NFL Betting Preview: New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The New Orleans Saints (0-0) host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) on Sunday, September 13, 2020 in matchup between NFC South rivals at Mercedes-Benz Superdome. Tampa Bay is a 3.5-point underdog. An over/under of 47.5 is set in the game.
Game InfoGame Day: Sunday, September 13, 2020 Game Time: 4:25 PM TV Channel: FOX Location: New Orleans, LA Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Saints Players to WatchLast year, Jameis Winston racked up 5,109 passing yards (319.3 yards per game) while going 380-for-626 (60.7% completion percentage) and throwing 33 touchdowns and 30 interceptions in 16 games. He tacked on 250 rushing yards on 59 carries with one touchdown, averaging 15.6 yards per game. Alvin Kamara ran for 797 yards on 171 attempts (56.9 yards per game) while scoring five touchdowns in 14 games a season ago. He also averaged 38.1 receiving yards per game, grabbing 81 passes for 533 yards and one touchdown. Latavius Murray totaled 637 rushing yards on 146 carries (39.8 yards per game), with five touchdowns on the ground over the course of 16 games in 2019. Michael Thomas hauled in 149 passes for 1,725 yards last season and scored nine touchdowns. He was targeted 186 times and averaged 107.8 yards per game over 16 outings. Emmanuel Sanders' statline last year showed 66 catches for 869 yards and five touchdowns over the course of 17 games. He put up 51.1 receiving yards per game and was targeted 96 times. Jared Cook caught 43 passes on 65 targets for 705 yards and nine touchdowns, averaging 50.4 yards per game in 14 contests in 2019. Last season, Cameron Jordan totaled 15.5 sacks, 16.0 TFL and 49 tackles in 16 games. Demario Davis collected 112 tackles, 10.0 TFL, four sacks, and one interception in 16 games over the course of his 2019 campaign. Last season, Marcus Williams grabbed four interceptions and added 52 tackles and 13 passes defended in 15 games.
Buccaneers Players to WatchTom Brady threw for 4,057 yards while completing 60.8% of his passes (373-of-613), with 24 touchdowns and eight interceptions in 16 games last year (253.6 yards per game). Leonard Fournette rushed for 1,152 yards on 265 carries (76.8 yards per game) while scoring three touchdowns in 15 games a season ago. He also averaged 34.8 receiving yards per game, grabbing 76 passes for 522 yards. In 2019, Ronald Jones II ran for 724 yards on 172 carries (45.3 ypg), with six rushing touchdowns over the course of 16 games. He also caught 31 passes for 309 (19.3 ypg). Last season, Chris Godwin grabbed 86 passes (on 119 targets) for 1,333 yards (95.2 yards per game) while scoring nine touchdowns in 14 games. Mike Evans also chipped in with 67 catches for 1,157 yards and eight touchdowns in 13 games last year. He was targeted 118 times and put up 89.0 receiving yards per game. Fournette caught 76 passes on 100 targets for 522 yards and zero touchdowns, averaging 34.8 yards per game in 15 contests in 2019. Shaquil Barrett put together an impressive body of work a year ago, notching 19.5 sacks, 19.0 TFL, 58 tackles, and one interception over 16 games. Lavonte David totaled 120 tackles, 10.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in 16 games over the course of his 2019 campaign. Sean Murphy-Bunting picked off three passes and tacked on 44 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and eight passes defended in 16 games last season.
Saints vs Buccaneers: Last 5 MeetingsAgainst Tampa Bay, New Orleans has tallied three wins over the past five matchups. New Orleans has outpaced Tampa Bay 157 points to 134 in the past five contests.
Saints vs Buccaneers: Last Five Meetings
Saints Team DataThe Saints averaged points scored last season (28.6) and the Buccaneers points allowed (28.1) were within 0.5 points of each other. When they met or outpaced their scoring average last season, New Orleans was 10-1. When the Tampa Bay defense allowed 28.1 points or fewer last year, the Buccaneers put together a 5-3 record. The Saints held a 30-yard advantage in total yards gained versus total yards allowed compared to the Buccaneers defense last season (373.9 to 343.9). When the New Orleans offense put together a game with at least their 2019 average in yardage, they were 8-1 last season. When the Tampa Bay defense allowed less than their season average for total yards last season they were 4-5. The Saints averaged 108.6 yards per game on the ground last season, 34.8 yards more than the Buccaneers allowed to opposing rushing attacks (73.8). When New Orleans rushers gained at least a combined 108.6 yards, they had a record of 9-1 last season. Last season, when the Tampa Bay defense allowed opponents to pick up less than 73.8 yards on the ground, they were 6-4. The Buccaneers forced 1.3 more turnovers in each game last season (1.8) than the Saints committed (0.5). In games where they didn't turn the football over, New Orleans was 7-1 last season. Tampa Bay was 5-3 last season when they forced at least 1.8 turnovers in a game.
