NFL Betting Preview: Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The Baltimore Ravens (2-0) are 3.5-point favorites heading into their matchup on Monday, September 28, 2020 against the Kansas City Chiefs (2-0). The over/under is set at 54.0 for the contest.
Game InfoGame Day: Monday, September 28, 2020 Game Time: 8:15 PM ET TV Channel: ESPN Location: Baltimore, MD Stadium: M&T Bank Stadium
Ravens Players to WatchLamar Jackson threw for 3,127 yards while completing 66.1% of his passes (265-of-401), with 36 touchdowns and six interceptions in 15 games last year (208.5 yards per game). He also carried the ball 175 times for 1,213 yards and seven touchdowns, averaging 80.9 yards per game. Mark Ingram II amassed 1,018 rushing yards on 202 carries (67.9 yards per game), with 10 touchdowns on the ground over the course of 15 games in 2019. He also caught 26 passes for 247 yards (16.5 per game) and five touchdowns. Last season, Mark Andrews grabbed 64 passes (on 98 targets) for 852 yards (56.8 yards per game) while scoring 10 touchdowns in 15 games. Marquise Brown tacked on 584 yards on 46 catches with seven touchdowns. He was targeted 71 times and averaged 41.7 receiving yards per game in 14 matchups last year. Willie Snead IV caught 31 passes on 45 targets for 339 yards and five touchdowns, averaging 21.2 yards per game in 16 contests in 2019. Last season, Matthew Judon collected 9.5 sacks, 13.0 TFL and 52 tackles in 16 games. Chuck Clark collected 67 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in 16 games over his 2019 campaign. Last season, Marcus Peters hauled in five interceptions and added 53 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 14 passes defended in 16 games.
Chiefs Players to WatchLast year, Patrick Mahomes II racked up 4,031 passing yards (287.9 yards per game) while going 319-for-484 (65.9% completion percentage) and throwing 26 touchdowns and five interceptions in 14 games. He tacked on 218 rushing yards on 43 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 15.6 yards per game. In 2019, Darrel Williams ran for 141 yards on 41 carries (11.8 ypg), with three rushing touchdowns over the course of 12 games. In 16 games last season, Travis Kelce was targeted 136 times and amassed 97 catches for 1,229 yards (76.8 ypg) with five touchdowns. Tyreek Hill also tacked on 860 yards on 58 grabs with seven touchdowns. He was targeted 88 times and put up 71.7 receiving yards per game in 12 matchups last year. Over 14 games in 2019, Sammy Watkins caught 52 passes on 90 targets for 673 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 48.1 receiving yards per game. Chris Jones had an impressive body of work a year ago, notching nine sacks, 8.0 TFL and 36 tackles over 13 games. In 15 games over his 2019 campaign, Anthony Hitchens totaled 89 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two sacks.
Ravens vs Chiefs: Last 5 MeetingsKansas City has defeated Baltimore three times in the past five matchups. Kansas City has outpaced Baltimore 124 points to 113 in the past five contests.
Ravens vs Chiefs: Last Five Meetings
When the Ravens have the ball...The average points per game output for the Ravens last season, 33.2, was 14.0 greater than the 19.2 the Chiefs gave up in each contest. In games where Baltimore scored at least 33.2 points last season, they put together a record of 6-0. Kansas City was 7-1 last season in games where they allowed fewer than 19.2 points. The Ravens held a 58-yard advantage in total yards gained versus total yards allowed compared to the Chiefs defense last season (407.6 to 349.6). When the Baltimore offense put together a game with at least their 2019 average in yardage, they were 7-1 last season. Kansas City was 7-1 last season when their defense allowed fewer yards than their season average. The Ravens averaged 206.4 yards per game on the ground last season, 78.2 yards more than the Chiefs allowed to opposing rushing attacks (128.2). When Baltimore rushers gained at least a combined 206.4 yards, they had a record of 8-0 last season. Last season, when the Kansas City defense allowed opponents to pick up less than 128.2 yards on the ground, they were 9-1. The Chiefs forced roughly the same amount of turnovers per game (1.4) as the Ravens offense committed (0.9). Baltimore was 6-1 last season when they didn't turn the football over. Kansas City was 6-1 last season when they forced at least 1.4 turnovers in a game.
