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NFL Betting Preview: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Los Angeles Chargers

The Los Angeles Chargers (1-2) are 4.5-point underdogs heading into their matchup on Sunday, October 4, 2020 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1). The point total is set at 45.5 for the contest.

Game Info

  • Game Day: Sunday, October 4, 2020
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Tampa, FL
  • Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
  • Buccaneers Players to Watch

  • Tom Brady leads the team with 753 passing yards (251.0 yards per game) and has a 65.1% completion percentage this year (71-of-109) while throwing six touchdowns and three interceptions in three games.
  • Ronald Jones II has rushed for a team-leading 142 yards on 37 attempts (47.3 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown in three games.
  • In three games in 2020, Leonard Fournette has rushed for 123 yards on 24 carries (41.0 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Scott Miller has reeled in 10 passes to lead the team with 167 yards while scoring zero touchdowns. He has been targeted 14 times and averages 55.7 yards per game over three outings.
  • Chris Godwin's statline this year shows 11 grabs for 143 yards and one touchdown over the course of two games. He averages 71.5 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 13 times.
  • Over three games in 2020, Mike Evans has caught 10 passes on 18 targets for 108 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 36.0 receiving yards per game.
  • Jason Pierre-Paul has 3.0 sacks to lead the team, and has also collected 2.0 TFL and nine tackles over three games.
  • Devin White has racked up 33 tackles and 2.0 TFL to lead the team in tackles so far in three games over the 2020 campaign.
  • Mike Edwards has picked off one pass to lead the team while adding four tackles and one pass defended three over games.
  • Chargers Players to Watch

  • This year, Justin Herbert has put up 641 passing yards (320.5 yards per game) while going 57-for-82 (69.5% completion percentage) and throwing two touchdowns and two interceptions in two games. He has added a 33 rushing yards on seven carries with one touchdown, averaging 16.5 yards per game.
  • Austin Ekeler has picked up a team-high 236 rushing yards (78.7 yards per game) and scored one touchdown in three games. He has added 16 catches for 142 yards (47.3 receiving yards per game).
  • Joshua Kelley leads the team with 167 rushing yards on 43 carries (55.7 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground over the course of three games in 2020. He also has four catches for 58 yards (19.3 per game).
  • This season, Keenan Allen has 24 catches (on 37 targets) to lead the team with 265 yards (88.3 per game) with one touchdown in three games.
  • Hunter Henry's statline this year shows 16 catches for 206 yards and zero touchdowns over the course of three games. He averages 68.7 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 23 times.
  • Joey Bosa has 3.0 sacks to lead the team, and has also added 5.0 TFL and 11 tackles over three games.
  • Kenneth Murray has totaled 23 tackles and 1.0 TFL to lead the team in tackles so far in three games over the course of the 2020 campaign.
  • This season, Scott Quessenberry leads the team with zero interceptions and has added 23 tackles and 1.0 TFL three in games.
  • Buccaneers vs Chargers: Last 5 Meetings

  • Against Los Angeles, Tampa Bay has totaled three wins over the past five meetings.
  • Los Angeles has put up 1 fewer point than Tampa Bay in their past five contests.
  • Buccaneers vs Chargers: Last Five Meetings
    Date Home Team Total Yards Result
    12/4/2016 Chargers 349-330 TB 28-21 TB
    11/11/2012 Buccaneers 426-279 SDC 34-24 TB
    12/21/2008 Buccaneers - 41-24 SDC
    12/12/2004 Chargers - 31-24 SDC
    11/17/1996 Chargers - 25-17 TB

    When the Buccaneers have the ball...

  • The Buccaneers have put an average of 27.3 points per game on the scoreboard this season, 8.3 more than the 19 the Chargers have surrendered in each contest.
  • In games where Tampa Bay score at least 27.3 points this season, they have put together a record of 2-0.
  • Los Angeles is 1-0 this season in games where they allow fewer than 19 points.
  • The Buccaneers offense has averaged 334 total yards per game this season, within three yards of the 337 the Chargers defense has allowed. On average, the Buccaneers pick up 5.4 yards per play and the Chargers give up 5.4.
  • When the Tampa Bay offense puts together a game with at least their 2020 average in yardage, they are 2-0 this season.
  • When Los Angeles allows fewer total yards to opposing offenses than their season average they are 1-1 this season.
  • The Chargers defense has given up an average of 109.3 yards per game to opposing running games this season. That is 17.3 more yards than the Buccaneers have gained running the football in 2020 (92).
  • When Tampa Bay rushers gain at least a combined 92 yards, they have a record of 1-0 this season.
  • This season, when the Los Angeles defense allows opponents to pick up less than 109.3 yards on the ground, they are 0-1.
  • The Buccaneers have committed one more turnover per game this season (1.7) than the Chargers defense has forced (0.7).
  • Tampa Bay is 1-0 this season when they turn the football over 1.7 times or fewer.
  • Los Angeles' record this season when they force more than 0.7 turnovers: 1-0
  • When the Chargers have the ball...

