Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints: 4 Best 'Thursday Night Football' Prop, Team Bets
The Saints come into this one incredibly banged up, and with a new starting quarterback. I am going to be honest, there is not a lot of hope for this game to be entertaining.
So, Saints will be without QB1, RB1, WR1, TE1, RT1, LG1 and LT1 on offense tonight.— Nick Underhill (@nick_underhill) December 2, 2021
That will not stop me from finding the three best props of the night as well as the best overall bet of the night. There is a lot of value on the board tonight, and I cannot wait to walk out of this a rich man.
FanDuel: Tony Pollard Over 17.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Ezekiel Elliott has been dealing with a knee injury that could potentially alter his workload tonight. If the Cowboys try to save his legs for the playoff push, then we could see a healthy amount of Tony Pollard. If Zeke is limited tonight, it'd make sense for him to play on early downs while giving way to Pollard on third downs, which should help the former Memphis back top this total.
Even when Elliott was fully healthy, Pollard has been enjoying a breakout season. Pollard has hit this number eight times so far this season, and in those eight games, he is averaging 31.25 receiving yards, which would put us well over the number.
Pollard has also been very effective on the ground, but the Cowboys are a pass-first team. On the season, Dallas has passed the ball 38.4 times per game, which is ranked sixth in the league. This one is simple, Pollard averages 8.8 yards per catch, and his targets have skyrocketed over the past few weeks.
Barstool: Taysom Hill Over 40.5 Rushing yards (-115)
Although Taysom Hill has not hit this total so far in 2021, the most rushing attempts he has had in a game were six. With Hill taking over the starting quarterback job tonight, expect the Saints' new starter to get his number called a lot tonight.
It also helps that Alvin Kamara is out with an injury. Mark Ingram is a fine enough running back to at least give you some sort of production, but he does not fit that "Swiss Army Knife" role that Kamara plays. Hill can and has played that role over his term with the Saints.
In his four starts last season, Hill ran for 49, 44, 33, and 83 yards. The only difference between this year and last year is that Hill had Kamara and Michael Thomas at his disposal. Tonight, he has neither, and he will have to make plays with his legs.
DraftKings Touchdown Scorer Of The Night: Dalton Schultz (+180)
The Saints have actually been a pretty strong team against the run. New Orleans is first in the NFL in yards per rush (3.4), and they only allow 91.9 rushing yards per game, which is good for third. The problems come with their secondary, as they rank 26th in yards per pass and 23rd in passing yards. With the Cowboys being one of the most pass-heavy offenses in football, the Saints could be in some massive trouble.
Dalton Schultz will not be mistaken for one of the best tight ends in the league, but he has been constantly solid all season. Shultz averages six targets per game, and his snap count and targets have increased over the last two games. With a banged-up running back room, the Cowboys will likely air this one until they do not need to anymore.
Shultz is an excellent target in the red zone and has at least 40 yards receiving in seven of his last nine games. While that doesn't matter to this scoring prop, he is clearly a trusted target for Dak Prescott, and his +180 odds are the best value on the board.
Bovada: Best Bet: Cowboys -6 (-115)
With the news that Kamara, and starting tackles Ryan Ramczyk and Terron Armstead are out for this game, you need to jump on this number immediately. Personally, I got the Cowboys at -5.5, but I would take Dallas up to -7.5.
Although the Saints are 8-1 ATS in their last nine when the Cowboys come into town, Drew Brees is not walking through that door to save the day. New Orleans is 5-6 ATS this season and 2-4 ATS in their last six overall and at home. Dallas is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 and 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
New Orleans is very undermanned and Dallas still has one of, if not the best offenses in the entire NFL. The Boys are going to roll in this one.
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