NFL Betting Preview: Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Oddsmakers give the Cleveland Browns (0-1) the edge when they host the Cincinnati Bengals (0-1) on Thursday, September 17, 2020 in a matchup between AFC North opponents at FirstEnergy Stadium. Cleveland is favored by 6.0 points. The point total is set at 43.5.
Game InfoGame Day: Thursday, September 17, 2020 Game Time: 8:20 PM ET TV Channel: NFL Location: Cleveland, OH Stadium: FirstEnergy Stadium
Browns Players to WatchLast year, Baker Mayfield put up 3,827 passing yards (239.2 yards per game) while going 317-for-534 (59.4% completion percentage) and throwing 22 touchdowns and 21 interceptions in 16 games. Nick Chubb rushed for 1,494 yards on 298 carries (93.4 yards per game) while scoring eight touchdowns in 16 games a season ago. He also averaged 17.4 receiving yards per game, grabbing 36 passes for 278 yards. Kareem Hunt totaled 171 rushing yards on 44 carries (21.4 yards per game), with two touchdowns on the ground over the course of eight games in 2019. He also caught 37 passes for 285 yards (35.6 per game) and one touchdown. Last season, Jarvis Landry hauled in 83 passes (on 137 targets) for 1,174 yards (73.4 yards per game) and scored six touchdowns in 16 games. Odell Beckham Jr.'s statline last year showed 74 catches for 1,035 yards and four touchdowns over 16 games. He averaged 64.7 receiving yards per game and was targeted 133 times. Austin Hooper caught 75 passes on 97 targets for 787 yards and six touchdowns, averaging 60.5 yards per game in 13 contests in 2019. Myles Garrett put together an impressive statline of 10 sacks, 12.0 TFL and 29 tackles over 10 games. In 16 games over his 2019 campaign, Mack Wilson totaled 82 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception. Last season, Andrew Sendejo hauled in three interceptions and added 39 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and four passes defended in 15 games.
Bengals Players to WatchRyan Finley threw for 474 yards while completing 47.1% of his passes (41-of-87), with two touchdowns and two interceptions in three games last year (158.0 yards per game). He also carried the ball 10 times for 77 yards, averaging 25.7 yards per game. Joe Mixon took 278 carries for 1,138 rushing yards a season ago (71.1 yards per game) while scoring five touchdowns in 16 games. He also caught 35 passes for 287 yards (17.9 receiving yards per game) with three touchdowns through the air. In 2019, Giovani Bernard rushed for 170 yards on 53 carries (10.6 ypg), with zero rushing touchdowns over the course of 16 games. Last season, Tyler Boyd hauled in 90 passes (on 148 targets) for 1,045 yards (65.3 yards per game) while scoring five touchdowns in 16 games. Auden Tate also chipped in with 40 catches for 575 yards and one touchdown over 12 games last year. He was targeted 80 times and put up 47.9 receiving yards per game. Alex Erickson caught 43 passes on 78 targets for 529 yards and zero touchdowns, averaging 33.1 yards per game in 16 contests in 2019. Carlos Dunlap put together an impressive body of work a year ago, notching 9.0 sacks, 13.0 TFL and 63 tackles over 14 games. In 16 games over his 2019 campaign, Shawn Williams collected 110 tackles, 5.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception. Last season, Darius Phillips grabbed four interceptions and added four tackles and seven passes defended in eight games.
Browns vs Bengals: Last 5 MeetingsAgainst Cincinnati, Cleveland has collected three wins over the past five contests. Cincinnati has scored 7 fewer points than Cleveland in their past five games.
Browns vs Bengals: Last Five Meetings
When the Browns have the ball...The Bengals allowed their opponents to score an average of 26.2 points per game last season, 5.3 more than the 20.9 the Browns put on the scoreboard in each contest. When they met or went over their scoring average last season, Cleveland was 5-3. When the Cincinnati defense allowed 26.2 points or fewer last year, the Bengals pieced together a 2-7 record. The Browns offense averaged 340.9 total yards per game last season, 52.9 yards fewer than the 393.8 allowed by the Bengals defense. Cleveland's record last season when they accumulated at least their season average in total yards: 4-4. Cincinnati was 2-7 last season when their defense allowed fewer yards than their season average. The Bengals allowed opposing rushing attacks to average 148.9 yards per game in 2019 compared to the 118.3 yards the Browns offense averaged on the ground per contest. When Cleveland rushers gained at least a combined 118.3 yards, they had a record of 4-3 last season. Last season, when the Cincinnati defense allowed opponents to pick up less than 148.9 yards on the ground, they were 2-7. Last season, the Bengals forced an average of 1 turnover per game compared to the 1.8 times Browns turned the football over in each contest. In games where they turned the football over 1.8 times or fewer, Cleveland was 5-3 last season. Cincinnati was 1-10 last season when they forced at least 1 turnover in a game.