  • The Chargers average 17.3 points per game, three fewer than the Buccaneers give up per matchup (20.3).
  • Los Angeles is 0-1 overall a season ago when the team scores at least 17.3 points.
  • Tampa Bay has a 2-0 record overall in games when it surrenders 27.3 points or less.
  • The Chargers collect 117.7 more yards per game (425.7), than the Buccaneers give up per matchup (308). The Chargers average 5.7 yards per play, while the Buccaneers give up 4.7 per play.
  • In contests where the Tampa Bay offense totaled at least their average yard output last season, they were 5-4.
  • In games Tampa Bay limits its opponents to 308 or fewer yards, it has a 1-1 record.
  • This season, the Chargers rush for 81.4 more yards per game (151.7) than the Buccaneers allow per contest (70.3).
  • When Los Angeles rushes for at least 151.7 yards, it recorded a 1-1 record.
  • This season, Tampa Bay is 1-0 when holding opponents to no more than 70.3 yards on the ground.
  • This year, the Chargers turn the ball over 1.7 times per game, just 0.3 fewer turnovers per game than the two the Buccaneers force on average.
  • Los Angeles has a 1-1 record when it turns the ball over 1.7 times or less.
  • When it forces 2 or more turnovers, Tampa Bay has a 2-0 record.
  • Buccaneers Fantasy Leaders

  • Brady is the 20th-best fantasy player overall this season and the 16th-best fantasy QB with 53.0 fantasy points (17.7 per game).
  • Evans' 34.8 total fantasy points (an average of 11.6 per game), are enough to place him 58th overall and 11th among wide receivers.
  • So far this season, Fournette averages 9.2 fantasy points per game on the way to 27.7 total fantasy points. That makes him the 86th-ranked fantasy player overall and the 26th-ranked running back.
  • Jones is the 101st-ranked fantasy player -- and the 34th-ranked running back -- with 24.2 fantasy points. He averages 8.1 fantasy points per game.
  • Chargers Fantasy Leaders

  • So far this season, Brady is the No. 16 fantasy quarterback and the No. 20 fantasy player overall. He's scored 53.0 points and is averaging 17.7 per game.
  • Herbert has totaled 36.9 fantasy points this season (18.5 per game), making him the 27th-ranked quarterback and the 53rd-ranked player overall.
  • Allen is averaging 10.2 fantasy points per game on the way to 30.5 total fantasy points. That makes him the 73rd-ranked fantasy player overall and the 17th-ranked wide receiver.
  • Kelley is working on the 91st-ranked fantasy season (27th among running backs) with 26.5 fantasy points, averaging 8.8 per game.
  • Betting Information

    Buccaneers vs Chargers Betting Information
    Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
    Buccaneers -4.5 -110 -110 45.5 -110 -110 -345 275

    Buccaneers Betting Insights

  • Most of Tampa Bay's games with a betting line -- one out of three opportunities -- have surpassed the point total (33.3%).
  • Tampa Bay has a 2-1 record against the spread this year.
  • This season, the Buccaneers have covered more games than they didn't when playing as 4.5-point or more favorites, finishing 2-0 ATS in those situations.
  • Buccaneers Home Trends

  • Tampa Bay compiled just a 0-5-2 record against the spread at home last year, and went 2-6 overall in home games.
  • The Buccaneers went just 0-2 ATS in home games last season when favored by at least 4.5 points.
  • Tampa Bay hit the over in just five out of eight home games last year with a point total prop bet (62.5%).
  • Last season, Buccaneers home games averaged 56 points, 10.5 more than this outing's over/under (45.5).
  • Chargers Betting Insights

  • Los Angeles has a 2-1 record against the spread.
  • The Chargers have a losing ATS record of 0-1 when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
  • None of Los Angeles' three games this year have gone over the point total (0% of its outings).
  • Chargers Road Trends

  • Los Angeles hit the over five times in eight opportunities on the road last year (62.5%).
  • Chargers away games last season averaged 42.4 total points, 3.1 fewer than this matchup's over/under (45.5).
  • Los Angeles finished an even 3-3-1 against the spread in away games last year, and went 3-5 overall on the road.
  • Last season, the Chargers finished an even 1-1 ATS in away games when playing as at least a 4.5-point underdog.
  • Additional Info

  • Buccaneers contests this year have an average point total of 47.7, 2.2 more points than this game's over/under.
  • The average over/under for Chargers contests this season is 36.3, 9.2 fewer points than this game's total.
  • Tampa Bay's games have gone over 45.5 points two times this season 66.7% of matchups).
  • Los Angeles has played zero games this year that ended with a point total over 45.5 points.
  • The two teams combine to score 44.6 points per game, 0.9 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.
  • These two teams allow a combined 39.3 points per game, 6.2 fewer points than this matchup's total.
  • Injury Report

    Buccaneers: No Injuries Listed
    Chargers: No Injuries Listed

    Last Updated on 2020-10-1 2:25 a.m. EDT

    Team Records
      LAC TB  
    as Fav
    as Dog
    ATS Home
    ATS Away
    O/U Home
    O/U Away
    Passing Yards per Game
    Herbert Photo
    Los Angeles Chargers
    Brady Photo
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    Rushing Yards per Game
    Ekeler Photo
    Los Angeles Chargers
    Jones II Photo
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    Receiving Yards per Game
    Allen Photo
    Los Angeles Chargers
    Godwin Photo
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers