NFL Betting Preview: Buffalo Bills vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Oddsmakers give the Buffalo Bills (3-0) a small chance to keep their three-game winning streak intact, as they are favored by 2.0 points in a matchup with the Las Vegas Raiders (2-1) on Sunday, October 4, 2020 at Allegiant Stadium. The contest has a point total of 49.5.
Game InfoGame Day: Sunday, October 4, 2020 Game Time: 4:25 PM ET TV Channel: CBS Location: Las Vegas, NV Stadium: Allegiant Stadium
Bills Players to WatchJosh Allen leads the team with 1,040 passing yards (346.7 yards per game) and has a 71.1% completion percentage this year (81-of-114) while throwing 10 touchdowns and one interception in three games. He also has 83 rushing yards on 22 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 27.7 yards per game. Devin Singletary has taken 32 attempts for a team-leading 157 rushing yards (52.3 yards per game) while scoring zero touchdowns in three games. He's also caught 11 passes for 93 yards (31.0 receiving yards per game). This season, Stefon Diggs has 20 catches (on 28 targets) to lead the team with 288 yards (96.0 per game) while scoring two touchdowns in three games. Cole Beasley has tacked on 228 yards on 15 grabs with zero touchdowns. He has been targeted 20 times and averages 76.0 receiving yards per game over the course of three matchups this year. Over three games in 2020, John Brown has caught 10 passes on 18 targets for 152 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 50.7 receiving yards per game. Mario Addison has notched a team-leading 2.0 sacks, while adding 3.0 TFL and six tackles over three games. Jordan Poyer has racked up 25 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack to lead the team in tackles so far in three games over the 2020 campaign. Matt Milano has a team-high one interception and has tacked on 12 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and two passes defended two in games this season.
Raiders Players to WatchDerek Carr has thrown for 782 yards while completing 74% of his passes (74-of-100), with six touchdowns and zero interceptions in three games this year (260.7 yards per game). Josh Jacobs has taken 68 attempts for a team-leading 252 rushing yards (84.0 yards per game) while scoring three touchdowns in three games. He's also caught 10 passes for 75 yards (25.0 receiving yards per game). Devontae Booker has 59 yards on 10 carries (19.7 ypg), with zero rushing touchdowns over the course of three games. This season, Darren Waller has 20 catches (on 28 targets) to lead the team with 157 yards (52.3 per game) with one touchdown in three games. Hunter Renfrow's statline this year shows 11 catches for 142 yards and one touchdown over three games. He averages 47.3 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 14 times. Bryan Edwards has caught five passes on six targets for 99 yards and zero touchdowns, averaging 33.0 yards per game in three contests in 2020. Maxx Crosby has registered a team-leading 2.0 sacks, while adding 2.0 TFL and six tackles over three games. Nicholas Morrow leads the team in both tackles and interceptions, totaling 21 tackles and one interception in three games over his 2020 campaign. This season, Morrow leads the team with one interception and has added 21 tackles and one pass defended three in games.
Bills vs Raiders: Last 5 MeetingsAgainst Las Vegas, Buffalo has collected three wins over the past five meetings. Buffalo has outpaced Las Vegas 144 points to 136 in the past five contests.
Bills vs Raiders: Last Five Meetings
When the Bills have the ball...The Raiders defense has allowed 30 points per game this season, close to the same amount as the 31 the Bills have scored. When they meet or go over their scoring average this season, Buffalo is 2-0. Las Vegas is 2-0 this season in games where they allow fewer than 30 points. The Raiders defense has surrendered an average of 406 yards per game so far this season, 28.3 yards fewer than the 434.3-yard average from the Bills offense. On average, the Bills pick up 6.6 yards per play and the Raiders give up 6.4. When the Buffalo offense puts together a game with at least their 2020 average in yardage, they are 1-0 this season. When the Las Vegas defense allows less than their season average for total yards this season they are 1-1. The Raiders defense has given up an average of 163.3 yards per game to opposing running games this season. That is 60.0 more yards than the Bills have gained running the football in 2020 (103.3). When Buffalo rushers gain at least a combined 103.3 yards, they have a record of 1-0 this season. When Las Vegas limits opposing teams to 163.3 rushing yards or fewer they are 2-0 this year. The Bills have committed one more turnover per game this season (1.7) than the Raiders defense has forced (0.7). Buffalo is 1-0 this season when they turn the football over 1.7 times or fewer. When they force more than 0.7 turnovers in a game, Las Vegas is 1-1 this season.
