NFL Betting Preview: Atlanta Falcons vs. Chicago Bears
The Chicago Bears (2-0) are 3.0-point underdogs heading into their matchup on Sunday, September 27, 2020 against the Atlanta Falcons (0-2). The contest has a point total of 47.0.
Game InfoGame Day: Sunday, September 27, 2020 Game Time: 1:00 PM ET TV Channel: FOX Location: Atlanta, GA Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Falcons Players to WatchLast year, Matt Ryan racked up 4,466 passing yards (297.7 yards per game) while going 408-for-616 (66.2% completion percentage) and throwing 26 touchdowns and 14 interceptions in 15 games. Todd Gurley II took 223 attempts for 857 rushing yards a season ago (57.1 yards per game) while scoring 12 touchdowns in 15 games. In 2019, Brian Hill ran for 323 yards on 78 carries (26.9 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns over the course of 12 games. Last season, Julio Jones hauled in 99 passes (on 156 targets) for 1,394 yards (92.9 yards per game) with six touchdowns in 15 games. Calvin Ridley chipped in with 63 catches for 866 yards and seven touchdowns over the course of 13 games last year. He was targeted 93 times and averaged 66.6 receiving yards per game. Russell Gage caught 49 passes on 74 targets for 446 yards and one touchdown, averaging 27.9 yards per game in 16 contests in 2019. Dante Fowler Jr. boasted an impressive statline of 11.5 sacks, 16.0 TFL and 56 tackles over 16 games. Deion Jones totaled 111 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and one interception in 16 games over the course of his 2019 campaign. Last season, Damontae Kazee reeled in three interceptions and added 69 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and three passes defended in 16 games.
Bears Players to WatchMitchell Trubisky racked up 3,152 passing yards (210.1 yards per game) with a 63.2% completion percentage last year (326-of-516), while throwing 17 touchdowns and 10 interceptions in 15 games. He also tacked on 193 rushing yards on 48 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 12.9 yards per game. David Montgomery rushed for 889 yards on 242 carries (55.6 yards per game) while scoring six touchdowns in 16 games a season ago. Tarik Cohen totaled 213 rushing yards on 64 carries (13.3 yards per game), with zero touchdowns on the ground over the course of 16 games in 2019. He also caught 79 passes for 456 (28.5 yards per game) and three touchdowns. In 16 games last season, Allen Robinson II was targeted 153 times and had 98 catches for 1,147 yards (71.7 ypg) with seven touchdowns. Anthony Miller also contributed with 656 yards on 52 catches with two touchdowns. He was targeted 85 times and put up 41.0 receiving yards per game in 16 matchups last year. Over 16 games in 2019, Cohen caught 79 passes on 104 targets for 456 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 28.5 receiving yards per game. Robert Quinn put together an impressive statline of 11.5 sacks, 13.0 TFL and 34 tackles over 14 games. Roquan Smith racked up 97 tackles, 5.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception in 12 games over his 2019 campaign. Kyle Fuller picked off three passes and tacked on 83 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 12 passes defended in 16 games last season.
Falcons vs Bears: Last 5 MeetingsAgainst Chicago, Atlanta has totaled three wins over the past five meetings. Chicago has tallied 108 points in the last five matchups while only allowing 91 to Atlanta
Falcons vs Bears: Last Five Meetings
When the Falcons have the ball...The average points per game output for the Falcons last season, 23.8, was 5.2 greater than the 18.6 the Bears gave up in each contest. When they met or went over their scoring average last season, Atlanta was 7-3. When Chicago allowed opposing offenses to put 18.6 points or fewer on the scoreboard last year, they were 5-3. The Bears defense gave up an average of 324.1 yards per game last season, 55.7 yards fewer than the 379.8-yard average from the Falcons offense. In contests where the Atlanta offense totaled at least their average yard output last season, they were 2-4. When the Chicago defense allowed less than their season average for total yards last season they were 3-4. The Falcons averaged 85.1 yards per game on the ground last season, 16.9 yards fewer than the Bears allowed to opposing rushing attacks (102). Atlanta was 5-3 last season when they ran for at least their season average. When Chicago limited opposing teams to 102 rushing yards or fewer they were 5-3 last year. The Bears forced about the same amount of turnovers per game (1.2) as the Falcons offense committed (1.6). In games where they turned the football over 1.6 times or fewer, Atlanta was 5-4 last season. Chicago was 3-2 last season when they forced at least 1.2 turnovers in a game.
