NFL Betting Preview: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Denver Broncos
The Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0) are one-touchdown favorites on Sunday, September 20, 2020 against the Denver Broncos (0-1). An over/under of 40.5 is set in the game.
Game InfoGame Day: Sunday, September 20, 2020 Game Time: 1:00 PM ET TV Channel: CBS Location: Pittsburgh, PA Stadium: Heinz Field
Steelers Players to WatchLast year, Mason Rudolph racked up 1,765 passing yards (176.5 yards per game) while going 176-for-283 (62.2% completion percentage) and throwing 13 touchdowns and nine interceptions in 10 games. James Conner took 116 attempts for 464 rushing yards a season ago (46.4 yards per game) while scoring four touchdowns in 10 games. He also caught 34 passes for 251 yards (25.1 receiving yards per game) with three touchdowns through the air. In 2019, Benny Snell Jr. ran for 426 yards on 108 carries (32.8 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns over the course of 13 games. Last season, James Washington reeled in 44 passes (on 79 targets) for 735 yards (49.0 yards per game) with three touchdowns in 15 games. Diontae Johnson also contributed with 680 yards on 59 catches with five touchdowns. He was targeted 92 times and averaged 42.5 receiving yards per game over 16 matchups last year. Over 12 games in 2019, JuJu Smith-Schuster caught 42 passes on 71 targets for 552 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 46.0 receiving yards per game. T.J. Watt showed out with an impressive statline of 14.5 sacks, 14.0 TFL, 55 tackles, and two interceptions over 16 games. Devin Bush Jr. collected 110 tackles, 9.0 TFL, one sack, and two interceptions in 16 games over the course of his 2019 campaign. Last season, Minkah Fitzpatrick reeled in five interceptions and added 69 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and nine passes defended in 16 games.
Broncos Players to WatchDrew Lock threw for 1,020 yards while completing 64.1% of his passes (100-of-156), with seven touchdowns and three interceptions in five games last year (204.0 yards per game). He also carried the ball 18 times for 72 yards, averaging 14.4 yards per game. Phillip Lindsay took 224 carries for 1,011 rushing yards a season ago (63.2 yards per game) while scoring seven touchdowns in 16 games. Melvin Gordon III totaled 612 rushing yards on 162 carries (51.0 yards per game), with eight touchdowns on the ground over the course of 12 games in 2019. He also caught 42 passes for 296 (24.7 yards per game) and one touchdown. Courtland Sutton reeled in 72 passes for 1,112 yards last season with six touchdowns. He was targeted 126 times and averaged 69.5 yards per game over 16 outings. Noah Fant also contributed with 40 catches for 562 yards and three touchdowns in 16 games last year. He was targeted 67 times and put up 35.1 receiving yards per game. Over 16 games in 2019, DaeSean Hamilton caught 28 passes on 52 targets for 297 yards and one touchdown, averaging 18.6 receiving yards per game. Shelby Harris had an impressive body of work a year ago, notching six sacks, 8.0 TFL and 49 tackles over 16 games. Alexander Johnson racked up 97 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception in 15 games over his 2019 campaign. Justin Simmons intercepted four passes and tacked on 90 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 15 passes defended in 16 games last season.
Steelers vs Broncos: Last 5 MeetingsIn the past five meetings, Denver owns a 3-2 record against Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh has outscored Denver 126 points to 123 in the past five games.
Steelers vs Broncos: Last Five Meetings
When the Steelers have the ball...The Steelers averaged points scored last season (18.1) and the Broncos points allowed (19.8) were within 1.7 points of each other. When they met or went over their scoring average last season, Pittsburgh was 6-3. Denver was 5-2 last season in games where they allowed fewer than 19.8 points. The Steelers offense racked up 60.2 fewer yards than the Broncos defense surrendered last season (276.8 to 337). Pittsburgh's record last season when they racked up at least their season average in total yards: 4-1. Denver was 3-5 last season when their defense allowed fewer yards than their season average. The Broncos allowed opposing rushing attacks to average 111.4 yards per game in 2019 compared to the 90.5 yards the Steelers offense averaged on the ground per contest. When Pittsburgh rushers gained at least a combined 90.5 yards, they had a record of 5-1 last season. When Denver limited opposing teams to 111.4 rushing yards or fewer they were 5-5 last year. Last season, the Broncos forced an average of 1.1 turnovers per game compared to the 1.9 times Steelers turned the football over in each contest. In games where they turned the football over 1.9 times or fewer, Pittsburgh was 5-2 last season. Denver's record last season when they forced more than 1.1 turnovers: 4-1
When the Broncos have the ball...The Broncos scored just 1.3 fewer points per game last year (17.6) than the Steelers allowed (18.9). Denver finished 5-2 overall a season ago when the team recorded at least 17.6 points. Last season, Pittsburgh had a 6-3 record in games when it held opponents to 18.1 or fewer points. In 2019, the Broncos collected just 5.6 fewer yards per game (298.6), than the Steelers gave up per contest (304.2). When the Pittsburgh offense put together a game with at least their 2019 average in yardage, they were 4-1 last season. Pittsburgh had a 5-5 record last year when holding its opponents to 304.2 yards or less. Last season, the Broncos piled up 103.9 rushing yards per game, just 5.7 fewer yards per game than the Steelers allowed per outing (109.6). Last year, Denver had a 3-3 record in games the team ran for at least 103.9 yards. When Pittsburgh kept its opponents to 109.6 yards on the ground or less last season, it finished 7-3. Last year, the Broncos turned the ball over one time per game, 1.4 fewer turnovers per game than the 2.4 the Steelers forced on average. In 2019, Denver finished 6-8 when it turned the ball over 1 time or less. Pittsburgh compiled a 5-2 record when it forced at least 2.4 turnovers last season.