When the Raiders have the ball...The Raiders rack up 29.3 points per game, 3.6 more than the Bills allow per outing (25.7). Las Vegas is 2-0 in games when it records at least 29.3 points. When Buffalo allows opponents to score no more than 31 points, it has a 2-0 record. The Raiders collect just 6.7 fewer yards per game (374), than the Bills give up per outing (380.7). The Raiders average 5.8 yards per play, while the Bills give up 6 per play. When the Buffalo offense put together a game with at least their 2019 average in yardage, they were 6-2 last season. When Buffalo keeps its opponents to 380.7 yards or less, it has a 1-0 record. This season, the Raiders run for 19 more yards per game (125) than the Bills allow per contest (106). This year, Las Vegas has a 1-1 record in games the team rushes for at least 125 yards. This season, Buffalo is 2-0 when holding opponents to no more than 106 rushing yards. This year, the Raiders turn the ball over 1.3 times per game, only per game than the 1.3 the Bills force on average. Las Vegas has a 2-0 record when it turns the ball over 1.3 times or less. When it forces 1.3 or more turnovers, Buffalo has a 2-0 record.
Bills Fantasy LeadersAllen is the second-best fantasy player overall this season and the second-best fantasy QB with 93.9 fantasy points (31.3 per game). Diggs has collected 40.8 fantasy points this year (13.6 per game), enough to rank him 43rd overall and sixth among wide receivers in league-wide fantasy standings. So far this season, Brown averages 9.1 fantasy points per game on the way to 27.2 total fantasy points. That makes him the 90th-ranked fantasy player overall and the 26th-ranked wide receiver. Singletary is working on the 98th-ranked fantasy season (31st among running backs) with 25.0 fantasy points, averaging 8.3 per game.
Raiders Fantasy LeadersSo far this season, Allen is the No. 2 fantasy quarterback and the No. 2 fantasy player overall. He's scored 93.9 points and is averaging 31.3 per game. Jacobs' 48.7 fantasy points this season (an average of 16.2 per game), are enough to place him 32nd overall and eighth among running backs. Waller is averaging 7.2 fantasy points per game on the way to 21.7 total fantasy points. That makes him the 123rd-ranked fantasy player overall and the 11th-ranked tight end. Renfrow is working on the 131st-ranked fantasy season (48th among wide receivers) with 20.2 fantasy points, averaging 6.7 per game.
Bills vs Raiders Betting Information
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Bills Betting InsightsThis season, Buffalo's games have gone over the point total in three out of three opportunities. Buffalo has a 2-1 record against the spread this year. This season, the Bills have an ATS record of 1-1 when projected as at least 2.0-point favorites.
Bills Road TrendsBuffalo hit the over in just two out of eight home games last year with a point total prop bet (25%). The average total in Bills away games last season was 37.1 points, 12.4 fewer than this contest's over/under (49.5). Buffalo put together a 4-0-2 record against the spread on the road last year, and went 6-2 overall in away games. The Bills finished 1-0 ATS in away games last season when favored by at least 2.0 points.
Raiders Betting InsightsLas Vegas has compiled a 2-1 record against the spread this season. The Raiders are 1-0 ATS when an underdog by at least 2.0 points. All of Las Vegas' three games this year have gone over the point total .
Raiders Home TrendsLas Vegas finished with an even 3-3 record against the spread at home last year, and went 5-3 overall in home games. The Raiders finished just 1-2 ATS at home last season when playing as at least a 2.0-point underdog. Las Vegas hit the over four times in eight opportunities at home last year (50%). Raiders home games last season averaged 44.2 total points, 5.3 fewer than this contest's over/under (49.5).
Additional InfoBills matchups this year have an average total of 56.7, 7.2 more points than this game's over/under. The average over/under for Raiders outings this season is 59.3, 9.8 more points than this game's point total. Buffalo's games have gone over 49.5 points two times this season 66.7% of matchups). Las Vegas has played three games this year that ended with a point total above 49.5 points (100% of its outings). The teams combine to score 60.3 points per game, 10.8 more points than this matchup's total. These teams allow a combined 55.7 points per game, 6.2 more points than this matchup's over/under.
Mario Addison: Questionable (Knee),
Zack Moss: Questionable (Toe),
Del'Shawn Phillips: Out (Quadricep)
Henry Ruggs III: Doubtful (Knee),
Daniel Ross: Out (Foot),
Trent Brown: Doubtful (Calf),
Nick Kwiatkoski: Questionable (Pectoral),
Rico Gafford: Doubtful (Hamstring),
Bryan Edwards: Out (Foot),
Damon Arnette: Out (Wrist),
Johnathan Abram: Questionable (Shoulder)
Last Updated on 2020-10-4 2:30 a.m. EDT