January 21, 2022

2022 NFL Divisional Round Best Bets - Four-Leg Parlay: +1208

Welcome back to the gambling corner, and welcome to the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs. We are back with the best bets for all four games this weekend.

Super Wild Card Weekend was very enjoyable, and if you rode with the favorites, you turned a good profit. We will get our first look at the top seeds from both the AFC and NFC as the Packers and Titans will play their first playoff games coming off the bye. 

With two games on both Saturday and Sunday, we are in for a wonderful weekend of games. Football season is coming to a close, so enjoy every game while you can. 

If you decide to tail our picks, we just ask that you do so responsibly. 

Let's find some winners.

*Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans

The Titans finished the season 12-5, and they earned a first-round bye as the AFC's top seed. Not only are they well-rested, but Derrick Henry is cleared to play for the first time since Week 8. Henry only played eight games during the regular season, and he finished with 937 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns. If that is the production that the Titans are getting back for the playoffs, it is hard to imagine that the Bengals can slow them down.

Cincinnati won their first playoff game in 31 years when they took down the Raiders last week, and the Joe Burrow to Ja'Marr Chase combination is working as well as it did when those two won the National Championship at LSU. However, the defense is very banged up, and the Titans are not going to be pushed around at the line of scrimmage on either side of the ball.

While the Bengals are seventh in opponents' rushing yards per game, they allow 4.4 yards per rush. Trey Hendrickson, Zach Kerr, and Josh Tupou are all expected to be dressed, but that defensive line certainly is not healthy, and that is where the Titans will cook. Cincinnati has covered in five straight, but if we factor the health of both teams, the Titans are the play in this one.

The Titans' have a pretty weak secondary, but they have only allowed 218.8 passing yards over their last five games. Under Mike Vrabel, the Titans are 8-0 with 8+ days of rest, and in those games, they are holding teams to just 10.9 points per game.

Pick: Titans -3.5 (-110)

San Franciso 49ers at Green Bay Packers

The Packers held the best record in the NFC once again, and Aaron Rodgers could also win his second-consecutive MVP award. Rodgers completed 68.9% of his passes for 4115 yards and 37 touchdowns to just seven interceptions.

Green Bay is also set to welcome back Jaire Alexander, Za'Darius Smith, and David Bakhtiari is expected to play. On the other side, San Francisco might be without Fred Warner, while Jimmy Garoppolo is expected to play, but he is still dealing with a few injuries. Nick Bosa will play after suffering a concussion against the Cowboys last week.

The 49ers are coming off their second straight "must-win" game on the road, and this will be their toughest test. While the 49ers are 5-1 ATS in their last six, Green Bay is 12-5 ATS this season and 7-1 ATS at home.

San Francisco almost let Dallas come back and knock them off after a hot start to the Wild Card game. Garoppolo's shoulder injury caused the offense to go flat in the second half, and if that happens again, Rodgers will take advantage and dice them up.

Either way, I like the Packers in this game to win and cover. 

Pick: Packers -5.5 (-110)

Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Rams and Buccaneers will face off for the second time this season. In their first matchup, the Rams took Tampa Bay's lunch money with a 34-24 win that was not even that close. 

However, this game will be played in Tampa Bay, where the Bucs are 7-2 ATS and 8-1 SU in their last nine home games. 

While Tampa Bay is almost unbeatable at home this season, Los Angeles has covered in eight of their last nine against the Bucs, and they 5-0 ATS in their last five in Tampa Bay. 

Both teams come into this game banged-up, but Tampa Bay could be without a lot of key contributors with Lavonte David, Tristan Wirfs, and Jason Pierre-Paul all listed as questionable. 

The Rams also have a lot of injuries to deal with, especially with Andrew Whitworth ruled out, but with how well that secondary played against the Cardinals, there is no reason to believe that they cannot do it again, even if it is against Tom Brady

Los Angeles was my Super Bowl pick before the start of the season, and as of right now, nothing is telling me that they cannot get back to the big game. 

Pick: Rams +3 (-118), Sprinkle Rams ML (+130)

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs

I don't think I have ever been as excited for a playoff game as I am for the Bills and Chiefs. Although they both play in my favorite team's conference, I thoroughly enjoy watching Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes play football.

This game has all the makings of a shootout, especially with how well both offenses looked in the Wild Card round. However, the Bills are the best defense across the board in the NFL. 

On the season, Buffalo is the No. 1 ranked defense in points, yards, points per play, yards per play, touchdowns per game, third-down conversion percentage, completion percentage, yards per pass, and passing yards per game. 

That's pretty good. 

This game being in Kansas City gives the Chiefs an obvious advantage, especially with how loud that stadium gets in the playoffs, but the Bills have just looked so damn good lately. 

Buffalo is only 2-5 ATS in their last seven against the Chiefs, but they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five, and with seven-straight touchdown drives against the Patriots, who have the second-best defense in the NFL, I don't know if a hit-or-miss Chiefs' defense can slow them down. 

Pick: Bills +1.5 (-106)

Photo: Getty Images