Steelers Fantasy LeadersConner was the No. 106 fantasy player overall and the No. 33 fantasy running back in 2019 with 111.5 points (averaging 11.2 per game). Rudolph collected 108.9 fantasy points a season ago (10.9 per game), enough to place him 111th overall and 30th among quarterbacks in league-wide fantasy standings. Last year, Diontae Johnson's 104.1 total fantasy points made him the No. 114 fantasy player and No. 40 wide receiver. He averaged 6.5 fantasy points per game. Washington put together the 133rd-ranked fantasy season (51st among wide receivers) in 2019 with 89.5 fantasy points, averaging 6.0 per game.
Broncos Fantasy LeadersLindsay's productive 2019 fantasy season earned him the No. 58 spot overall and the No. 19 spot among RBs. He put up 162.7 fantasy points on the year (10.2 per game). Last year, Sutton finished as the 67th-ranked fantasy player overall and the 17th-ranked wide receiver. He put up 150.4 fantasy points, averaging 9.4 per game. Gordon was the No. 25 running back and the No. 78 fantasy player overall with 138.8 total points last season (11.6 per game). Royce Freeman's 2019 campaign saw him finish as the No. 125 fantasy player and the No. 40 RB with 99.2 fantasy points (averaging 6.2 per game).
Steelers vs Broncos Betting Information
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Steelers Betting InsightsPittsburgh had a 7-5-2 record against the spread last year. Last season, the Steelers went just 0-1 ATS when projected as at least 7.0-point favorites. In the previous season, just three of Pittsburgh's 14 games with a betting line went over the point total (21.4% of its opportunities).
Steelers Home TrendsPittsburgh put together a 4-2-1 record against the spread at home last year, and went 5-3 overall in home games. The Steelers went just 0-1 ATS at home last season when favored by at least 7.0 points. Pittsburgh hit the over just two times in eight opportunities at home last year (25%). Last season, Steelers home games averaged 39.1 points, 1.4 fewer than this outing's over/under (40.5).
Broncos Betting InsightsDenver had an 8-6 record against the spread last year. The Broncos went 1-0 ATS last season when playing as 7.0-point or more underdogs. Denver's games went under 40.5 points in seven out of 14 opportunities last season (50%).
Broncos Road TrendsDenver hit the over in just 25% of its away games last year (two of eight opportunities). The average total in Broncos away games last season was 38.1 points, 2.4 fewer than this contest's over/under (40.5). Denver finished 4-3 against the spread in away games last year, and went 2-6 overall on the road.
Additional InfoThe Steelers had an average point total of 37 in their contests last season, 3.5 fewer points than this game's over/under. The average over/under for Broncos outings last year was 37.4, 3.1 fewer points than this game's total. Five of Pittsburgh's games went over 40.5 points last season (31.2% of matchups). Last year, Denver played seven games that ended with a combined score higher than 40.5 (43.8% of matchups). The two teams combined to score 35.7 points per game last season, 4.8 fewer points than this matchup's total. Combined, these teams gave up 38.7 points per contest last year, 1.8 fewer points than the total for this game.
Stefen Wisniewski: Out (Chest),
David DeCastro: Out (Knee)
Courtland Sutton: Questionable (Shoulder),
Garett Bolles: Questionable (Elbow),
Phillip Lindsay: Out (Foot),
Mark Barron: Out (Hamstring),
Tyrie Cleveland: Questionable (Hip)
Last Updated on 2020-9-20 2:18 a.m. EDT