When the Bears have the ball...Last year, the Bears put up 7.4 fewer points per game (17.5) than the Falcons surrendered (24.9). Chicago finished 6-2 overall a season ago when the team notched at least 17.5 points. When Atlanta allowed opponents to score no more than 23.8 points last season, it compiled a 7-3 record. The Bears averaged 58.1 fewer yards per game in 2019 (297.7), than the Falcons gave up per outing (355.8). When the Atlanta offense put together a game with at least their 2019 average in yardage, they were 2-4 last season. Atlanta recorded a 7-3 record last year when holding its opponents to 355.8 yards or less. The Bears rushed for 91.1 yards per game last season, 19.8 fewer per game than the 110.9 the Falcons allowed per contest. Last year, Chicago put together a 3-3 record in games the team ran for at least 91.1 yards. Last season, Atlanta went 4-4 when holding opponents to no more than 110.9 yards on the ground. The Bears turned the ball over 1.2 times per game last year, only per game than the 1.2 the Falcons forced on average. Chicago went 6-4 in 2019 when it turned the ball over 1.2 times or less. When it forced 1.2 or more turnovers last season, Atlanta put together a 5-1 record.
Falcons Fantasy LeadersRyan was the No. 13 fantasy player overall and the No. 11 fantasy quarterback in 2019 with 267.3 points (averaging 17.8 per game). Gurley put up 188.4 fantasy points a season ago (12.6 per game), good enough to place him 41st overall and 12th among running backs in league-wide fantasy standings. Last year, Julio Jones averaged 11.7 fantasy points per game on the way to 175.1 total fantasy points. That made him the 46th-ranked fantasy player overall and the fifth-ranked wide receiver. Ridley was the 82nd-ranked fantasy player -- and the 23rd-ranked wide receiver -- in 2019 with 134.0 fantasy points. He averaged 10.3 fantasy points per game.
Bears Fantasy LeadersTrubisky put together a strong 2019 fantasy season, scoring 203.9 total fantasy points (13.6 per game) to finish 34th overall and 25th among quarterbacks in the league-wide fantasy rankings. Robinson put up 156.9 fantasy points (9.8 per game) last year to be the 61st-ranked player overall and the 12th-ranked wide receiver. Montgomery was the No. 22 running back and the No. 72 fantasy player overall with 145.4 total points last season (9.1 per game). Cohen's 2019 fantasy rankings saw him finish as the No. 142 player overall and the No. 44 running back after he scored 84.9 fantasy points (5.3 per game).
Falcons vs Bears Betting Information
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Falcons Betting InsightsLast year, Atlanta assembled a 7-7 record against the spread. Last season, the Falcons had a losing ATS record of 2-3 when playing as at least 3.0-point favorites. Last year, seven of Atlanta's 14 opportunities went over the point total (50% of its games with a betting line).
Falcons Home TrendsAtlanta put together just a 3-4 record against the spread at home last year, and went 3-5 overall in home games. The Falcons finished 2-2 ATS at home last season when favored by at least 3.0 points. Atlanta hit the over just two times in eight opportunities at home last year (25%). Falcons home games last season averaged 46.1 total points, 0.9 fewer than this contest's over/under (47.0).
Bears Betting InsightsChicago's games went under 47.0 points in eight out of 14 opportunities last season (57.1%). Chicago compiled a losing 3-10-1 record against the spread last year. The Bears had a losing ATS record of 1-6-1 when playing as at least 3.0-point underdogs last season.
Bears Road TrendsChicago hit the over in 50% of its away games last year (four of eight opportunities). The average total in Bears away games last season was 37.4 points, 9.6 fewer than this outing's over/under (47.0). Chicago put together just a 1-6 record against the spread on the road last year, and went 4-4 overall in away games. Last season, the Bears finished just 1-3 ATS in away games as at least a 3.0-point underdog.
Additional InfoNine of Atlanta's games went over 47.0 points last season (56.2% of matchups). Chicago's games went over 47.0 points two times last year (12.5% of matchups). The two teams combined to score 41.3 points per contest last season, 5.7 fewer points than this game's point total. Combined, these teams allowed 43.5 points per contest last year, 3.5 fewer points than the total for this game. The average total in Falcons contests last season was 48.8, 1.8 more points than the over/under for this game. Bears contests last year had a 36.1-point average over/under, 10.9 fewer points than this game's total.
Ricardo Allen: Out (Elbow),
Julio Jones: Questionable (Hamstring),
Kendall Sheffield: Out (Foot),
Dante Fowler Jr.: Questionable (Ankle),
Takkarist McKinley: Questionable (Groin),
Kaleb McGary: Questionable (Knee),
Foyesade Oluokun: Questionable (Hamstring)
Mario Edwards Jr.: Questionable (Glute),
Khalil Mack: Questionable (Knee)
Last Updated on 2020-9-27 2:47 a.m. EDT