When the Bengals have the ball...The Bengals put up 7.2 fewer points per game last year (17.4) than the Browns surrendered (24.6). Cincinnati went 2-4 overall a season ago when the team notched at least 17.4 points. When Cleveland allowed opponents to put up no more than 20.9 points last season, it put together a 5-3 record. The Bengals averaged 38.5 fewer yards per game in 2019 (323.1), than the Browns gave up per matchup (361.6). When the Cleveland offense put together a game with at least their 2019 average in yardage, they were 4-4 last season. In games Cleveland held its opponents to 361.6 or fewer yards last year, it had a 4-6 record. Last season, the Bengals rushed for 49.8 fewer yards per game (94.9) than the Browns allowed per outing (144.7). Cincinnati compiled a 1-6 record when the team rushed for at least 94.9 yards last year. When Cleveland limited its opponents to 144.7 yards on the ground or less last season, it went 4-5. The Bengals turned the ball over 1.9 times per game last year, just 0.7 more turnovers per game than the 1.2 the Browns forced on average. In games in 2019, Cincinnati had a 2-6 record when it turned the ball over 1.9 times or less. When it forced 1.2 or more turnovers last season, Cleveland put together a 3-1 record.
Browns Fantasy LeadersMayfield ended the season 25th overall among all players and 20th among all QBs in 2019 with 229.2 fantasy points (14.3 per game). Chubb recorded 219.2 fantasy points a season ago (13.7 per game), good enough to place him 29th overall and sixth among running backs in league-wide fantasy standings. Last year, Landry's 154.4 total fantasy points made him the No. 63 fantasy player and No. 14 wide receiver. He averaged 9.7 fantasy points per game. Beckham put together the 94th-ranked fantasy season (31st among wide receivers) in 2019 with 127.3 fantasy points, averaging 8.0 per game.
Bengals Fantasy LeadersMixon put together a strong 2019 fantasy season, scoring 190.5 total fantasy points (11.9 per game) to finish 38th overall and 11th among running backs in the league-wide fantasy rankings. Last year, Boyd finished as the 84th-ranked fantasy player overall and the 25th-ranked wide receiver. He put up 132.8 fantasy points, averaging 8.3 per game. John Ross was the 70th-best wide receiver and the 178th-best fantasy player overall with 67.0 fantasy points last season, averaging 8.4 per game. Tate's 2019 campaign saw him finish as the No. 187 fantasy player and the No. 74 WR with 61.5 fantasy points (averaging 5.1 per game).
Browns vs Bengals Betting Information
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Browns Betting InsightsLast year, seven of Cleveland's 14 opportunities went above the point total (50% of its games with a betting line). Last year, Cleveland assembled a 4-9-1 record against the spread. Last season, the Browns covered more games than they didn't when playing as 6.0-point or more favorites, finishing 2-0 ATS in those situations.
Browns Home TrendsCleveland hit the over just three times in eight opportunities at home last year (37.5%). Last season, Browns home games averaged 46.1 points, 2.6 more than this contest's over/under (43.5). Cleveland compiled an even 3-3-1 record against the spread at home last year, and went 4-4 overall in home games. Last season, the Browns finished 2-0 ATS in home games as at least a 6.0-point favorite.
Bengals Betting InsightsCincinnati compiled a losing 5-8-1 record against the spread last year. Cincinnati's games went under 43.5 points in seven out of 14 opportunities last season (50%).
Bengals Road TrendsCincinnati finished just 3-4 against the spread in away games last year, and went 0-8 overall on the road. Cincinnati hit the over in just two out of eight home games last year with a point total prop bet (25%). Bengals away games last season averaged 41.1 total points, 2.4 fewer than this outing's over/under (43.5).
Additional InfoThe Browns had an average point total of 45.5 in their outings last season, 2.0 more points than the over/under for this game. The average over/under for Bengals matchups last year was 43.7, 0.2 more points than this game's total. Seven of Cleveland's games went over 43.5 points last season (43.8% of matchups). Cincinnati's games went over 43.5 points seven times last year (43.8% of matchups). The teams combined to score 38.3 points per game last season, 5.2 fewer points than this matchup's total. These two teams allowed a combined 50.8 points per game last year, 7.3 more points than the over/under for this matchup.
Kevin Johnson: Out (Liver),
Jarvis Landry: Questionable (Hip),
Mack Wilson: Out (Knee),
Chris Hubbard: Questionable (Ankle),
Jack Conklin: Questionable (Ankle),
Jedrick Wills: Questionable (Shin),
Greedy Williams: Out (Shoulder),
J.C. Tretter: Questionable (Knee),
Olivier Vernon: Questionable (Abdomen),
Jacob Phillips: Out (Knee)
Geno Atkins: Out (Shoulder),
Shawn Williams: Out (Calf),
Mike Daniels: Out (Groin),
Xavier Su'a-Filo: Out (Ankle)