NFL Betting Preview: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers
The Los Angeles Chargers (1-0) are 5.5-point underdogs in a road AFC West matchup with the Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) on Sunday, September 20, 2020 SoFi Stadium. The over/under is set at 51.5 for the game.
Game InfoGame Day: Sunday, September 20, 2020 Game Time: 4:25 PM ET TV Channel: CBS Location: Inglewood, CA Stadium: SoFi Stadium
Chiefs Players to WatchLast year, Patrick Mahomes II totaled 4,031 passing yards (287.9 yards per game) while going 319-for-484 (65.9% completion percentage) and throwing 26 touchdowns and five interceptions in 14 games. He added 218 rushing yards on 43 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 15.6 yards per game. In 2019, Darrel Williams ran for 141 yards on 41 carries (11.8 ypg), with three rushing touchdowns over the course of 12 games. Travis Kelce hauled in 97 passes for 1,229 yards last season while scoring five touchdowns. He was targeted 136 times and averaged 76.8 yards per game over 16 outings. Tyreek Hill tacked on 860 yards on 58 catches with seven touchdowns. He was targeted 88 times and put up 71.7 receiving yards per game over 12 matchups last year. Over 14 games in 2019, Sammy Watkins caught 52 passes on 90 targets for 673 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 48.1 receiving yards per game. Last season, Chris Jones put up nine sacks, 8.0 TFL and 36 tackles in 13 games. In 15 games over the course of his 2019 campaign, Anthony Hitchens racked up 89 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two sacks. Tyrann Mathieu picked off four passes while adding 74 tackles, 3.0 TFL, two sacks, and 13 passes defended over 16 games a season ago.
Chargers Players to WatchTyrod Taylor recorded 33 passing yards (4.1 yards per game) with a 66.7% completion percentage last year (4-of-6), while throwing one touchdown and zero interceptions in eight games. In 2019, Justin Jackson ran for 200 yards on 29 carries (28.6 ypg), with zero rushing touchdowns over the course of seven games. Last season, Keenan Allen grabbed 104 passes (on 150 targets) for 1,199 yards (74.9 yards per game) with six touchdowns in 16 games. Mike Williams chipped in with 1,001 yards on 49 grabs with two touchdowns. He was targeted 90 times and averaged 66.7 receiving yards per game over 15 matchups last year. Austin Ekeler caught 92 passes on 108 targets for 993 yards and eight touchdowns, averaging 62.1 yards per game in 16 contests in 2019. Joey Bosa had a strong body of work a year ago, registering 11.5 sacks, 17.0 TFL and 66 tackles over 16 games. In 16 games over the course of his 2019 campaign, Nick Vigil totaled 108 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception. Rayshawn Jenkins intercepted three passes and tacked on 52 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and four passes defended in 16 games last season.
Chiefs vs Chargers: Last 5 MeetingsAgainst Los Angeles, Kansas City has totaled four wins over the past five meetings. Los Angeles has put up 43 fewer points than Kansas City in their past five contests.
Chiefs vs Chargers: Last Five Meetings
When the Chiefs have the ball...The Chiefs put an average of 28.2 points per game on the scoreboard last season, 6.6 more than the 21.6 the Chargers surrendered in each contest. In games where Kansas City scored at least 28.2 points last season, they put together a record of 6-1. When the Los Angeles defense allowed 21.6 points or fewer last year, the Chargers put together a 4-2 record. The Chiefs held a 65.9-yard advantage in total yards gained versus total yards allowed compared to the Chargers defense last season (379 to 313.1). When the Kansas City offense put together a game with at least their 2019 average in yardage, they were 5-1 last season. When the Los Angeles defense allowed less than their season average for total yards last season they were 3-4. The Chiefs averaged 98.1 yards per game on the ground last season, 14.7 yards fewer than the Chargers allowed to opposing rushing attacks (112.8). Kansas City was 7-0 last season when they ran for at least their season average. Last season, when the Los Angeles defense allowed opponents to pick up less than 112.8 yards on the ground, they were 3-6. Last season, the Chargers forced an average of 0.9 turnovers per game compared to the 0.9 times Chiefs turned the football over in each contest. In games where they didn't turn the football over, Kansas City was 5-0 last season. Los Angeles was 2-9 last season when they forced at least 0.9 turnovers in a game.