Buccaneers Team DataThe Buccaneers racked up 28.6 points per game last year, 7.3 more than the Saints surrendered per matchup (21.3). Tampa Bay went 5-2 overall a season ago when the team scored at least 28.6 points. Last season, New Orleans had a 10-1 record in games when it held opponents to 28.6 or fewer points. In 2019, the Buccaneers averaged 64.8 more yards per game (397.9), than the Saints allowed per contest (333.1). New Orleans' record last season when they racked up at least their season average in total yards: 8-1. In games New Orleans limited its opponents to 333.1 or fewer yards last year, it recorded a 7-1 record. The Buccaneers rushed for 95.1 yards per game last season, just 3.7 more yards per game than the 91.4 the Saints allowed per outing. Tampa Bay had a 3-6 record when the team ran for at least 95.1 yards last year. Last season, New Orleans went 8-0 when holding opponents to no more than 91.4 rushing yards. The Buccaneers turned the ball over 1.2 more times per game last year (2.6) than the Saints forced turnovers on average (1.4). In 2019, Tampa Bay went 5-3 when it turned the ball over 2.6 times or less. When it forced 1.4 or more turnovers last season, New Orleans put together a 5-0 record.
Saints Fantasy LeadersWinston was the No. 6 fantasy player overall and the No. 5 fantasy quarterback in 2019 with 305.4 points (averaging 19.1 per game). Thomas put up total 225.6 fantasy points last season (14.1 per game), which made him the 26th-ranked player overall and the top-ranked wide receiver. Last year, Drew Brees averaged 20.4 fantasy points per game on the way to 224.8 total fantasy points. That made him the 27th-ranked fantasy player overall and the 21st-ranked quarterback. Kamara put together the 51st-ranked fantasy season (16th among running backs) in 2019 with 167.5 fantasy points, averaging 12.0 per game.
Buccaneers Fantasy LeadersBrady put together a solid 2019 fantasy season, scoring 263.7 total fantasy points (16.5 per game) to finish 15th overall and 12th among quarterbacks in the league-wide fantasy rankings. Last year, Godwin finished as the 39th-ranked fantasy player overall and the second-ranked wide receiver. He totaled 190.1 fantasy points, averaging 13.6 per game. Fournette was the 13th-best running back and the 42nd-best fantasy player overall with 183.4 fantasy points last season, averaging 12.2 per game. Evans' 2019 campaign saw him finish as the No. 54 fantasy player and the No. 8 WR with 165.7 fantasy points (averaging 12.7 per game).
Saints vs Buccaneers Betting Information
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Saints Betting InsightsNew Orleans had a losing 11-3 record against the spread last year. Last season, the Saints went 6-2 ATS when favored by 3.5 points or more. In 2019, New Orleans' games went over the point total in seven out of 14 opportunities.
Saints Home TrendsNew Orleans hit the over in just 37.5% of its home games last year (three of eight opportunities). Last season, Saints home games averaged 51.2 points, 3.7 more than this matchup's over/under (47.5). New Orleans' record against the spread in home games last year was 4-3, and its record at home overall was 6-2. The Saints went 2-2 ATS in home games last season when favored by at least 3.5 points.
Buccaneers Betting InsightsMost of Tampa Bay's games with a betting line last year -- 11 out of 14 opportunities -- went over the point total (78.6%) Tampa Bay put together a losing 4-8-2 record against the spread last year. The Buccaneers had a losing ATS record of 1-2 when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs last season.
Buccaneers Road TrendsTampa Bay hit the over six times in eight opportunities on the road last year (75%). Last season, Buccaneers away games averaged 57.4 points, 9.9 more than this outing's over/under (47.5). Tampa Bay put together a 4-3 record against the spread on the road last year, and went 5-3 overall in away games. Last season, the Buccaneers went 1-0 ATS in away games as at least a 3.5-point underdog.
Additional InfoThe Saints had an average point total of 49.9 in their outings last season, 2.4 more points than the over/under for this game. Buccaneers outings last year had a 56.7-point average over/under, 9.2 more points than this game's point total. Last season, New Orleans played in eight games that finished with a combined score higher than 47.5 (50% of matchups). Last year, Tampa Bay played 12 games that finished with a point total higher than 47.5 (75% of matchups). The teams combined to score 57.2 points per game last season, 9.7 more points than the point total for this matchup. These two teams surrendered a combined 49.4 points per game last year, 1.9 more points than the over/under for this matchup.
P.J. Williams: Questionable (Hamstring),
Cesar Ruiz: Out (Ankle),
Marcus Davenport: Out (Elbow)
Mike Evans: Doubtful (Hamstring)