NFL Betting Preview: Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Chargers
The Los Angeles Chargers (3-7) are 5.0-point underdogs heading into their matchup on Sunday, November 29, 2020 against the Buffalo Bills (7-3). The game has a point total of 53.0.
Game InfoGame Day: Sunday, November 29, 2020 Game Time: 1:00 PM ET TV Channel: CBS Location: Orchard Park, NY Stadium: Bills Stadium
Bills Impact PlayersJosh Allen leads the team with 2,873 passing yards (287.3 yards per game) and has a 68.4% completion percentage this year (249-of-364) while throwing 21 touchdowns and seven interceptions in 10 games. He also has 278 rushing yards on 72 carries with five touchdowns, averaging 27.8 yards per game. Devin Singletary has ran for a team-leading 400 yards on 99 carries (40.0 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown in 10 games. He also averages 18.7 receiving yards per game, grabbing 25 passes for 187 yards. This season, Stefon Diggs has 73 catches (on 102 targets) to lead the team with 906 yards (90.6 per game) with four touchdowns in 10 games. Cole Beasley has also chipped in with 642 yards on 55 grabs with three touchdowns. He has been targeted 67 times and puts up 64.2 receiving yards per game over 10 matchups this year. Over eight games in 2020, John Brown has caught 29 passes on 48 targets for 386 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 48.3 receiving yards per game. Jerry Hughes has registered a team-leading 4.0 sacks, while adding 3.0 TFL, 22 tackles, and one interception over 10 games. Jordan Poyer leads the team in both tackles and interceptions, totaling 81 tackles, 4.0 TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions in 10 games over the course of his 2020 campaign.
Chargers Impact PlayersJustin Herbert has thrown for 2,699 yards while completing 68% of his passes (238-of-350), with 22 touchdowns and six interceptions in nine games this year (299.9 yards per game). He's also carried the ball 39 times for 187 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 20.8 yards per game. Joshua Kelley has picked up a team-high 311 rushing yards (31.1 yards per game) and scored one touchdown in 10 games. Kalen Ballage has 194 yards on 52 carries (32.3 ypg), with one rushing touchdown over the course of six games. He also has 23 catches for 143 yards (23.8 ypg). This season, Keenan Allen has 81 catches (on 112 targets) to lead the team with 835 yards (83.5 per game) while scoring six touchdowns in 10 games. Mike Williams' statline this year shows 29 catches for 503 yards and four touchdowns in nine games. He puts up 55.9 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 52 times. Hunter Henry has caught 41 passes on 65 targets for 435 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 43.5 yards per game in 10 contests in 2020. Joey Bosa has collected a team-leading 4.5 sacks, while adding 8.0 TFL and 20 tackles over eight games. In 10 games over the 2020 campaign, Kenneth Murray has totaled 62 tackles and 2.0 TFL and leads the team in tackles. This season, Tevaughn Campbell leads the team with one interception and has added 11 tackles and two passes defended eight in games.
Bills vs Chargers: Last 5 MeetingsLos Angeles has defeated Buffalo four times in the past five contests. Los Angeles has scored 158 points in the last five matchups while only allowing 87 to Buffalo
Bills vs Chargers: Last Five Meetings
Bills Offense: Betting AnalysisThe Bills average points scored this season (27.2) and the Chargers points allowed (27.3) are within 0.1 points of each other. In games where Buffalo score at least 27.2 points this season, they have put together a record of 4-1. When the Los Angeles defense allows 27.3 points or fewer this year, the Chargers have accumulated a 1-2 record. The Bills hold a 32.5-yard advantage in total yards gained versus total yards allowed compared to the Chargers defense this season (376.5 to 344). The Bills average 5.9 yards per play while the Chargers give up 5.6 per play. Buffalo's record this season when they rack up at least their season average in total yards: 4-0. When the Los Angeles defense allows less than their season average for total yards this season they are 3-3. The Chargers defense has given up an average of 115.3 yards per game to opposing running games this season. That is 17.9 more yards than the Bills have gained running the football in 2020 (97.4). When Buffalo rushers gain at least a combined 97.4 yards, they have a record of 5-0 this season. When Los Angeles limits opposing teams to 115.3 rushing yards or fewer they are 1-5 this year. This season, the Chargers have forced an average of 0.9 turnovers per game compared to the 1.3 times Bills have turned the football over in each contest. Buffalo is 5-1 this season when they turn the football over 1.3 times or fewer. Los Angeles' record this season when they force more than 0.9 turnovers: 3-5
Chargers Offense: Betting AnalysisThe Chargers average just 0.5 fewer points per game (26) than the Bills surrender (26.5). Los Angeles is 2-4 in games when it records at least 26 points. Buffalo has a 4-1 record overall in games when it allows 27.2 points or less. The Chargers rack up 27.3 more yards per game (400.9), than the Bills give up per matchup (373.6). On average, the Chargers gain 5.6 yards per play, while the Bills give up 5.8 per play. When the Buffalo offense put together a game with at least their 2019 average in yardage, they were 6-2 last season. In games Buffalo holds its opponents to 373.6 or fewer yards, it has a 3-1 record. The Chargers rush for 121.3 yards per game, 13.6 fewer per game than the 134.9 the Bills allow per contest. This year, Los Angeles has a 2-3 record in games the team runs for at least 121.3 yards. When Buffalo keeps its opponents to 134.9 rushing yards or less, it is 5-0. This year, the Chargers turn the ball over 1.2 times per game, just 0.4 fewer turnovers per game than the 1.6 the Bills force on average. Los Angeles has a 3-4 record when it turns the ball over 1.2 times or less. This season, Buffalo has a 5-1 record when it forces at least 1.6 turnovers.
