With oddsmakers either buying or selling the offseason hype, it's the perfect opportunity to find value on the betting market.
We're focusing on the six best over/under rushing yardage prop bets at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Cam Akers, Los Angeles Rams
The Cam Akers hype makes sense to a certain degree. The talented second-year back had an impressive playoff debut against top competition. He tallied 221 yards and two scores on 46 carries against the Seattle Seahawks and Green Bay Packers in the postseason.
His regular season was largely pedestrian, though. He had only one fantasy-relevant game. Akers' Week 13 explosion against the New England Patriots featured 171 of his 625 total rushing yards for the season.
Without question, Darrell Henderson was the more consistent threat until a high-ankle sprain derailed his season. Akers has the better physical tools to work with, but will be competing for carries in an offense that'll have a higher-volume passing attack this season.
I'm also concerned about a mediocre offensive line taking its toll on Akers. The Rams' line was below average last year and added zero significant names to the mix. The only way Akers hits the over is to get a massive workload.
The pick: Under 1,100.5 rushing yards (-115)
Chase Edmonds, Arizona Cardinals
Arizona gave former starter Kenyan Drake 239 carries, good for seventh-most in the league, and he nearly reached 1,000 rushing yards. Though the offensive line is far from a major strength this year, the addition of center Rodney Hudson will absolutely help create more rushing lanes.
The bar is quite low for Edmonds to hit the over. He must average just over 40 yards per game on the ground. Though that'd be a career-high for him, he's never had the opportunity to shine like this.
Kyler Murray's carries will drop and Edmonds' will rise, making this an easy cash-in.
The pick: Over 650.5 rushing yards (-115)
Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City Chiefs
The line for Clyde Edwards-Helaire's yardage total as a rookie was eerily close to the 900.5 mark we're getting this year. And it makes zero sense. Edwards-Helaire jumped out to a fast start until injuries decimated the Chiefs' run blocking and even his own availability.
Le'Veon Bell is also gone as a threat, leaving CEH as the clear bellcow of the offense. The Chiefs will surely get usage out of Darrel Williams and whatever journeyman emerges as a backup, but it's clear their 2020 first-round pick is the undisputed star.
The only way CEH doesn't hit the over is an injury. This offense has been rebuilt to take pressure off Patrick Mahomes. The former LSU product should break the 1,100. yards rushing mark in 2021.
The pick: Over 900.5 rushing yards (-115)
Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles
Yes, a quarterback makes the list and it's not Lamar Jackson.
New head coach Nick Sirianni will tailor his offense to Hurts' mobility. This will open new opportunities on rollouts and draws. Although Hurts must prove himself as as passer, he'll create easy yards on the ground.
The Eagles can deploy several interesting backs who can rotate in with Hurts on RPOs. Hurts' presence will boost their averages since defenses must account for his legs.
The pick: Over 655.5 rushing yards (-115)
Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
What's the upside of a player who finished second in rushing on a team by almost 600 yards and is competing with a premier third-down back? I don't see it being anywhere near where the oddsmakers have Playoff Lenny's total.
Leonard Fournette's playoff run with 300 yards and three scores on 64 carries was nice, sure, but Ronald Jones owns the job. And veteran Gio Bernard is an ace receiver who will see almost every third-down snap.
Betting the over on this line is a direct hedge against a Jones injury. Jones is a svelte runner who is an ideal fit into this system, whereas Fournette has shown clunkiness and a lack of creative ability. Even if Jones gets injured, Tampa Bay would give Ke'Shawn Vaughn a shot to earn a bigger role than to hand the entire workload to Fournette.
The pick: Under 650.5 rushing yards (-120)
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