When the Chiefs have the ball...The Chiefs scored 28.2 points per game last year, 10.6 more than the Ravens allowed per outing (17.6). Kansas City finished 6-1 in games when it put up at least 28.2 points last season. Last season, Baltimore had a 6-0 record in games when it held opponents to 33.2 or fewer points. The Chiefs averaged 379 yards per game in 2019, 78.4 more yards than the 300.6 the Ravens gave up per matchup. In contests where the Baltimore offense totaled at least their average yard output last season, they were 7-1. In games Baltimore limited its opponents to 300.6 or fewer yards last year, it had an 8-0 record. Last season, the Chiefs averaged 98.1 rushing yards per game, just 5.2 more yards per game than the Ravens allowed per contest (92.9). Kansas City had a 7-0 record when the team rushed for at least 98.1 yards last year. When Baltimore held its opponents to 92.9 rushing yards or less last season, it finished 8-0. The Chiefs turned the ball over 0.9 times per game last year, only 0.7 fewer turnovers per game than the 1.6 the Ravens forced on average. Kansas City went 5-0 in 2019 when it turned the ball over 0.9 times or less. When it forced 1.6 or more turnovers last season, Baltimore had a 9-0 record.
Ravens Fantasy LeadersJackson ended the season as the top fantasy player overall in 2019 with 416.4 fantasy points (27.8 per game). Ingram collected total 216.5 fantasy points last season (14.4 per game), which made him the 32nd-ranked player overall and the eighth-ranked running back. Last year, Andrews averaged 9.5 fantasy points per game on the way to 143.2 total fantasy points. That made him the 74th-ranked fantasy player overall and the second-ranked tight end. Brown put together the 122nd-ranked fantasy season (45th among wide receivers) in 2019 with 100.4 fantasy points, averaging 7.2 per game.
Chiefs Fantasy LeadersMahomes' productive 2019 fantasy season earned him the No. 8 spot overall and the No. 7 spot among QBs. He racked up 287.0 fantasy points on the year (20.5 per game). Last year, Kelce finished as the 60th-ranked fantasy player overall and the top-ranked tight end. He put up 157.3 fantasy points, averaging 9.8 per game. Hill was the No. 28 wide receiver and the No. 88 fantasy player overall with 130.3 total points last season (10.9 per game). Mecole Hardman scored 93.5 fantasy points in the 2019 campaign (5.8 per game). He was the 49th-ranked wide receiver and the 128th-ranked player overall.
Ravens vs Chiefs Betting Information
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Ravens Betting InsightsBaltimore had a 10-3-1 record against the spread last year. Last season, the Ravens went 6-3 ATS when favored by 3.5 points or more. In 2019, more than half of Baltimore's games with a betting line -- eight out of 14 opportunities -- went over the point total (57.1%).
Ravens Home TrendsBaltimore's record against the spread in home games last year was 4-3, and its record at home overall was 7-1. The Ravens went just 2-3 ATS at home last season when favored by at least 3.5 points. Baltimore hit the over in just four out of eight home games last year with a point total prop bet (50%). Ravens home games last season averaged 48.5 total points, 5.5 fewer than this contest's over/under (54.0).
Chiefs Betting InsightsKansas City went 8-6 against the spread last year. The Chiefs had a split ATS record of 5-5 last season when an underdogs by at least 3.5 points. Kansas City played in seven games last year that went over the point total (50% of its opportunities).
Chiefs Road TrendsKansas City finished with a 4-2 record against the spread on the road last year, and went 7-1 overall in away games. The Chiefs went 2-2 ATS in away games last season when playing as at least a 3.5-point underdog. Kansas City hit the over in just 25% of its away games last year (two of eight opportunities). Chiefs away games last season averaged 47.5 total points, 6.5 fewer than this matchup's over/under (54.0).
Additional InfoLast season, Baltimore played in five games that finished with a combined score higher than 54.0 (31.2% of matchups). Kansas City's games went over 54.0 points five times last year (31.2% of matchups). The two teams combined to score 61.4 points per game last season, 7.4 more points than this matchup's total. These teams surrendered a combined 36.8 points per game last year, 17.2 fewer points than the over/under for this contest. The Ravens had an average point total of 50.8 in their contests last season, 3.2 fewer points than this game's over/under. The average over/under for Chiefs outings last year was 47.4, 6.6 fewer points than this game's point total.
Tavon Young: Out (Knee),
Anthony Levine Sr.: Questionable (Abdomen),
Justin Madubuike: Questionable (Knee),
Chris Moore: Questionable (Finger),
D.J. Fluker: Questionable (Shoulder)
Sammy Watkins: Questionable (Concussion),
Alex Okafor: Out (Hamstring),
Charvarius Ward: Questionable (Hand),
Dorian O'Daniel: Questionable (Knee)
Last Updated on 2020-9-28 2:50 a.m. EDT