard grabbed five interceptions and added 119 tackles, 7.0 TFL, five sacks, and seven passes defended in 13 games.
Jaguars Players to WatchGardner Minshew threw for 3,271 yards while completing 60.6% of his passes (285-of-470), with 21 touchdowns and six interceptions in 14 games last year (233.6 yards per game). He also carried the ball 67 times for 344 yards, averaging 24.6 yards per game. Minshew rushed for 344 yards on 67 carries (24.6 yards per game) while scoring zero touchdowns in 14 games a season ago. In 2019, Chris Thompson rushed for 138 yards on 37 carries (12.5 ypg), with zero rushing touchdowns over the course of 11 games. He also caught 42 passes for 378 (34.4 ypg). D.J. Chark grabbed 73 passes for 1,008 yards last season and scored eight touchdowns. He was targeted 117 times and averaged 67.2 yards per game over 15 outings. Chris Conley also contributed with 775 yards on 47 catches with five touchdowns. He was targeted 91 times and averaged 48.4 receiving yards per game in 16 matchups last year. Over 15 games in 2019, Dede Westbrook caught 66 passes on 101 targets for 660 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 44.0 receiving yards per game. Josh Allen had an impressive body of work a year ago, registering 10.5 sacks, 11.0 TFL and 45 tackles over 16 games. In 16 games over his 2019 campaign, Joe Schobert racked up 135 tackles, 7.0 TFL, two sacks, and four interceptions.
Colts vs Jaguars: Last 5 MeetingsJacksonville has won against Indianapolis three times in the past five contests. Jacksonville has scored 113 points in the last five matchups while only giving up 92 to Indianapolis
Colts vs Jaguars: Last Five Meetings
Colts Team DataThe Colts averaged points scored last season (22.6) and the Jaguars points allowed (24.8) were within 2.2 points of each other. In games where Indianapolis scored at least 22.6 points last season, they put together a record of 4-4. Jacksonville was 6-3 last season in games where they allowed fewer than 24.8 points. The Colts offense averaged 327.4 total yards per game last season, 48 yards fewer than the 375.4 allowed by the Jaguars defense. Indianapolis' record last season when they racked up at least their season average in total yards: 4-4. When the Jacksonville defense allowed less than their season average for total yards last season they were 6-3. The Colts averaged 133.1 yards per game on the ground last season, just 6.2 yards fewer than the Jaguars allowed to opposing rushing attacks (139.3). Indianapolis was 4-3 last season when they ran for at least their season average. When Jacksonville limited opposing teams to 139.3 rushing yards or fewer they were 6-5 last year. The Jaguars forced about the same amount of turnovers per game (1.2) as the Colts offense committed (1.3). When Indianapolis turned the football over 1.3 times or fewer last season they were 5-4. Jacksonville was 3-3 last season when they forced at least 1.2 turnovers in a game.
Jaguars Team DataThe Jaguars scored 4.5 fewer points per game last year (18.8) than the Colts surrendered (23.3). Jacksonville finished 6-3 overall a season ago when the team scored at least 18.8 points. When Indianapolis gave up no more than 22.6 points last season, it put together a 4-4 record. The Jaguars collected 341.8 yards per game in 2019, only five fewer than the 346.8 the Colts gave up per matchup. When the Indianapolis offense put together a game with at least their 2019 average in yardage, they were 4-4 last season. Indianapolis recorded a 5-3 record last year when holding its opponents to 346.8 yards or less. Last season, the Jaguars piled up 106.8 yards per game on the ground, just 8.9 more yards per game than the Colts allowed per outing (97.9). Jacksonville recorded a 3-3 record when the team ran for at least 106.8 yards last year. Last season, Indianapolis finished 4-4 when holding opponents to no more than 97.9 rushing yards. The Jaguars turned the ball over 1.2 times per game last year, just 0.2 fewer turnovers per game than the 1.4 the Colts forced on average. In games in 2019, Jacksonville had a 6-6 record when it turned the ball over 1.2 times or less. When it forced 1.4 or more turnovers last season, Indianapolis compiled a 2-5 record.
Colts Fantasy LeadersRivers was the No. 23 fantasy player overall and the No. 18 fantasy quarterback in 2019 with 235.5 points (averaging 14.7 per game). Jacoby Brissett racked up total 216.7 fantasy points last season (14.4 per game), which made him the 31st-ranked player overall and the 23rd-ranked quarterback. Last year, Mack averaged 12.0 fantasy points per game on the way to 167.3 total fantasy points. That made him the 52nd-ranked fantasy player overall and the 17th-ranked running back. Pascal was the 127th-ranked fantasy player -- and the 48th-ranked wide receiver -- in 2019 with 94.3 fantasy points. He averaged 5.9 fantasy points per game.
Jaguars Fantasy LeadersMinshew put together a strong 2019 fantasy season, scoring 229.2 total fantasy points (16.4 per game) to finish 24th overall and 19th among quarterbacks in the league-wide fantasy rankings. Chark put up 152.8 fantasy points (10.2 per game) last year to be the 65th-ranked player overall and the 16th-ranked wide receiver. Conley was the No. 39 wide receiver and the No. 110 fantasy player overall with 109.5 total points last season (6.8 per game). Westbrook's 2019 fantasy rankings saw him finish as the No. 130 player overall and the No. 50 wide receiver after he put up 90.7 fantasy points (6.0 per game).
Colts vs Jaguars Betting Information
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Colts Betting InsightsLast year, Indianapolis put together a 6-7-1 record against the spread. Last season, the Colts went only 0-1 ATS when playing as at least 8.0-point favorites. In 2019, the majority of Indianapolis' games with a betting line -- six out of 14 opportunities -- surpassed the point total (42.9%).
Colts Road TrendsIndianapolis went over the point total in half of its away games last year. Last season, Colts away games averaged 47.6 points, 2.6 more than this outing's over/under (45.0). Indianapolis finished just 2-3-1 against the spread in away games last year, and went 2-6 overall on the road.
Jaguars Betting InsightsJacksonville had a losing 6-8 record against the spread last year. Jacksonville's games went over the point total seven times in 14 contests last season (50%).
Jaguars Home TrendsJacksonville hit the over just three times in eight opportunities at home last year (37.5%). Last season, Jaguars home games averaged 42.1 points, 2.9 fewer than this matchup's over/under (45.0). Jacksonville's record against the spread in home games last year was just 3-4, and its record at home overall was 3-5.
Additional InfoLast season, Indianapolis played in eight games that finished with a point total higher than 45.0 (50% of matchups). Jacksonville's games went over 45.0 points six times last year (37.5% of matchups). The two teams combined to score 41.4 points per game last season, 3.6 fewer points than this matchup's total. These teams surrendered a combined 48.1 points per game last year, 3.1 more points than the over/under for this matchup. The Colts had an average total of 45.9 in their matchups last season, 0.9 more points than the over/under for this game. Jaguars outings last year had a 43.6-point average over/under, 1.4 fewer points than this game's point total.
Matthew Adams: Questionable (Ankle),
Julian Blackmon: Out (Knee)
Tyler Davis: Out (Knee)