Bills Fantasy LeadersJosh Allen is the fourth-best fantasy player overall this season and the fourth-best fantasy QB with 241.9 fantasy points (24.2 per game). Diggs' 114.6 total fantasy points (an average of 11.5 per game), are good enough to rank him 47th overall and eighth among wide receivers. Beasley is 85th overall and 29th among WRs after scoring 82.2 fantasy points (averaging 8.2 per game) so far this season. Singletary is working on the 117th-ranked fantasy season (38th among running backs) with 64.7 fantasy points, averaging 6.5 per game.
Chargers Fantasy LeadersSo far this season, Josh Allen is the No. 4 fantasy quarterback and the No. 4 fantasy player overall. He's scored 241.9 points and is averaging 24.2 per game. Keenan Allen has totaled 115.5 fantasy points this season (11.6 per game), making him the seventh-ranked wide receiver and the 46th-ranked player overall. Williams is 103rd overall and 39th among WRs after scoring 74.4 fantasy points (averaging 8.3 per game) so far this season. Henry's fantasy season so far has him ranked 128th overall and eighth among tight ends with 61.5 points (6.2 per game).
Bills vs Chargers Odds: Betting Preview
Bills vs Chargers Betting Information
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Bills Against The SpreadThis year, Buffalo is only 5-5 against the spread. This season, the Bills are only 1-2 ATS when projected as at least 5.0-point favorites. Most of Buffalo's games with a betting line -- eight out of 10 opportunities -- have surpassed the point total (80%).
Bills Home TrendsBuffalo has a 3-2 record against the spread at home this year, and is 4-1 overall in home games. The Bills are 1-0 ATS at home this season when favored by at least 5.0 points. Buffalo has hit the over in 80% of its home games this year (four of five opportunities). The average point total in Bills home games this season is 55.4 points, 2.4 more than this contest's over/under (53.0).
Chargers Against The SpreadLos Angeles' games have hit the over in seven out of 10 opportunities this season (70%). Los Angeles is 5-5 against the spread. The Chargers have a losing ATS record of 1-2 when playing as at least 5.0-point underdogs.
Chargers Road TrendsLos Angeles' record against the spread in away games this year is 3-2, and its record on the road overall is 1-4. Los Angeles has hit the over in four out of five home games this year with a point total prop bet (80%). The average point total in Chargers away games this season is 53.2 points, 0.2 more than this matchup's over/under (53.0).
Additional InfoSix of Buffalo's games have gone over 53.0 points this season (60% of matchups). Six of Los Angeles' games have gone over 53.0 points this year (60% of matchups). These teams average a combined 53.2 points per game, 0.2 more points than this matchup's over/under. Opponents of these teams average 53.8 combined points per game, 0.8 more points than this contest's total. The Bills have an average point total of 53.7 in their contests this year, 0.7 more points than this game's over/under. The average over/under for Chargers matchups this season is 53.3, 0.3 more points than this game's point total.
Betting Insights: Last Three Games (Both Teams)The last three Bills games averaged 61.7 total points, 8.7 more points than this matchup's over/under. Buffalo has gone 2-1 against the spread in its last three games while also going 2-1 overall. In that span, Buffalo has gone over the point total in three of three opportunities (100%). The last three Chargers games averaged 56.3 total points, 3.3 more points than this matchup's point total. Los Angeles has just a 0-3 record against the spread over its last three games while going 1-2 overall. In those outings, Los Angeles went over the point total in three of three opportunities (100%).
Bills: No Injuries Listed
Chargers: No Injuries Listed
Last Updated on 2020-11-27 2:25 a.m. EST