When the Chargers have the ball...The Chargers scored just 1.9 more points per game last year (21.1) than the Chiefs allowed (19.2). Los Angeles went 4-1 in games when it recorded at least 21.1 points last season. Last season, Kansas City had a 6-1 record in games when it held opponents to 28.2 or fewer points. In 2019, the Chargers averaged only 17.8 more yards per game (367.4), than the Chiefs gave up per matchup (349.6). Kansas City's record last season when they racked up at least their season average in total yards: 5-1. Kansas City recorded a 7-1 record last year when holding its opponents to 349.6 yards or less. Last season, the Chargers ran for 37.4 fewer yards per game (90.8) than the Chiefs allowed per contest (128.2). Last year, Los Angeles had a 3-5 record in games the team ran for at least 90.8 yards. When Kansas City limited its opponents to 128.2 rushing yards or less last season, it went 9-1. The Chargers turned the ball over 1.9 times per game last year, only 0.5 more turnovers per game than the 1.4 the Chiefs forced on average. In 2019, Los Angeles went 4-3 when it turned the ball over 1.9 times or less. Kansas City compiled a 6-1 record when it forced at least 1.4 turnovers last season.
Chiefs Fantasy LeadersMahomes ended the season eighth overall among all players and seventh among all QBs in 2019 with 287.0 fantasy points (20.5 per game). Kelce put up total 157.3 fantasy points last season (9.8 per game), which made him the 60th-ranked player overall and the top-ranked tight end. Last year, Hill averaged 10.9 fantasy points per game on the way to 130.3 total fantasy points. That made him the 88th-ranked fantasy player overall and the 28th-ranked wide receiver. Mecole Hardman was the 128th-ranked fantasy player -- and the 49th-ranked wide receiver -- in 2019 with 93.5 fantasy points. He averaged 5.8 fantasy points per game.
Chargers Fantasy LeadersEkeler put together a solid 2019 fantasy season, scoring 217.0 total fantasy points (13.6 per game) to finish 30th overall and seventh among running backs in the league-wide fantasy rankings. Last year, Allen finished as the 59th-ranked fantasy player overall and the 11th-ranked wide receiver. He put up 157.5 fantasy points, averaging 9.8 per game. Mike Williams was the 37th-best wide receiver and the 105th-best fantasy player overall with 112.3 fantasy points last season, averaging 7.5 per game. Hunter Henry's 2019 fantasy rankings saw him finish as the No. 126 player overall and the No. 8 tight end after he scored 95.2 fantasy points (7.9 per game).
Chiefs vs Chargers Betting Information
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Chiefs Betting InsightsLast year, Kansas City's games went below the point total in seven out of 14 opportunities (50%). Kansas City had a losing 8-6 record against the spread last year. Last season, the Chiefs covered more games than they didn't when playing as 5.5-point or more favorites, finishing 5-4 ATS in those situations.
Chiefs Road TrendsKansas City finished 4-2 against the spread in away games last year, and went 7-1 overall on the road. The Chiefs had an even 2-2 ATS record when favored by at least 5.5 points on the road last season. Kansas City hit the over in just 25% of its away games last year (two of eight opportunities). The average total in Chiefs away games last season was 47.5 points, 4.0 fewer than this contest's over/under (51.5).
Chargers Betting InsightsLos Angeles had a losing 4-9-1 record against the spread last year. The Chargers went just 1-3 ATS last season when an underdog by at least 5.5 points. Los Angeles' games went under 51.5 points in eight out of 14 opportunities last season (57.1%).
Chargers Home TrendsLos Angeles hit the over just one time in eight opportunities at home last year (12.5%). Chargers home games last season averaged 42.9 total points, 8.6 fewer than this contest's over/under (51.5). Los Angeles finished with just a 1-6 record against the spread at home last year, and went 2-6 overall in home games. The Chargers put together just a 0-3 ATS record when playing as at least a 5.5-point underdog in home games last season.
Additional InfoThe average point total in Chiefs matchups last season was 47.4, 4.1 fewer points than this game's over/under. Chargers contests last year had a 42.6-point average over/under, 8.9 fewer points than this game's total. Six of Kansas City's games went over 51.5 points last season (37.5% of matchups). Los Angeles' games went over 51.5 points two times last year (12.5% of matchups). The two teams combined to score 49.3 points per contest last season, 2.2 fewer points than this game's total. Combined, these teams gave up 40.8 points per contest last year, 10.7 fewer points than the over/under for this game.
Khalen Saunders: Out (Elbow),
Alex Okafor: Out (Hamstring),
Charvarius Ward: Out (Hand)
Justin Jackson: Doubtful (Quadricep)
Last Updated on 2020-9-20 2:18 a.m. EDT